水泥冷暖大佬谈 | 吴国强:产能过剩严峻 应叫停产能置换

2023-11-13 09:32:38

水泥行业已经进入产能严重过剩时代,全国范围内的产能过剩问题都十分严峻。

名家荟萃,专家云集,不同视角,各抒己见。中国水泥网近期开设了《水泥冷暖大佬谈》专栏,采访了水泥行业诸多企业领导、行业专家,本期邀请到的是惠州市罗浮山水泥集团有限公司董事长吴国强。

吴国强指出,近期广东地区水泥价格小幅上扬,主要原因还是今年上半年以来,广东市场内忧外患,价格一跌再跌,水泥厂家涨价意愿强烈。

目前两广地区的水泥市场形势依旧严峻。“现在市场不允许满负荷生产,去年产量在400万吨左右,今年估计比去年还要差一点。”吴国强介绍。

吴国强分析,市场需求低迷的原因,主要有三。

一是房地产态势低迷。目前广东地区新开工项目非常少,大部分都是保交楼项目,水泥消费量有限。

二是外来水泥侵占广东市场。今年以来,广西一大批新建产能为保证现金流,抢占市场份额,加大了产能发挥力度,对广东市场造成了较大的冲击。

三是产能过剩问题越发严峻。部分地区的新增产能还在投放,部分企业通过产能置换,使得许多“僵尸产能”死灰复燃。

吴国强建议,应叫停产能置换政策。水泥行业已经进入产能严重过剩时代,全国范围内的产能过剩问题都十分严峻。产能置换并未真正的化解行业产能过剩问题,甚至让大量僵尸产能,落后产能借助产能置换,变身先进产能。

针对后续的水泥市场,吴国强指出,经济是周期性的,虽然明后两年的市场估计无法回到以前好的时候,但也不可能一直差下去。水泥企业要坚定信心,加强管理,降本增效。

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Correlation

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