泛东北水泥:优不胜劣不汰

2019-02-25 09:37:29

水泥是业务单一的重资产行业,一般企业不具备主动转型的能力,更加不愿被市场淘汰。目前,泛东北地区一些大型水泥企业,靠着母公司的资金支持,在亏损中勉强运行。缺乏资金的小型企业,则大多选择放假歇业,但并没有退出市场竞争,一但价格回暖就马上开机。结果是,优不胜,劣不汰,市场几乎丧失了对供需关系的调节作用。

  当下,整个泛东北地区水泥行业和多数企业都在充分利用市场之手,开展各种方向的探索和实践,寻求突围。依法化解过剩产能、暂停32.5水泥的生产和销售、动态执行产能置换和错峰生产、建立去产能过剩基金、争取减免税政策......等等,这些都是结合泛东北水泥行业整体实际情况,在国家政策框架和方向上的合理、有效的探索。

  但问题是怎样尽快落实?

  我们在调研中也深深感受到泛东北水泥行业、企业的一种强烈期盼:期盼各级政府发挥更大的引导作用;期盼在“市场主导,政府引导”的原则下,地方各级政府部门能够不越位,更不要失位。

  经济发展中,政府和市场从来都是相辅相成、缺一不可的。

  泛东北水泥行业困局,既有资本盲目性的弊病,也有政府部门职能越位、缺位的因素。

  市场这只“看不见的手”仍在发挥作用,还在等待供给自行匹配需求,等待市场参与者减少到合适的数量。现实却是,调节的过程极其缓慢。水泥是业务单一的重资产行业,一般企业不具备主动转型的能力,更加不愿被市场淘汰。目前,泛东北地区一些大型水泥企业,靠着母公司的资金支持,在亏损中勉强运行。缺乏资金的小型企业,则大多选择放假歇业,但并没有退出市场竞争,一但价格回暖就马上开机。结果是,优不胜,劣不汰,市场几乎丧失了对供需关系的调节作用。

  “看不见的手”失了效,“看得见的手”也脱不开责任。中央政府在前端管理中制定了规则,而在过程管理中,某些地方政府却不是合格的“裁判员”。比如,国发〔2009〕38号文件、国发〔2013〕41号文件均指出,严格控制新增水泥产能,坚决遏制产能盲目扩张,可从2009年到2016年,泛东北地区却新增水泥产能2597万吨。其中,不乏地方政府为了增加固定资产投资,为了GDP和税收,擅自开绿灯、上项目,更有“先上车后补票”的地方保护行为。作为市场的“裁判员”,政府部门不执法、不公正,放大了资本在逐利时的盲目性,场上的竞技者要么黯然离场,或者成为新的违规者,市场经济的活力一降再降。

  冰冻三尺,消融起来并不容易。泛东北地区的“裁判员”们,首先,要意识到水泥行业的困局,关乎700亿元的债务风险,关乎数十万职工的生计,关乎“投资不过山海关”的戏谑,关乎振兴老工业基地的使命。其次,要认识到社会主义市场经济的优越性,需要“有为的政府”,而不是“乱为、不为”的政府。再次,要在实际工作中找准水泥产业的引导方向,和市场化的解题方法。

  解决泛东北水泥行业的困局,去产量、去产能要同步进行。去产量可以帮助行业实现扭亏,进而为去产能积累资本,其核心是相关政策的落实。去产能的关键是建立完善的退出机制,以市场化的方式为主导,辅以政策上的支持。这些都需要各级政府积极作为、科学作为!

  在水泥去产能过程中需要政府部门做的还有很多。比如,加强能效、环保、质量等现有标准的执行力度,落实好错峰生产政策,维护市场公平竞争。又如,建立去产能基金,做好基金的征收和发放工作,用存续企业的利润补贴退出企业的损失。再如,严格执行产能减量置换政策,动态调节产能置换比例,保障行业供需基本平衡。再如,引导有能力的企业转型发展,在财税政策上给予倾斜。还有,探索水泥行业碳交易机制,抑制落后、鼓励先进。

  做好社会主义市场经济的答卷,政府要用改革激发市场活力,用政策引导市场预期,用规划明确投资方向,用法治规范市场行为。政府的工作越细致,企业的发展越健康,职工待遇越优厚,经济社会越有活力,营商环境才算真正得到改善,“看不见的手”才能充分发挥调节的作用。

All can be viewed after purchase
Correlation

Implement the Catalogue of Guidance for Industrial Structure Adjustment. We will strengthen the analysis, early warning and window guidance of production capacity in key industries, and accelerate the withdrawal of backward production capacity in key industries. Implement normal peak staggering production of cement and shut down and withdraw from backward production capacity in accordance with the law and regulations.

2024-11-11 09:41:14

The Implementation Measures adhere to systematic thinking and problem orientation, encourage the advanced and eliminate the backward, implement differentiated policies for different regions and varieties, optimize the industrial layout, and enhance the green and low-carbon level.

2024-10-31 09:15:54

Seeing the title, some people are sure to say: "This is not true. A few years ago, everyone in the cement industry ushered in six years of good times in the process of sharing happiness." Is this really the case? As a typical cyclical industry, the development of cement industry is full of ups and downs. From the past experience, when the industry encounters a low ebb, it is easier for enterprises to form a consensus and deal with challenges together; however, after the industry recovers, it is difficult to maintain this spirit of unity.

2024-08-20 16:27:06

We should strengthen industry communication and enterprise dialogue, abandon the Cold War mentality, not vicious competition, not "cheap" products, not "involution" marketing, consciously resist the use of low-price dumping, loss-making sales and other improper means, jointly create a fair and stable market environment and competition order, build a good industry ecology, and reduce waste of resources and environmental pressure.

2024-08-12 11:33:12

On July 20, 2021, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a notice on the implementation measures of capacity replacement in the cement and glass industry. The revised Measures for the Implementation of Capacity Replacement in the Cement and Glass Industry will come into effect on August 1, 2021.

2024-07-24 12:08:35

In the past two decades, the demand change of China's cement industry has gone through three development stages: high-speed development period (2004-2012), high-level platform period (2013-2021), and downward demand period (from 2022 to now).

2024-07-23 16:45:00

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, heavy rainfall is prevalent in East China this week, with mountain torrents and floods in some areas. Many construction sites have been shut down, cement demand has plummeted, and cement prices have fallen slightly.

2024-07-05 16:08:54

From 2015 to 2022, the whole seven-year window period, the industry did not think about how to put the capacity into practice, but continued to increase the actual capacity through various means.

2024-07-04 09:19:12

To formulate and promulgate policies and measures to resolve excess capacity in the cement industry, and gradually establish a market-oriented and legalized working mechanism to resolve excess capacity.

2024-06-27 09:44:22

Taiwan's cement industry has experienced a complete life cycle from germination, growth, prosperity to recession. Study Taiwan cement industry from the development since demand drops period, have draw lessons from a meaning very much to market of current mainland cement.

2024-05-28 11:53:23

From the perspective of policy purpose, peak staggering production and capacity replacement are indeed two important strategies for the supply-side structural reform of the cement industry, but why is it that after several years of development, the overcapacity of the cement industry has become more and more serious, and the effect of the supply-side structural reform of the cement industry has gradually disappeared?

2024-05-11 09:30:03

Which side do you prefer?

2024-04-23 13:56:04

Should Conch Cement grab the share? What is your point of view? Feel free to leave a comment.

2024-04-15 16:50:08

Several years later, the capacity was effectively removed through market shuffling, and the capacity utilization rate of the cement industry returned reasonably. Perhaps it is the golden sentence of the cement industry, the world cement looks at China, China cement looks at conch!

2024-04-11 14:04:43

The key to determine the efficiency of the industry is the supply structure and enterprise behavior.

2024-04-07 16:00:37

Zheng Jianhui expects cement demand to decline by at least 3% in 2024.

2024-04-03 15:12:49

Under the background of such a complex and severe cement market, how can the cement industry survive and develop next? The participants had a heated discussion.

2024-03-28 21:39:54

Pan Zhonghong, deputy general manager of Anhui Conch Cement Co., Ltd., said that the current situation of the industry is very anxious and we do not want to see it. The serious overcapacity and the sharp decline in demand have further intensified the contradictions in the industry.

2024-03-28 18:49:53

Liu Zonghu believes that the trend of continuous decline in cement demand can not be changed, the market rebound driven by demand will never return, the situation of serious overcapacity will not change in the short and medium term, industry concentration is not achieved overnight, through compulsory capacity removal, joint restructuring, elimination of backward capacity, can not be solved in a short time.

2024-03-28 18:42:23

From the point of view of the whole cement layout, the provinces are basically in a surplus stage, calling on the state to introduce a policy of stopping capacity replacement.

2024-03-28 18:31:57

The price of cement in Chongqing has dropped; the cement industry will be in a difficult period in the next ten years; "rigid capacity reduction" is the feasible solution to resolve overcapacity.

2024-01-12 14:45:33

贵州水泥价格大幅上调60-100元/吨;亚泰集团拟以近10亿收购公司;四川计划2024年一季度每条熟料生产线错峰生产50-60天

2023-12-18 13:14:07

12月5日,中国水泥协会执行会长肖家祥赴湖北调研,并主持召开湖北水泥行业高质量发展座谈会,研讨当前行业发展形势,谋划湖北水泥行业未来高质量发展思路及重点举措。

2023-12-08 10:44:05

10月行情月报;天山股份:水泥价格处于缓慢修复趋势;水泥需求已经进入下行通道;陕西省、山西省等地水泥行业已进入错峰停产状态。威顿水泥集团以7.13亿元竞得山西一水泥用石灰岩矿采矿权。

2023-11-09 14:13:34

现在是工业信息化、智能化大爆炸的时代,水泥行业信息化、智能化已经在蓬勃发展,成为行业的必然发展趋势。

2023-11-09 14:09:27

前三季度全国累计水泥产量创近13年以来同期最低,预计行业利润同比降幅仍达60%左右,企业亏损面扩大。

2023-11-08 09:20:21

水泥行业是碳排放大户和传统耗煤大户,与发电行业相比在减碳制度设计与碳排放配额初始分配上应把握总量与强度双控、市场化、现有政策衔接、供给侧结构性改革、活跃度与紧平衡、创新能力与包容性等维度,以实现低碳转型。

2023-11-07 10:14:45

虽然水泥需求总体是趋于大幅下降,但是水泥作为主要的基础建筑材料,在我们工业化、城镇化、现代化建设中发挥了重要作用,社会需要它,百姓需要它。我们应该对行业发展抱有正面的看法和态度,只要积极推进转型升级和创新发展,就一定可以更好融入和推动经济社会发展。

2023-10-09 16:01:14

诸葛文达认为,水泥作为周期性行业,发展自有其规律。整体来说,当前水泥行业正由“春秋时期”转入“战国时期”。过去几年,行业通过“合纵连横”构建了相对稳定的竞合关系,取得了良好的效益,如今随着市场需求的下滑,行业将在竞争中,开启一轮“兼并战争”。

2023-09-06 09:18:44

8月25日,工信部、发改委、财政部等八部门联合下发了关于《建材行业稳增长工作方案》的通知,《方案》明确提出了2023-2024年建材行业稳增长的要求、目标、举措和保障措施。围绕《方案》,水泥行业应该怎么做?

2023-08-29 09:15:54

张建新表示此行调研目地,一调研协会和水泥企业,了解水泥企业现在难点和痛点,为企业排忧解难,做更好的服务;二搭建好协会桥梁,及时向上级主管部门反映现实问题,提出行业健康发展建议,解决水泥行业面临的困难。三是持续推进去产能,错峰生产是临时手段,宜用能耗和排放方法压减产能,最终还是靠市场来解决。

2023-08-24 09:48:47

水泥行业面临着哪些挑战和困难?未来的主要任务又是哪些?肖家祥分享了他的看法。

2023-08-23 18:01:23

他建议水泥行业一是要正确认识形势,坚定不移推动化解过剩产能工作;二是坚定发展信心,加快推进绿色化智能化转型升级;三是形成工作合力,努力营造行业高质量发展良好氛围。

2023-08-23 10:14:21

上涨势头能够持续多久?后市行业利润表现又将如何?

2023-08-21 11:25:39

马维平认为,当前水泥行业同2015年一样,都遭遇了经济的转型期,面对房地产、基建和整体经济态势的下滑,水泥需求萎缩,供需矛盾加剧,导致行业态势步入低谷,但是与2015年相比,当前行业还面临两大方面的不同。

2023-08-17 21:18:39

面临需求长期下行和双碳目标压力,“水泥行业应如何进一步深化供给侧结构性改革以实现高质量发展”是当前摆在行业面前迫切需要解决的问题......

2023-08-16 09:11:11

更需要思考的是,在错峰生产之外,水泥行业是否能找到更有效的化解产能过剩的路径和方法,毕竟归根到底,超产问题愈演愈烈的背后,错峰生产常态化也是重要推手。

2023-05-29 09:24:26

中国水泥工业已进入长期性、全局性的产能过剩时代,目前产能过剩率已超过40%,预计未来需求量还将继续下降,行业供需矛盾也会进一步加剧。

2023-05-25 17:17:36

近日,中国水泥网走访四川省星船城水泥股份有限公司(以下简称:星船城水泥),四川省星船城水泥董事长陈铁军预计2023年四川水泥需求相比与去年持平或略有下降。

2023-05-06 15:49:58

过去一年,水泥行业面临的困难和挑战前所未有,作出的探索和努力前所未有。面对经济下行压力加大、疫情多发频发、市场需求走弱等多重超预期因素冲击,湖北水泥行业同舟共济、共渡难关,取得了来之不易的成绩。

2023-04-24 14:14:42

水泥行业应该如何应对才能稳住市场态势?

2023-04-10 09:39:55

近期,水泥行业龙头企业密集发布2022年财报,业绩表现不佳、净利润大幅下滑成为普遍现象。

2023-04-07 10:30:30

业内观点认为,尽管一系列措施压减了水泥的部分产量,但水泥行业产能过剩的矛盾仍未得到根本性改变。

2023-04-06 16:37:52

冀东水泥:水泥属产能过剩行业,底部还未真正的到来,一直是充分竞争。

2023-03-31 09:55:19

天山股份、海螺水泥、冀东水泥、华新水泥、华润水泥5家水泥龙头企业相继发布2022年公司年度报告

2023-03-30 09:36:08

3月15-16日,中国水泥网召开了“2023中国水泥产业峰会”,邀请业界领导、专家等共同探讨水泥行业发展方向,凝聚星火之力,推动行业高质量发展。

2023-03-27 11:36:53

论坛上,世纪新峰雷山水泥董事长诸葛文达表示未来全国水泥产量将不断下行。

2023-03-21 01:15:43

张绪武表示,面临的形势越严峻,我们越要坚定发展信心,稳定发展预期,保持战略定力,坚定信心决心。水泥作为国民经济发展的重要基础工业,要坚持稳中求进工作总基调,完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念,持续深化供给侧结构性改革,加快构建新发展格局,不断提升产业链供应链韧性和安全水平。

2023-03-15 09:00:24

常卫东在履新讲话中指出,作为省级社团组织的山西省建材工业协会,根本任务就是服务于企业、服务于行业、服务于政府、服务于社会。

2023-02-16 09:54:53

Adani is also a big man in the Indian cement industry and is the second largest cement producer in India. He entered the industry in 2022 with the acquisition of Holcim's cement business in India, which acquired about 70 million tons of cement per year for $10.5 billion. Adani plans to expand its annual cement production capacity to 140 million tons by 2028. Adani has previously invested $1.6 billion to acquire Sanchi Cement and Penna Cement, and is expected to acquire an additional 21 million tons of production capacity.