[专题]2023年上半年陕西水泥市场回顾及下半年展望

2023-08-25 13:23:45

2023年上半年,陕西省的固定资产投资和基础建设投资的增速均下降,省市重点建设项目有所增长,陕西省暂无新增熟料生产线投产,供给方面保持稳定。

一、行业政策简析:注重水泥行业节能减排 实现碳达峰碳中和目标

(一)加快推进水泥超低排放改造 打好污染防治攻坚战

2022年12月31日,陕西省人民政府印发《“十四五”节能减排综合工作实施方案》(以下简称《实施方案》)的通知。为了大力推动节能减排,深入打好污染防治攻坚战,加快建立健全绿色低碳循环发展经济体系,推进经济社会发展全面绿色转型,助力实现碳达峰、碳中和目标。

《实施方案》提出,实施传统产业节能降碳改造升级。以钢铁、有色金属、建材、石化化工等行业为重点,扎实推进节能降碳改造和污染物深度治理。依法依规淘汰落后产能、落后工艺、落后产品,持续化解过剩产能,鼓励重点行业和重点企业通过多种措施提高能效水平。加强绿色低碳工艺技术装备推广应用,加快推进水泥、钢铁、焦化行业及燃煤锅炉超低排放改造,到2025年,全面完成钢铁行业超低排放改造,关中地区燃煤机组、燃煤锅炉全面完成超低排放改造。

《实施方案》表明,到2025年,通过实施节能降碳行动,钢铁、电解铝、水泥、平板玻璃、炼油、乙烯、合成氨、电石等重点行业产能和数据中心达到能效标杆水平的比例超过30%。

评析:《实施方案》发布的一系列政策,可以规范陕西省水泥企业非法行为,促进水泥企业绿色转型,减少污水污气的排放,进一步推动全省节能减排,加快行业的产能升级,化解产能过剩的问题。

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Correlation

Recently, the concrete market demand has weakened, coupled with the cost-side support has not been further strengthened, enterprises are mainly shipping at stable prices, with a slight increase in individual regions. From November 7 to November 13, the national concrete price index closed at 112.50 points, up 0.03% annually and down 10.07% year-on-year.

2024-11-15 17:37:41

Recently, due to the persistent cost pressure in the south, the price of concrete has risen slightly with the raw materials, but the growth of market demand is limited, and the overall quotation is still stable. From October 31 to November 6, the national concrete price index closed at 112.47 points, up 0.31% annually and down 10.11% year-on-year.

2024-11-08 17:41:17

Looking forward to the fourth quarter, we believe that the demand for cement will continue to weaken, but under the background of the rising voice of "anti-involution" and the increasing awareness of self-help in the industry, enterprises will intensify their efforts to limit production, cement prices are expected to rise, and industry benefits will continue to be restored. Throughout the year, cement demand will face greater downward pressure, and the industry's profit decline is still large.

2024-10-30 17:15:19

Based on the market situation of the cement industry and the demand for high-quality and low-carbon development of Conch Cement, Conch will strengthen the research and development of technologies such as energy saving and carbon reduction, green environmental protection, clean energy and low-carbon cement. The main research directions of Conch's scientific and technological innovation in the future are as follows: 1. Research and development project of raw material and fuel substitution in the cement industry; 2. Research and development project of cement clinker quality improvement; 3. Energy-saving and carbon-reducing technical equipment R & D project; 4. Clean and green energy R & D and manufacturing project; 5. Future carbon technology industry exploration project.

2024-10-29 16:34:25

Recently, the construction in the south is relatively active, the local market demand is warming up, coupled with the increasing pressure on the cost side, the market price trend is stable and small. From October 17 to October 23, the national concrete price index closed at 112.14 points, down 0.02% annually and 10.65% year-on-year.

2024-10-25 17:29:24

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the demand in Sichuan and Chongqing in Southwest China has improved, and the cement price has been steadily promoted; the price increase in Yunnan and Guizhou may be blocked. It is understood that the fourth quarter of Yunnan plans to implement peak staggering production for 51-60 days, affected by the policy, the output of enterprises in the region has declined, and the inventory has declined slightly.

2024-10-18 17:38:28

With the improvement of weather conditions, the domestic market demand has improved as a whole in the near future, but it is still difficult to reach the peak season level in previous years. Concrete enterprises mainly ship at stable prices, and there are still some downward adjustments. From October 10 to October 16, the national concrete price index closed at 112.16 points, down 0.59% annually and 10.64% year-on-year.

2024-10-18 17:28:46

Recently, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment issued the Notice on Further Deepening the Reform of Environmental Impact Assessment (hereinafter referred to as the Notice). The Notice points out in the annex "Pilot Work Program for Optimizing Classified Management of Environmental Impact Assessment in Prefectures and Cities" that, taking into account the level of economic development and environmental management as a whole, Beijing, Hebei Province, Jilin Province, Fujian Province, Guangdong Province, Sichuan Province and Shaanxi Province respectively select 2 Typical prefecture-level cities (or districts of municipalities directly under the Central Government) carry out pilot work in the whole area. Among them, it is clearly mentioned in the "industry categories that can optimize the classification management of environmental impact assessment" that the environmental impact assessment of cement grinding stations should be cancelled.

2024-10-17 13:45:30

According to the China Cement Market Data Center, the price of cement in Lanzhou-Baiyin area of Gansu Province has risen by 10 yuan/ton; the prices in Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang and Shaanxi are stable. Affected by the big drop in temperature, rain and snow before the festival, the market demand in Qinghai has declined significantly. As the weather cleared up, cement sales in the region rebounded, and the market showed signs of warming up.

2024-10-12 17:29:56

After the National Day, the domestic concrete market demand rebounded slightly, but the total amount is still relatively weak, concrete enterprises are mainly shipping at stable prices, and have not yet followed the rise of raw materials. From October 3 to October 9, the national concrete price index closed at 112.82 points, in line with the National Day holiday, with a year-on-year decline of 10.21%.

2024-10-12 17:25:54

Industry insiders said that the merger and reorganization of the cement industry is the only way to transform and upgrade the industry and achieve high-quality development. At present, the problem of overcapacity in China's cement industry is prominent, which seriously affects the overall efficiency and sustainable development of the industry. Through mergers and reorganizations, we can effectively eliminate backward production capacity, optimize the industrial layout, improve industry concentration, and make room for the healthy development of the industry.

2024-09-29 14:32:32

Recently, the domestic market demand in some areas has improved slightly compared with the previous period, but the overall situation is still weaker than same period in history, and the price of concrete remains stable and weak. From September 19 to September 25, the national concrete price index closed at 112.82 points, down 0.10% annually and 10.45% year-on-year.

2024-09-27 17:57:56

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The market demand in the northwest region has not changed much, and the price of concrete is stable.

2024-09-27 16:56:30

Recently, the local weather conditions in China are not good, the recovery of market demand is insufficient, the price of concrete is mainly stable, and the local pressure is falling. From September 12 to September 18, the national concrete price index closed at 112.93 points, down 0.21% annually and 10.83% year-on-year.

2024-09-20 17:55:34

This article is selected from Song Zhiping's book "Reform Heart Road", which describes his motivation and effect of restructuring cement in those years, and has been published by China Cement Network. Recently, there has been a call for restructuring and mergers and acquisitions in the cement industry. Reviewing this old article may have the effect of reviewing the old and learning the new, encouraging the industry to promote a new round of restructuring, and solving the persistent problems of the industry.

2024-09-16 10:19:30

Recently, the domestic market demand has recovered slightly compared with the previous period, but the overall level is still significantly lower than same period in previous years, and the price of concrete before the Mid-Autumn Festival is mainly a smooth transition. From September 5th to September 11th, the national concrete price index closed at 113.17 points, and the ring ratio remained stable, with a year-on-year decline of 10.81%.

2024-09-14 19:27:38

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: There is no significant change in the commercial mixed market in Northwest China.

2024-09-14 13:46:16

Recently, the price of raw materials has shown an upward trend again, but due to the lack of new orders in the concrete market and the fierce competition among enterprises, the focus of transactions continues to decline steadily. From August 29 to September 4, the national concrete price index closed at 113.17 points, down 0.45% annually and 11.09% year-on-year.

2024-09-06 17:22:16

Recently, leading enterprises in Guanzhong area of Shaanxi have pushed up the price of cement by 30-50 yuan/ton.

2024-09-04 14:02:20

Most regions in China are affected by capital factors, lack of construction increment downstream, no improvement in concrete market demand, and downward pressure on local quotations. From August 22 to August 28, the national concrete price index closed at 113.68 points, down 0.42% annually and 11.12% year-on-year.

2024-08-30 17:31:27

Domestic high temperature rain weather has not yet subsided, downstream construction activity is still low, the concrete market is relatively flat, and the market price is stable. From August 15 to August 21, the national concrete price index closed at 114.16 points, down 0.28% annually and 11.40% year-on-year.

2024-08-23 17:35:52

Domestic construction conditions have not improved significantly, coupled with the small number of new key projects, the market demand is still relatively low, and the price of concrete has fallen more or risen less. From August 8 to August 14, the national concrete price index closed at 114.48 points, down 0.33% annually and 11.69% year-on-year.

2024-08-17 10:46:53

Market, according to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news: August 12 or so, Hunan cement enterprises generally push up the price of cement 50 yuan/ton; August 13, Shaanxi cement enterprises push up the price of cement 60 yuan/ton. Hubei market has recently spread the rumor of price increases, but whether it can take place remains to be seen.

2024-08-13 11:22:30

The domestic market continued to be controlled by the hot and rainy weather, the market demand was weak, the price of concrete continued to fall steadily, and the decline in Sichuan and Chongqing was relatively large. From August 1st to August 7th, the national concrete price index closed at 114.86 points, down 0.43% from the previous month.

2024-08-09 18:09:08

Shaanxi Guanzhong cement prices have reached the bottom and stabilized, the price war has eased, the market adjustment, the full recovery still needs time. Ningxia enterprises plan to raise prices by taking the opportunity of off-peak kiln shutdown, and the specific effect remains to be tested. Gansu, Qinghai and Xinjiang markets are stable, Xinjiang prices are stable, Gansu is partially fine-tuned and overall stable, Gansu will implement peak staggering and kiln shutdown, and market trends are concerned. The price of cement in Qinghai maintains the status quo without significant fluctuation.

2024-08-09 16:37:18

Domestic construction conditions have not been significantly improved, coupled with insufficient new projects in most regions, the concrete market is still flat. From July 25th to July 31st, the national concrete price index closed at 115.36 points, down 0.59% from the previous month.

2024-08-02 17:29:53

According to the cement network market data center news, Ningxia prices continue to decline; Shaanxi region recently due to the contradiction between supply and demand and price competition led to a larger price reduction.

2024-08-02 16:39:35

Looking forward to the second half of 2024, we believe that the demand for cement will improve compared with the first half of the year, and the price will continue to rebound. However, under the constraints of weak demand and serious overcapacity, the repair of cement price is limited. Throughout the year, cement demand will face

2024-08-01 09:19:52

"There are two leading enterprises fighting in Guanzhong.".

2024-07-31 17:32:22

Rainfall continued in many parts of the country, local typhoons invaded, downstream construction was slow, and concrete prices fell steadily. From July 18th to July 24th, the national concrete price index closed at 116.05 points, down 0.58%.

2024-07-26 20:17:51

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The market demand is not good, and the concrete market is stable and weak.

2024-07-26 17:27:16

Shaanxi Guanzhong and Ningxia markets continued to fall.

2024-07-26 15:34:14

Some regions in China are affected by high temperature and rain weather, coupled with insufficient new projects, the price of concrete is weakening. From July 11th to July 17th, the national concrete price index closed at 116.73 points, down 0.47% from the previous month.

2024-07-19 17:35:12

Recently, some leading enterprises in Guanzhong area have lowered the cement price by about 40-50 yuan/ton.

2024-07-19 15:53:49

According to the cement network market data center news, the market in Guanzhong area of Shaanxi Province is affected by multiple factors, with a price decline of 40-50 yuan/ton.

2024-07-19 15:25:30

Recently, the domestic rain belt has moved northward, the market demand in most regions is still weak, and the price of concrete is stable and weak. From July 4th to July 10th, the national concrete price index closed at 117.28 points, down 0.54% from the previous month.

2024-07-12 17:29:18

According to the cement network market data center news, thanks to the staggered peak kiln, most of the market is relatively stable.

2024-07-12 15:50:01

Rainwater in the south has decreased recently, but the growth rate of downstream construction demand is limited, and the price of concrete is mainly stable. From June 27th to July 3rd, the national concrete price index closed at 117.92 points, and the ring ratio remained stable.

2024-07-05 17:34:54

On November 21, the Western Construction (002302) issued a prospectus for issuing stocks to specific targets in 2021. The company plans to introduce Conch Cement as a strategic investor through this issue, and Conch Cement will subscribe for 183 million shares, accounting for 12.48% of the total equity after the issue, becoming the second largest shareholder. The purpose of this issue is to optimize the capital structure, supplement liquidity and repay bank loans, which is expected to bring the company an annual increase of 8.85 billion yuan in operating income and a total profit of 708 million yuan, up 38.71% and 78.23% respectively from 2023.