DBM Weekly Review: Weak Fundamentals, Polysilicon Prices Continue to Fall (2026.5.29)

2026-06-02 14:01:15

Last week, the average price of N-type polycrystalline silicon dense materials was RMB/ton 33700, down 3.64% on a month-on-month basis and 10.13% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was RMB/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis and slightly down 0.58% on a year-on-year basis, and the price of mainstream silicon materials continued to decline.

First, the price trend

of silicon materials last week, the average price of N-type polysilicon dense materials was 33700 yuan/ton, down 3.64% annually and 10.13% year-on-year; The average price of N-type granular silicon was 34,300 yuan/ton, which was flat on a month-on-month basis and slightly decreased by 0.58% on a year-on-year basis, and the price of mainstream silicon materials continued to decline. During the week, the operating rate of polysilicon continued to rise slightly, and the output increased. Despite the trend of inventory depletion, the release of terminal demand was weak, the market transactions were biased towards low-price sources, new orders followed the fatigue, the trading atmosphere was light, and the price had no upward driving force.

Figure 1: Price Trend

DBM周评:基本面弱势,多晶硅价格持续下跌(2026.5.29)1

of N-type Polysilicon Compact Material Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com


Figure 2: Price Trend

DBM周评:基本面弱势,多晶硅价格持续下跌(2026.5.29)2

of N-type Granular Silicon Source: Digital New Energy Dat ABM. Com

II, Demand and Price Outlook

Digital New Energy DataBM. Com data show that the TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic module price index was 0.73 yuan/W last week, down 1.35% annually. Year-on-year increase of 8.96%; TOPCon double-sided 210 PV module price index was 0.75 yuan/W, flat compared with last week, up 8.7% year-on-year; TOPCon double-sided 210R PV module price index was 0.75 yuan/W, flat compared with last week, up 10.29% year-on-year; The price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules was 0.74 yuan/W, which was flat. The installed capacity of photovoltaic power plants is in the seasonal off-season, the shipment of cell and module enterprises is sluggish, the overall inventory is mainly digested, and the price of modules is stable and weak.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

DBM周评:基本面弱势,多晶硅价格持续下跌(2026.5.29)3

Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend of

DBM周评:基本面弱势,多晶硅价格持续下跌(2026.5.29)4

Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Data Source: Cement Big Data (HTTPS ://data. Ccement. Com/)

Last week, the price of industrial silicon remained stable, and the average price of Si4210 industrial silicon was 9487 yuan/ton, which was flat on a month-on-month basis. During the week, the number of industrial silicon furnaces started to rise, the output increased slightly, and the downstream sentiment against high prices increased, but the spot transaction price was relatively stable due to the support of the cost side. In terms of

polysilicon, from the supply side, with the arrival of the wet season in June, some large factories still have plans to resume production, and the supply side will continue to expand. From the demand side, the terminal photovoltaic installation is in a phased downturn, and the inventory of cell and component enterprises is sufficient to be digested.

On the whole, the increase in supply and high inventory are the main factors restricting the upward price of polysilicon. Although the current inventory has been depleted, the downstream demand has not substantially improved, and the destocking is mostly for transfer rather than consumption. It is expected that the price of polysilicon next week (6.1-6.5) will still be dominated by weak shocks.

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Correlation

Last week, the average price of N-type polycrystalline silicon dense materials was RMB/ton 33700, down 3.64% on a month-on-month basis and 10.13% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was RMB/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis and slightly down 0.58% on a year-on-year basis, and the price of mainstream silicon materials continued to decline.

2026-06-02 14:01:15

Last week, the average price of N-type polysilicon dense material was 0.17 million yuan/ton 34973, down 2.85% on a month-on-month basis and 9.4% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was 0.34 million yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis and down 4.72% on a year-on-year basis, and the mainstream silicon material price re-entered the downward channel after a month of consolidation.

2026-05-25 15:29:41

Last week, the average price of N-type polycrystalline silicon dense materials was 36,000 yuan/ton, which remained stable on a month-on-month basis and decreased by 6.74% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was 34,300 yuan/ton, which was flat on a month-on-month basis and decreased by 4.72% on a year-on-year basis.

2026-05-18 15:35:48

Last week, the price of silicon materials remained stable for nearly one and a half months, and the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was flat. Polysilicon production is reduced and inventory is slightly reduced, but demand is weak. Demand for components is low and prices are under downward pressure. Industrial silicon has stopped falling and stabilized, and is expected to be stable and strong in the short term. Polysilicon inventory is high, the price is weak and difficult to fall significantly, and it is in a stalemate. Prices of silicon wafers and batteries have fallen, and enterprises plan to reduce production. The principled terms of polysilicon storage have been agreed, which will be conducive to the stability of the industrial chain, alleviate the debt risk of related companies and provide reference for other industries.

2025-11-10 11:40:26

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed different performances. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was stable and rose year on year. The inventory of polysilicon rose, and the price depended on the price of enterprises. In terms of photovoltaic modules, some prices are loose, new orders are insufficient, and market demand is weak. The price of industrial silicon has stopped falling and stabilized, and demand is still weak. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers may rise further, and the start-up rate of enterprises is stable, which does not exclude the reduction of start-up and stable prices. Silicon enterprises should adjust the production rhythm. The polysilicon storage platform has made progress, but the landing is slow, and it needs to be approved by the relevant departments.

2025-11-03 13:11:20

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed an upward trend. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis. The price of polysilicon was raised, but the high price was less, and the downstream demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is mostly flat or slightly down, with weak demand, high inventory pressure and stable prices. The price of industrial silicon is temporarily stable after falling, the supply is sufficient and the production of polysilicon is expected to be reduced. The policy puts forward the target of revenue growth of electronic information manufacturing industry and guides the high-quality development of photovoltaic industry. The price of polysilicon continues to rise, the downstream is difficult to digest, and the market may face "monopoly doubts".

2025-09-08 14:05:44

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, while the price of polysilicon raw material industrial silicon continued to fall, a small amount of silicon wafer factories were stocked, the industry inventory was high, and the price of polysilicon enterprises was high. The price of TOPCon modules is stable, but the demand is cold, the inventory is rising, and the price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules is rising. The price of industrial silicon has fallen for two consecutive weeks, and the price of polysilicon is strong. In September this year, the demand for batteries and components increased seasonally or was lower than in previous years, and the downstream market was cautious. Short-term replenishment supports the price of polysilicon, but the impulse of enterprises to resume production and expand production is still there, or pressure on the downstream, suggesting that the downstream should be alert to risks.

2025-09-01 17:44:20

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was flat, while the market demand for polysilicon did not improve and the inventory rose. The price index of photovoltaic modules has risen and flattened, and the supply is sufficient, but the quotation of first-line manufacturers has been raised. The price of industrial silicon has been restored, but the demand is still insufficient, and the price of silicon wafers is temporarily stable. Polysilicon enterprises are more willing to increase production, but the space for substantial production reduction is low, and it may be weak and stable in the later period. Overseas polysilicon production capacity continues to grow, domestic polysilicon has entered the ceiling of growth, and the price of polysilicon may fluctuate in the short and medium term.

2025-08-18 19:07:11

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 67,800 yuan/ton, down 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 75% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-25 14:01:48

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 68,000 yuan/ton, down 0.15% on a month-on-month basis, maintaining a slight weakening trend, and the price was still not stable; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, down 1.63% on a month-on-month basis and 79% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-19 10:47:42