过去五年，通过错峰“去产量”，大幅提升行业效益，使多数企业受益，也带来大量资本进入行业，加剧产能过剩的程度。
产能过剩问题是水泥行业长期以来一直存在的问题。
近年来，国内水泥需求持续下滑，2023年初至今，国内水泥价格下行压力极大，多地爆发价格战，即便是华东等热门地区，水泥价格也跌至历史低谷，行业亏损面也在持续加大。为何出现当前形势，不少业内人士认为供需矛盾日益加剧是主因，需求下滑下，产能过剩问题更显突出。
如何看待产能过剩？未来行业怎么去产能？红狮控股集团董事长兼总经理章小华分享了他的观点：
过去五年，通过错峰“去产量”，大幅提升行业效益，使多数企业受益，也带来大量资本进入行业，加剧产能过剩的程度。
今后，行业将从错峰“去产量”转向“去产能”。“去产能”分成两种，一种是竞争性去产能，需求下行时，通过市场竞争会使30%-40%产能退出，但这种去产能方式会使行业效益低迷，有不少企业艰难退出，少有赢家；另一种是理性去产能，大家统一认识，使产能退出者有回报的退出，这样既能提高集中度又能使行业取得良好效益。
从现在来看竞争“去产能”的可能性远大于理性“去产能”。要实现理性“去产能”需要行业同行对行业大势有深刻的理解，更需要大格局、大智慧。
According to the cement network market data center news, affected by the low temperature weather, the market demand in Shaanxi has further weakened.
2024-01-26 17:48:05
According to the market data of China Cement Network, the price of cement raw materials has continued to rise recently, coupled with the impact of environmental control and shutdown of kilns, enterprises in the region have a strong willingness to raise prices.
2024-01-26 17:04:19
Reasons for the rise and fall of cement prices in Guangxi and Shijiazhuang; Ma Zhifeng: In the era of high cost and low demand, cement enterprises are playing a game between small profits; Conch Cement plans to invest 560 million yuan to build a photovoltaic power generation project; Shanshui Cement is expected to lose 850 million yuan in 2023; the central bank's reduction of reserve requirement ratio and interest rate will help improve the economic and real estate recovery expectations.
2024-01-25 13:05:17
Ma Zhifeng said that the cement industry has been overcapacity for a long time, and off-peak production is the only feasible way for the cement industry to explore for many years. If the off-peak production policy can not be effectively implemented, many enterprises will not survive.
2024-01-25 10:37:28
Through policy support and administrative coordination, we will support 1 to 3 large enterprises of 10 million tons in each province, guide other enterprises to share the market and benefits according to their generating capacity, and then eliminate 1/3 of the production capacity by the large enterprises in a unified and balanced manner, so as to reduce the losses of the eliminated enterprises.
2024-01-24 09:36:27
Zhang Baogui said that the reason why the cement industry in Tibet can still develop well at present is that Tibet can strictly implement the development plan of the cement industry, strictly control the total production capacity of cement clinker, avoid blind expansion, and prevent Tibet from going to the road of serious overcapacity in the region.
2024-01-23 15:01:20
According to the data center of China Cement Network, due to the low temperature and rainy weather, the market demand and sales declined, and the price of cement in the two lakes and parts of Henan Province dropped by 10-30 yuan/ton in the week. The price of bagged cement in individual markets in Guangdong will be raised by 10 yuan/ton, and the implementation remains to be observed.
2024-01-19 16:02:53
The price of Yueyang Cement in Hunan and Chengdu-Deyang-Mianyang Cement in Sichuan has dropped; recognizing the situation is the first barrier for Henan Cement in the new year; 28 production lines will be put into production in 2024.
2024-01-19 13:11:00
The person in charge: "Large enterprises also have to survive, stop too many kilns, the loss is too great, large enterprises can not stand, has been unable to retreat, continue to go on like this, the market environment in 2024 will only be worse.". The person in charge also pointed out that the downward trend of cement demand is inevitable, and it is impossible to return to the past in the future. Overcapacity will only become more and more serious, which is the basic aspect of the current cement industry.
2024-01-19 09:18:51
The price of cement in Kunming and Chongqing of Yunnan Province declined; Wang Aizhen said that the cement enterprises in the whole province suffered large losses and the pressure in 2024 was even worse; the national cement output dropped to the lowest level in 13 years.
2024-01-17 14:03:46
Talking about the situation of Henan cement market in 2024, Wang Aizhen said that due to the drag of real estate, the contradiction between supply and demand is likely to further intensify in the new year, and the price competition among enterprises may be unavoidable. If the industry can not reach a consensus on steady growth, the Henan cement market will remain difficult in the new year, and the loss may be more serious.
2024-01-16 20:10:05
The survival of the fittest and the elimination of uncompetitive production capacity by market competition.
2024-01-16 14:24:36
Although the industry has created brilliance during the ten years of capacity removal, it has not really solved the problem of overcapacity in the end.
2024-01-15 11:05:10
The price of cement in Chongqing has dropped; the cement industry will be in a difficult period in the next ten years; "rigid capacity reduction" is the feasible solution to resolve overcapacity.
2024-01-12 14:45:33
In the long run, Zhang Zhenkun believes that the cement industry will be in a difficult period in the next ten years, and the demand for cement will drop from 2.04 billion tons to 1.4 billion tons or even less in ten years.
2024-01-12 09:27:58
Guangdong up 10 yuan/ton, Hainan down 50 yuan/ton; cement industry missed the good opportunity to cut production capacity; Shanxi 2023 second batch of A-level, B-level, leading enterprises list announced
2024-01-11 15:08:22
It is precisely because the industry once "indulged" in high investment stimulated by high profits that it can be said that it has lost a good opportunity to resolve the serious overcapacity.
2024-01-11 14:26:07
Yang Dan believes that the fundamental reason for capacity removal is not "rational capacity removal", but "rigid capacity removal".
2024-01-10 13:53:30
Staggered peak production of cement, only reduce the output, not reduce production capacity.
2024-01-08 15:12:46
How should cement enterprises deal with this industry situation or continue to continue in 2024?
2024-01-08 09:27:17
Cement market price shocks; Zhang Xiaohua: "Rational capacity reduction" is an important strategy for the cement industry to get out of the predicament; the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the list of typical application scenarios and cases of industrial green microgrid in 2023.
2024-01-04 13:09:03
Through fierce market competition, most enterprises will realize the importance of "rational capacity removal" to the industry and jointly promote "rational capacity removal".
2024-01-04 10:35:09
Bright Future of Cement Industry in 2024; Tu Shunzu: There Is No Winner in "Price War"
2024-01-03 14:09:40
湖北宜昌水泥价格下滑；水泥巨头纷纷“出招破局”； 薄克刚：维护行业正常秩序是第一要务
2023-12-29 15:33:05
据中国水泥网行情数据消息，河北石家庄、保定等地区本周天气虽有回暖，但环保问题依旧严峻。由于持续发布的重污染红色预警，水泥发运受阻，主导企业生产与工程作业几近停滞，价格难有变动。
2023-12-29 11:01:32
中国水泥网《水泥冷暖大佬谈》专栏邀请到四川省水泥协会理事长、西南水泥总裁薄克刚，探讨当前水泥行业面临的发展困境。薄克刚认为，应通过维护行业秩序、加大节能减排和环保投入、落实去产能政策等措施，推动水泥行业技术进步和产业创新。
2023-12-29 10:22:03
从整个行业来说，某龙头企业的确表现不错，但其“只讲份额，不搞错峰”的做法造成的负面影响更大，让全国水泥行业都“哀嚎”一片。
2023-12-15 14:59:23
陕西关中、安徽多地水泥价格上涨；国家统计局：2023年1-11月全国水泥产量下降0.9%；温州预计年进口水泥量将达到100万吨
2023-12-15 14:44:41
北方错峰停窑导致多省水泥价格上调；吴国强分析称市场需求低迷原因有三：房地产低迷、外来水泥侵占市场、产能过剩严峻，建议叫停产能置换政策。前三季度全国水泥产量14.95亿吨，同比下降4.32%，行业效益大幅萎缩。海螺水泥转让一宗土地使用权，底价仅1.8万元。河南查出5批次水泥产品不合格。
2023-11-13 15:20:48
当前情况下，仅仅靠协同错峰已经不能解决广东水泥行业所面临的问题。一旦广东水泥企业停窑“休战”，广西等地的水泥会迅速“杀入”广东市场。
2023-11-10 13:40:48
10月行情月报；天山股份：水泥价格处于缓慢修复趋势；水泥需求已经进入下行通道；陕西省、山西省等地水泥行业已进入错峰停产状态。威顿水泥集团以7.13亿元竞得山西一水泥用石灰岩矿采矿权。
2023-11-09 14:13:34
1. 贵州、浙江、湖北武汉等地水泥价格上调。 2. 陈文胜表示，水泥行业应保持合理利润，转型升级是“必修课”。 3. 山东省发布2023-2024年度水泥常态化错峰生产工作通知，采暖季错峰生产共计120天。 4. 贵州省多家水泥企业获得大气污染防治资金，主要用于大气污染物超低排放改造。 5. 吉林省3家水泥企业入选省级节水型企业名单。
2023-11-03 14:31:42
当前业内企业都应当认识到一件事，那就是行业的健康发展应当保持合理的利润。对于任何企业，尤其是国企来说，经营的结果是最重要的。
2023-11-02 15:45:18
行情震荡上行；同质化严重的产业中成本控制是王道；天山股份答投资者问，涉及需求、市场、煤价等问题
2023-11-02 13:29:45
蒋晓萌认为，经济环境的变化，房地产投资下降是导致水泥需求下滑的核心因素。与此同时，新增产能不断释放更加剧了产能过剩问题；行业间的信任度降低甚至破裂，打破了原有的协同局面，使行业进入恶性竞争。
2023-11-02 11:35:44
广西水泥价格上调；“多措并举”塑造水泥行业健康生态；河南、江西、河北、湖南等多地发布水泥错峰通知；中国铁建3位副总裁辞任。无人驾驶卡车在矿山规模化运行，水泥智慧矿山建设持续推进。
2023-11-01 13:40:32
湖南、河南、江苏水泥价格上调；大佬刘燕：全面打价格战并不可取，因区施策更宜；塔牌、宁夏、天山、上峰发布三季度业绩报
2023-10-26 13:44:27
王建超认为，供求关系才是能否提升企业效益最重要因素，但在产能过剩如此严重的背景下，用能耗总量或者用碳排放总量控制，作为刚性指标控制水泥产能都是不错的办法，但他个人认为用碳排放总量控制是既迎合国家大政策、又能实现去产能的最佳选择。
2023-10-25 09:29:32
行情小幅探涨；置换比例1：1，海螺水泥将迁建一条4500t/d熟料生产线；水泥冷暖大佬谈丨章小华：今后五年，行业将从错峰“去产量”转向“去产能”
2023-10-23 14:30:12
过去五年，通过错峰“去产量”，大幅提升行业效益，使多数企业受益，也带来大量资本进入行业，加剧产能过剩的程度。
2023-10-21 09:59:33
河南、贵州推涨；水泥冷暖大佬谈|刘永行：市场低谷时，成本为王；工信部公示了11项水泥行业相关的行业标准；93条！贵州水泥熟料生产线清单公示！
2023-10-20 14:16:31
长期来看，水泥行业如何保持稳健发展？刘永行指出，在水泥行业需求下行的预期下，只有做出实质性的淘汰产能工作，行业才能更好发展。
2023-10-20 09:18:36
终端需求疲态难改； 1.水泥冷暖大佬谈|何坤皇：去产能任重道远 促转型迫在眉睫 2.新疆：预计2023年水泥需求增长5%以上 3.两家水泥企业拟被列入全国工业领域电力需求侧管理典型案例！ 4.多项补贴支持广西水泥外销，广东水泥市场再增压力
2023-10-10 13:56:36
虽然水泥需求总体是趋于大幅下降，但是水泥作为主要的基础建筑材料，在我们工业化、城镇化、现代化建设中发挥了重要作用，社会需要它，百姓需要它。我们应该对行业发展抱有正面的看法和态度，只要积极推进转型升级和创新发展，就一定可以更好融入和推动经济社会发展。
2023-10-09 16:01:14
多地调涨水泥价格； 1.水泥冷暖大佬谈|邱景河：国企打价格战损人不利己！ 2.新建5000t/d熟料线！又一水泥企业在重庆投资40亿 3.一4960t/d水泥熟料搬迁项目已完成 4.两个月，又有21家混凝土企业破产
2023-09-22 13:45:31
通过打价格战来抢占市场会导致企业自身和行业利益受损，是“损人不利己”的行为，是不理性的竞争方式，水泥企业应该共同努力，促进水泥行业利润稳增长，为宏观经济的稳增长贡献一份力量。
2023-09-21 17:18:06
徐贵生表示，当前水泥行业的现状并不乐观，水泥价格跌势难止。尽管市场在不断萎缩，但稳预期、稳增长仍是下阶段经济发展的重中之重，引导房地产行业实现“软着陆”是当前各方的共识，在各路政策的加持下，水泥需求将会得到一定程度的恢复。
2023-09-19 17:30:26
CEMPI
133.08
+0.03 +0.02%
CONCPI
112.47
+0.35 +0.31%
CLKPI
139.58
+0.95 +0.69%
SPPI
50.39
+0.10 +0.20%
MORPI
80.43
+0.04 +0.05%
Recently, due to the persistent cost pressure in the south, the price of concrete has risen slightly with the raw materials, but the growth of market demand is limited, and the overall quotation is still stable. From October 31 to November 6, the national concrete price index closed at 112.47 points, up 0.31% annually and down 10.11% year-on-year.
