中煤协:未来一段时间我国煤炭供需总量将保持小幅增长

2023-10-15 10:34:52

在未来一段时间内,我国煤炭生产总量将有小幅增长,在2027年达到高位后呈下降趋势,2030年下降至42亿吨左右。

中国煤炭工业协会10月14日发布了《2023中国煤炭工业发展报告》(下称“报告”),预测未来一段时间,我国煤炭供需总量将保持小幅增长。煤炭行业淘汰落后产能的供给侧改革将持续推进,加快向生产智能化、管理信息化、产业分工专业化、煤炭利用洁净化转变,加快推动煤炭产业绿色低碳转型。

从需求端来看,2000年以来,我国煤炭消费量逐年增加。“十三五”以来,煤炭消费量从2016年的38.44亿吨增长至2022年的43.41亿吨。“未来一段时间内,我国煤炭消费总量将有小幅增长,预计全国煤炭需求峰值约为45亿吨,至2030年全国煤炭需求约40亿吨。”中国煤炭工业协会政策研究部主任郭中华介绍说。

从供给端来看,我国煤炭生产量自2000年以来总体呈波动上升趋势,2022年我国煤炭生产量达到45.6亿吨。报告指出,在未来一段时间内,我国煤炭生产总量将有小幅增长,在2027年达到高位后呈下降趋势,2030年下降至42亿吨左右。整体来看,未来我国煤炭产量将呈现“稳增—达峰—下降”的态势。

报告指出,煤炭的能源兜底保障作用不会改变,现代煤炭产业体系建设将加快推进,煤炭产业结构将进一步优化,数字化、低碳化引领煤炭高质量发展,清洁高效是煤炭产业主要发展方向,煤基与多能源融合发展空间广阔。

具体来看,到2030年在煤炭清洁高效利用方面,实现燃煤发电净效率突破50%,每年累计节煤8亿吨标煤、减排二氧化碳约20亿吨;燃煤发电机组实现20% -100%调峰,对可再生能源并网消纳支撑能力显著提升;掌握百万吨碳捕集利用与封存成套技术。到2035年,全面形成煤炭清洁高效利用技术体系,煤炭集中高效利用比例提高到90%以上,燃煤发电及超低排放技术进入国际领先水平。

报告指出,跨领域、系统化、体系化的能源布局不仅有巨大的创新空间,还会产生巨大的整体节能减排效果。多能融合的新型能源体系将提高能源储备和保障能力,保障我国能源及相关产业链、供应链的安全稳定。

“煤炭与新能源耦合利用,既能减少单位产品碳排放量,又能提升新能源利用质量。随着我国光伏、风电等新能源发展进入快车道,以及各种有机废弃物、生物质处理需求不断增加,探索煤炭与新能源协同发展已成为能源行业高质量发展的重要议题。”报告指出,目前,煤炭与新能源的耦合利用更多体现在电力调配上,二者深度耦合利用的各项技术仍处于研发示范或探索阶段,亟待开展煤炭与新能源化学转化、电力、热力等多种耦合形式实现,协同提升能源利用效率。

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On October 24, the "2024 China Cement Double Carbon Conference and the 12th Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Technology Exchange Conference" was held in Wuhu, Anhui Province. Gao Dengbang, President of China Cement Association, Zhu Shengli, General Manager of Anhui Conch Group Co., Ltd., Lv Zhijian, President of Xinjiang Building Material Industry Association, Ma Weiping, Chairman of OCC, Jiang Dehong, Vice President and Chief Engineer of Tianshan Materials Co., Ltd., Li Jian, Associate Researcher of Chinese Academy of Environmental Sciences, Fan Yueming, Professor of South China University of Technology, Zhuge Wenda, Chairman of Leishan Cement Co., Ltd., Century Xinfeng, Hubei, Yan Haochun, Technical Director of China National Inspection and Testing Holding Group and General Manager of Certification and Evaluation Center.

2024-10-24 16:55:38

Strictly implement the policy of capacity replacement, strengthen the control of excess capacity, resolutely curb illegal new capacity, build new cement projects according to ultra-low emission level, eliminate backward capacity according to law and regulations through comprehensive means, give full play to the standard role of energy consumption, environmental protection, quality, safety, material consumption and water consumption, and guide high energy consumption. Conditional areas can formulate plans for the withdrawal of restricted capacity.

2024-09-29 10:25:13

Many contents in the Plan are closely related to the cement industry, such as continuously promoting the reduction of excess capacity and capacity replacement, transformation and upgrading of the cement industry; promoting new energy medium and heavy trucks in the cement industry and developing zero-emission freight fleets; striving to complete the treatment of ultra-low emission transformation projects of cement clinker and coking enterprises in key cities by 2025; To study the multi-source and whole-process control and monitoring and supervision technology of volatile organic compounds, and to carry out research on key technologies of pollution reduction and carbon reduction in key industries such as parks, cement and steel.

2024-09-06 10:01:57

In the past two decades, the demand change of China's cement industry has gone through three development stages: high-speed development period (2004-2012), high-level platform period (2013-2021), and downward demand period (from 2022 to now).

2024-07-23 16:45:00

On June 13, the 11th China Cement Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Technology Exchange Conference and Equipment Renewal Forum, sponsored by China Cement Network, was held in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province.

2024-06-13 16:36:33

By the end of 2025, the proportion of production capacity above the benchmark level of energy efficiency in cement and ceramics industries will reach 30%, that of production capacity above the benchmark level of energy efficiency in flat glass industry will reach 20%, and that of production capacity below the benchmark level of energy efficiency in building materials industry will be completed or eliminated.

2024-05-29 20:21:02

By the end of 2025, 50% of the cement clinker production capacity in the whole region will be transformed; by the end of 2028, the cement clinker production enterprises in the whole region will be basically transformed.

2024-05-15 17:00:23

Under the environment that the industry is facing severe challenges, Queshi Group is also constantly practicing its internal skills to enhance its core competitiveness.

2024-05-15 09:00:11

The Department of Ecology and Environment of Guizhou Province recently put forward the Implementation Plan for Continuous Improvement of Air Quality in Guizhou Province (Draft for Consultation), aiming at strengthening the environmental control of the cement industry. The plan requires new reconstruction and expansion projects to strictly abide by national industrial planning and environmental protection policies, adopt clean transportation, and implement capacity replacement and total pollutant discharge control. Focus on stopping projects with high energy consumption and high emissions, and recommend the use of clean transportation methods such as railways and waterways to ensure the cleanliness of bulk cargo transportation. At the same time, we should improve the concentration of the cement industry, encourage mergers and reorganizations within the industry, and promote the transformation of ultra-low emissions in steel, cement and other industries to ensure that emissions meet strict standards. This reflects the importance attached by Guizhou Province to the protection of the ecological environment and its determination to adjust the industrial structure.

2024-04-18 10:06:04

When the reference oxygen content of the cement kiln and the waste heat utilization system at the kiln tail is 10%, the hourly average emission concentrations of particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides and ammonia are not higher than 10, 35, 50 and 8 mg/m3 respectively.

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Building a beautiful China is an important goal of building a socialist modern country in an all-round way and an important part of realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

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In the second half of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the cement industry should focus on strengthening energy conservation, carbon reduction and emission reduction, and must strengthen confidence. In the first half of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the expected reduction of energy consumption per unit GDP, the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions per unit GDP, and the ratio of days with good air quality in cities at prefecture level and above have been completed.

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在火电、钢铁、煤炭、焦化、有色、水泥等行业和物流园区推广新能源中重型货车,发展零排放货运车队。

2023-12-08 10:01:48

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2023-11-10 14:25:17

在未来一段时间内,我国煤炭生产总量将有小幅增长,在2027年达到高位后呈下降趋势,2030年下降至42亿吨左右。

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2023-08-25 13:23:45

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2023-08-03 17:33:19

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2023-07-20 11:25:11

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2023-06-28 11:47:39

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2023-03-20 14:45:15

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2023-03-15 17:54:48

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2023-03-11 09:20:20

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2023-02-27 09:20:38

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2023-02-15 10:27:26

近日,山西生态环境厅发布《山西省减污降碳协同增效实施方案》,其中提出,到2025年,减污降碳协同推进的工作格局基本形成,煤炭清洁高效利用效率大幅提升,结构优化调整和绿色低碳发展取得明显成效。

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2022-12-15 11:30:04

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2022-11-17 11:00:51

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2022-11-14 15:01:00

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2022-11-02 09:37:13

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2022-10-26 10:50:04

Recently, due to the persistent cost pressure in the south, the price of concrete has risen slightly with the raw materials, but the growth of market demand is limited, and the overall quotation is still stable. From October 31 to November 6, the national concrete price index closed at 112.47 points, up 0.31% annually and down 10.11% year-on-year.