Egyptian brokers predict that the country's cement industry will bid farewell to the explosive growth of 2025 in 2026 and enter a new stage of slowing growth. At present, the fundamentals of Egypt's cement industry are still sound, and it will continue to maintain positive growth in 2026, but the growth rate is difficult to replicate the brilliance of last year.
On the supply side, the impact of new capacity is generally considered to be limited. Although the government issued three new cement production licenses in 2025, the construction period of cement production line is as long as two to three years, and it is difficult to form effective supply between 2026 and 2027. The real supply increment may come from other channels, such as the resumption of six production lines, the incentive policy introduced in 2025 to allow some enterprises to expand production at a lower cost, and the abolition of the production quota system in 2026. The combination of these factors may increase market supply pressure in the short term. In terms of
price trend, Egyptian cement prices are expected to stabilize at about $80 per ton (about 3800 Egyptian pounds). There are downside risks to prices if new capacity entry accelerates, and upside support if export demand surges on the back of regional reconstruction projects. This two-way uncertainty constitutes the main feature of the pricing environment in 2026.
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