[DBM Polysilicon Weekly Review]: Fluctuation Narrows, Market Outlook Remains Cautious (2023.12.25)

2023-12-25 14:01:48

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 67,800 yuan/ton, down 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 75% on a year-on-year basis.

Overall, polysilicon price volatility has narrowed in the near future. Affected by the cooling and snowfall weather, the delivery of enterprises has been affected.

I. Price Trend

of Silicon Materials Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was RMB67,800/ton, down by 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was RMB60,500/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down by 75% on a year-on-year basis.

Figure: Price Trend

of Single Crystal Compact Material Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

II. Demand Situation

Last week, the temperature drop and snowfall affected the shipments of some enterprises in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia to a certain extent. Market turnover has also decreased, but downstream demand for N-type silicon materials remains strong. Polysilicon inventory remained relatively stable, and the start-up of enterprises remained at a high level.

3. Price outlook

The price of P-type silicon wafers continues to fall, and the price of P-type silicon materials is still expected to fall further. The elimination of traditional P-type silicon wafers will be accelerated, and enterprises will choose to reduce prices to inventory. The market demand for N-type silicon materials is expected to remain relatively strong next year, and the short-term price is still strong. However, with the increase in the shutdown of battery companies, the demand for silicon wafers has further declined, and the future price of N-type silicon materials is mainly cautious and stable.

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Correlation

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 67,800 yuan/ton, down 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 75% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-25 14:01:48

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 68,000 yuan/ton, down 0.15% on a month-on-month basis, maintaining a slight weakening trend, and the price was still not stable; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, down 1.63% on a month-on-month basis and 79% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-19 10:47:42

The Port Coal Price Statistics Table shows the port coal prices in different regions. On the whole, some port prices have changed and some have not changed. Among them, the price change of Indonesian coal (3800 calorific value) at Xinsha Port is relatively large, with an increase of 30%; the price change of general bituminous coal (5500 calorific value, 5000 calorific value) at Qinhuangdao Port, general bituminous coal (5500 calorific value) at Sime Darby Port and Indonesian coal (3800 calorific value) at Haichang Port is relatively small, with a change value of 0. The data comparison time is April 2, 2026 and March 26, 2026.