海螺水泥:四季度水泥市场需求将有所好转 一带一路沿线中长期水泥产能目标5000万吨

2022-09-01 10:32:08

8月31日,海螺水泥在业绩会上表示,2022年上半年,受疫情和房地产投资下行影响,水泥行业面临多重压力,部分地区由于产能严重过剩,价格下滑幅度较大。

8月31日,海螺水泥在业绩会上表示,2022年上半年,受疫情和房地产投资下行影响,水泥行业面临多重压力,部分地区由于产能严重过剩,价格下滑幅度较大。公司认为,随着四季度旺季到来,市场需求改善,市场竞争压力会有所缓解。十四五期间公司将积极延伸上下游产业链,加大骨料和商混项目投资,骨料产能力争做到3亿吨,商混产能做到6000万方。海螺海外业务,截至目前,公司在一带一路沿线国家累计建成水泥产能2000万吨,未来中长期规划目标是达到5000万吨产能。商混业务,公司计划到“十四五”末,商品混凝土年产能达6000万立方米。  

据海螺水泥介绍,2022年上半年,受疫情和房地产投资下行影响,水泥行业面临需求下滑、价格下行、成本上涨的多重压力,行业效益受到严重侵蚀。部分地区由于产能严重过剩,市场供求矛盾突出,价格下滑幅度较大,为保持合理市场份额,公司顺势而为,采取随行就市的策略来应对市场变化。随着四季度旺季到来,市场需求改善,市场竞争压力会有所缓解。  

上半年由于公司销量同比减少17%,使得单位费用无法得到有效摊薄,同时由于报告期新增计提了安全生产费等,导致管理费用同比上升。由于公司净资产基数较大,在盈利水平下降的情况下,净资产收益率下降明显,未来公司会持续做好生产经营发展,提升公司价值,为股东创造持续回报。  

从十三五开始,水泥行业步入平台期以来,公司水泥主业发展方式以收购兼并为主,新建水泥项目主要是海外项目。十四五期间公司将积极延伸上下游产业链,加大骨料和商混项目投资,打造新的产业增长极。同时,随着绿色发展理念的贯彻,骨料产业进入门槛持续提升,目前主要由大型水泥企业或建筑类企业资本在投入。海螺水泥骨料项目以自有矿山建设为主,新购骨料矿山主要集中在市场需求和交通区位较好的位置,具有合理的竞争优势。  

公司上半年骨料汇总销量2500万吨,商混销量215万方。十四五期间公司将加快上下游产业链发展,主要加大骨料和商混项目投资,骨料产能力争做到3亿吨,商混产能做到6000万方,同时积极稳妥做好光伏、储能项目投资发展,实现工厂光伏发电全覆盖。  

海螺海外业务,截至目前,公司在一带一路沿线国家累计建成水泥产能2000万吨,未来中长期规划目标是达到5000万吨产能。考虑到海外有很多不可控风险因素,具体实施过程中公司不会盲目求快而忽视风险评估,总体会稳步推进有关项目进度。  

商混业务是公司产业链的有效延伸,对控制终端市场、提升产业竞争力具有战略意义。公司计划到“十四五”末,商品混凝土年产能达6000万立方米。  

公司发展光伏和储能项目是为了增加绿能比例,提升水泥主业的核心竞争力,公司目前使用余热发电、光伏发电、风力发电等清洁能源占比约为1/3,未来仍有提升空间。公司将持续加大研发投入,研发方向主要集中在节能降碳、信息化和数字化等方面。  

公司会稳妥推进新能源板块发展,重点发展光伏和储能项目,力争早日实现下属工厂光伏发电全覆盖。光伏发电项目投资回收期一般在8-10年,会持续为公司带来稳定的效益贡献。  

公司表示,水泥行业具有周期性特点,受房地产投资下行叠加疫情多点散发等因素影响,上半年水泥产量同比下降15%,周期下行过程中,核心竞争力是企业的生存基础。上半年公司新增熟料产能240万吨,水泥产能325万吨。  

基建逆周期调节作用正在持续发力,全年专项债资金已在6月底全面下发,长江经济带、粤港澳大湾区和长三角一体化发展带来的重点水利工程和综合立体交通网建设,都将有效拉动基建投资。  

九月份以后,随着旺季的到来,相信水泥市场需求将有所好转。公司在专注水泥主业的同时,也在大力发展骨料、商混等上下游相关产业链,积极稳妥推进新能源产业发展,努力打造新的增长极。  

成本方面,公司通过水泥窑余热发电、光伏电站发电占总用电量比例约三分之一,有效降低了公司能源成本。公司将持续深化与大型煤企的战略合作,加大节能降耗技改投入,努力做到降本增效。  

政策方面,水泥行业碳达峰、碳中和具体实施细则尚未出台,但预计碳达峰、碳中和政策将有利于淘汰行业落后产能,改善供需关系。对公司来说,也将迎来新的机遇,公司已加大相关技术投入和储备,将引领推动行业落实双碳政策。  

今年水泥行业新增产能主要集中在广西、云南和贵州等地区,随着“两高”项目审查趋严、产能置换新规以及能耗指标管控等政策的落地,新建产线难度逐渐加大,新增产能会逐步减少。  

公司在两广地区均有水泥熟料生产基地,公司将持续做好产销组织和资源统筹、加强市场研判,充分发挥公司成本领先优势,保证合理市场份额。

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Correlation

Tianfeng Securities Research Report shows that with the arrival of the peak season in September, the progress of special bonds and special bonds at the infrastructure end has been accelerated and major local projects have been started, and the demand for cement is expected to pick up. Recently, the cement shipment data continued to recover, and the price side also rose synchronously. At present, most cement enterprises are still in a state of loss. With the strengthening of industry supply self-discipline, the superimposed demand is expected to improve marginally, and the industry profit center is expected to be lifted.

2024-09-19 10:18:37

However, in the semi-annual reports issued by major cement listed companies, despite the sharp decline in profits of the cement sector, the development of the aggregate sector is still steady. China Cement Network data show that in the first half of 2024, the demand for aggregate for concrete fell 10.8% year-on-year, with a total demand of 6.25 billion tons, dragged down by both downstream infrastructure and real estate. Therefore, how long the aggregate can support cement enterprises is indeed a pessimistic unknown.

2024-09-04 09:39:36

In the first half of 2024, Conch Cement realized an operating income of RMB45.566 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.44%, and a net profit attributable to parent company of RMB3.326 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 48.56%.

2024-08-30 14:56:13

The company will pay close attention to the macroeconomic situation and industrial policies, optimize the strategic layout, promote the "vertical integration" expansion of the industrial chain, and build the ecological chain of the building materials industry. The company will deepen its main business, widely use digital intelligence technology and green technology, and promote the optimization and upgrading of the cement industry chain; Expand the industrial layout to promote the healthy development of the industry from the strategic height, expand the layout of the commercial concrete industry around the core areas, and further enhance the market influence and discourse power; precisely supplement the chain, combine the company's resource endowment, Industrial base, cultivate related diversified industries, and cultivate the second growth curve.

2024-08-28 11:00:03

Influenced by factors such as the continuous bottoming of real estate investment, the slowdown of infrastructure investment and the increase of seasonal rainfall in Jiangxi and the surrounding areas, the demand for cement in the market areas covered by Evergreen continued to be weak, the contradiction between supply and demand intensified competition, and the low price led to the continuous decline of industry efficiency. According to the Evergreen Announcement, through the organic combination of resource orientation and market regional characteristics, the company has achieved the integration of upstream and downstream development of the industrial chain.

2024-08-28 10:46:16

Demand is declining, supply is increasing, and the price of sand and gravel industry is adjusted in an all-round way.

2024-07-31 15:56:20

Cement and aggregate are "grasshoppers on a rope".

2024-07-05 11:41:59

Listen to the singing of new willow branches, "old trees" blossom and "flowers" are more red. We believe that this cement production enterprise with a glorious history of more than 50 years will create a more brilliant future in the new journey of pursuing high-quality development.

2024-07-02 10:10:04

Cement Big Data Research Institute of China Cement Network has recently conducted online research on some sand and gravel enterprises.

2024-06-25 16:50:21

Cement Big Data Research Institute of China Cement Network has recently conducted online research on some sand and gravel enterprises.

2024-05-30 17:03:14

According to the incomplete statistics of China Cement Network, there are about 24 companies with aggregate business in A-share motherboard and Hong Kong listed companies, of which 16 listed companies disclose specific aggregate income..

2024-05-28 16:59:57

Affected by insufficient infrastructure support and the continuous downturn of real estate, the demand of cement industry continued to be weak throughout the year. In 2023, the national cement output was 2.023 billion tons, down 5% from the same period last year. Under the influence of the decline in demand, the contradiction of excess capacity was further intensified, the market competition was extremely fierce, the price of cement dropped significantly, the industry profit shrank sharply again, the annual profit dropped by more than 50%, the development of the cement industry entered an unprecedented difficult period, and many companies suffered heavy losses.

2024-05-23 14:01:48

In 2023, Tianrui Cement realized an operating income of 7.889 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.64%; the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies was -634 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 241.27%..

2024-05-07 16:04:50

We will make every effort to promote the development of aggregate industry and the development of production capacity, promote the layout of commercial and mixed industries, and create new profit growth points.

2024-04-16 17:29:01

The general aggregate market is already fighting in the Red Sea, while the high-end fine aggregate market is still the blue sea market.

2024-04-03 14:16:17

On March 29, the "2024 13th China Cement Industry Summit Main Forum and TOP100 Award Ceremony" was held grandly.

2024-03-29 18:00:30

Enterprises with strong competitiveness and rapid response to the external environment can win the future.

2024-03-19 15:10:10

Western Cement expects that the price of Shaanxi cement will remain stable in 2024.

2024-03-19 14:45:45

In 2024, the contradiction between supply and demand in the cement industry is becoming more and more serious, and the battle of "grabbing share" among major cement enterprises is imminent, and the national situation is more complex and pessimistic.

2024-03-13 09:15:24

Therefore, it is easy to form regional monopoly for aggregate enterprises with mines around the demand market.

2024-03-04 10:26:50

On March 28-29, China Cement Network will hold the "13th China Cement Industry Summit and TOP100 Award Ceremony" in Hangzhou. During the conference, awards will be given to the top 100 cement and supplier enterprises. At the same time, experts and scholars, China Railway and other construction units will be invited to discuss the new development trend of the cement industry in the future, and work together to create the future!

2024-02-27 09:41:58

Zhejiang: Construction is expected to start in March, which may lead to a rise in cement prices; 6 billion investment, annual production capacity of 30 million tons of projects put into operation! Huarun's "next success"; Jidong Cement: will promote related acquisition projects according to the annual investment plan; the latest market research on cement and concrete

2024-02-23 13:30:10

Although the company suffered losses in the context of the sharp decline in the operating performance of the whole industry, the operating cash flow in the first three quarters was basically flat compared with the previous year, maintaining financial stability and ensuring the potential for development.

2024-02-05 09:23:30

Can the supply and demand of cement industry improve in 2024? Can prices be boosted? How will enterprises break the situation?

2024-01-23 09:30:22

Top Ten Forecasts of Cement Industry in 2024

2024-01-23 09:17:18

CNBM is a comprehensive building materials enterprise, and the aggregate business is an extension of the cement business of the company's basic building materials sector.

2024-01-03 11:33:34

[水泥大数据研究院]水泥产业链指数运行周报(2023.12.15)

2023-12-15 17:18:06

煤炭是水泥生产过程中的主要燃料,其成本占到水泥熟料成本的50%~55%,煤价的波动对水泥成本有着直接的影响,特别是在需求走低的情况下,成本的控制尤为重要。

2023-12-15 09:16:08

截至11月底,全国碎石价格指数(CSPI)报收84.54点,环比上涨0.45%,同比下跌6.09%。全国机制砂价格指数(MSPI)报收88.96点,环比上涨0.82%,同比下跌7.26%。

2023-12-04 11:54:11

作为充分竞争的行业,经营者都看重市场份额,公司倡导以“价本利”经营理念,保持整个行业合理的利润水平,使得员工能共享企业发展成果,企业的盈利能更好回报股东和回馈社会,投入升级改造,实现行业的可持续发展、高质量发展。

2023-11-07 16:54:57

今年前三季度,水泥需求和价格双双下滑,导致多家水泥企业盈利下降。为应对压力,企业纷纷转型升级,寻找新的利润增长点。预计四季度和明年水泥行业需求和价格将逐步改善,行业底部已明晰。

2023-11-04 13:14:41

公司深耕和聚焦主营业务,围绕“高端化、智能化、绿色化”转型,紧抓“双碳、水泥+、国际化”三大翘尾因素,持续做优做强产业链,因地制宜推进一体化经营,努力通过产业链协同发展增收增利,回报股东。

2023-11-02 10:12:19

今年前三季度市场总体偏弱低迷,公司注重练内功夯实竞争力,总体仍取得了一定成效,对四季度和明年依然抱有信心,有相对乐观的预期。

2023-10-30 13:40:00

塔牌集团前三季度业绩大幅增长,主要原因是公司积极应对市场挑战,严格成本管控,优化产能和市场布局。公司在证券投资方面保持谨慎态度,将继续保持压减规模并加强风险管理。1-9月水泥销量增长主要来自基建和农村市场。公司对房地产复苏持谨慎态度,预计需求将继续下降。光伏发电项目进展顺利,规划产能将大幅增长。骨料项目为消化自有石灰石废石资源,贡献较小。发货量有所提升,水泥价格预计将企稳回升。公司关注中央财政增发国债支持灾后恢复重建,对水泥需求形成拉动作用。公司未来不排除通过收购兼并做大做强水泥主业。员工人数减少,产能利用率保持较高水平。

2023-10-27 09:26:23

总的来看,市场涨价氛围浓厚。至于此次价格上涨原因,上述市场人士均表示,进入传统旺季,尽管下游需求仍显疲软,但受原燃材料价格上涨影响,叠加错峰生产,全国水泥价格保持上行。

2023-10-10 09:17:16

相关数据显示,钢铁和水泥生产的碳排放占全国建材生产碳排放量的95%以上,其中钢铁占52%,水泥占44%。

2023-09-30 08:35:17

“本轮价格推涨落实情况有待观察。”中国水泥网分析认为,目前水泥终端需求有所好转,加之煤价上涨,企业成本增加,预计本周水泥价格或将小幅上涨。

2023-09-27 10:09:47

从水泥需求相关数据来看,水泥需求已拐点向下。

2023-09-24 10:04:26

未来水泥行业趋势为两高一低,即水泥价格和水泥碳价上升,水泥消费量下降。

2023-09-23 09:29:13

2023年上半年,中国建材实现营业收入1023.74亿元,同比下降8.5%,归属于母公司净利润14.04亿元,同比减少74.9%。

2023-08-29 16:08:17

2023年上半年,国内经济呈现弱复苏态势,恢复乏力。基建投资为水泥需求提供了重要支撑但增长空间有限,房地产主要经济指标均较上年同期出现大幅下降,水泥市场呈现“需求疲软、市场收缩、库存高企、存量竞争加剧、效益下滑”的运行特征。

2023-08-29 15:04:00

围绕三大区域具有协同优势和资源等条件的地方开展战略布局,适当增加水泥熟料产能,以提升总体规模和市场竞争力。

2023-08-28 11:42:22

推动企业绿能核减政策实施,研究推动水泥行业纳入全国碳排放权交易市场。

2023-08-25 11:19:41

上半年,西部水泥(2233.HK)实现营业收入43.98亿元,同比增长5.93%,实现水泥销量914万吨,同比增长5%(国内销量下滑,海外销量大增)。

2023-08-22 17:23:31

8月21日晚间,海螺水泥发布半年报。

2023-08-22 09:10:55

2023年上半年度国内砂石价格整体弱势运行。截至6月底,全国碎石价格指数报收85.49点,同比下跌8.37%。全国机制砂价格指数报收90.98点,同比下跌6.72%。一季度砂石价格呈下降趋势,随后砂石价格在短时间内回升,但二季度砂石价格跌幅加大。

2023-08-08 09:07:52

水泥需求下滑趋势不可避免,未来全国水泥厂不可避免的卷入一场关乎生死存亡的厮杀,那么哪些企业可能活下去?

2023-07-19 09:16:23

国内普遍处于高温多雨的淡季状态,下游施工强度偏低,混凝土出货量多有下滑,混凝土价格稳中有降。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收132.11点,环比下跌0.20%,同比跌幅为8.75%……

2023-07-14 17:17:52

6月进入传统淡季,全国砂石需求趋弱运行,整体价格继续小幅下行

2023-07-10 15:05:44

In order to survive and develop in the fierce market competition, cement enterprises must abandon the illusion of relying on others to "give" opportunities, and win the recognition and respect of the market through self-innovation and promotion.