DBM Weekly Review: Silicon Material Price Is Temporarily Stable, Inventory Has the Risk of Further Rise (2025.11.3)

2025-11-03 13:11:20

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed different performances. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was stable and rose year on year. The inventory of polysilicon rose, and the price depended on the price of enterprises. In terms of photovoltaic modules, some prices are loose, new orders are insufficient, and market demand is weak. The price of industrial silicon has stopped falling and stabilized, and demand is still weak. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers may rise further, and the start-up rate of enterprises is stable, which does not exclude the reduction of start-up and stable prices. Silicon enterprises should adjust the production rhythm. The polysilicon storage platform has made progress, but the landing is slow, and it needs to be approved by the relevant departments.

I. Price Trend

of

Silicon Materials Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials was 51,500 yuan/ton, which remained stable on a month-on-month basis and increased by 26.09% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was 50,000 yuan/ton, which was flat on a month-on-month basis and increased by 35.14% on a year-on-year basis. During the week, the polysilicon inventory continued to rise and there was a risk of further rise, the downstream market was weak, and the current price of polysilicon still depended on the price of enterprises, while waiting for the subsequent reduction of production.

Figure 1: Price Trend

of N-type Silicon Material Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 2: Price Trend

of N-type Granular Silicon Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com II.

According to the data of Digital New Energy DataBM. Com, the price index of TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic modules was 0.66 yuan/W last week, down 1.49% annually and 1.49% year-on-year. The price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.68/W, flat on a month-on-month basis and flat on a year-on-year basis; the price index of TOPCon double-sided 210R PV modules was RMB0.68/W, flat on a month-on-month basis and up by 1.49% on a year-on-year basis; the price index of HJT double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.72/W, flat on a month-on-month basis. During the week, although some leading enterprises reported a rise, the prices of some components were loosened, while new orders were insufficient, market demand was still weak, and it was difficult for leading enterprises to raise prices.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend

of Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Source: Digital New Energy DataBM

Last week, the price of industrial silicon stopped falling and stabilized. The average price of Si4210 industrial silicon was 9700 yuan/ton, up 0.26% from the previous month. With the advent of the dry season, the rising price of electricity in southwest China pushed up the cost. Enterprises actively supported the price, but the demand was still weak, and there was no incremental demand in the market. At the same time, the downstream polysilicon was also expected to reduce production. In the short term, the price is still mainly stable. In terms of polysilicon, the inventory of manufacturers further increased, the downstream purchasing demand further weakened, and the silicon wafer enterprises mainly consumed the previously purchased inventory. At the same time, the silicon wafer manufacturers faced the pressure of weakening downstream demand, and the operating rate of enterprises remained stable. In the short term, it is not excluded to reduce the operating rate of silicon wafers to stabilize the price. Therefore, from the downstream demand and silicon wafer production situation, the inventory of polysilicon manufacturers has the risk of further rising. At this time point, silicon enterprises should adjust the production rhythm to balance the inventory. However, from the price point of view, there is no obvious loosening at present, and enterprises are still dominated by high prices.

According to market news, 11 polysilicon manufacturers such as Daquan, Xiexin and Tongwei held a meeting last week to determine the details of the polysilicon storage platform, ushering in significant progress, and the main polysilicon contract also rose significantly last week, with the closing price of 2601 contract reaching 56410 yuan/ton. It rose 7.85% from last week. However, at present, there is no official clear disclosure of the contents and results of this exchange. According to GCL's repeated external statements, the polysilicon storage platform is currently progressing in an orderly manner, but the actual implementation is still expected to be slow, and it is also expected that the work will take time to be approved by the relevant departments.

All can be viewed after purchase
Correlation

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed different performances. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was stable and rose year on year. The inventory of polysilicon rose, and the price depended on the price of enterprises. In terms of photovoltaic modules, some prices are loose, new orders are insufficient, and market demand is weak. The price of industrial silicon has stopped falling and stabilized, and demand is still weak. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers may rise further, and the start-up rate of enterprises is stable, which does not exclude the reduction of start-up and stable prices. Silicon enterprises should adjust the production rhythm. The polysilicon storage platform has made progress, but the landing is slow, and it needs to be approved by the relevant departments.

2025-11-03 13:11:20

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed an upward trend. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis. The price of polysilicon was raised, but the high price was less, and the downstream demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is mostly flat or slightly down, with weak demand, high inventory pressure and stable prices. The price of industrial silicon is temporarily stable after falling, the supply is sufficient and the production of polysilicon is expected to be reduced. The policy puts forward the target of revenue growth of electronic information manufacturing industry and guides the high-quality development of photovoltaic industry. The price of polysilicon continues to rise, the downstream is difficult to digest, and the market may face "monopoly doubts".

2025-09-08 14:05:44

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, while the price of polysilicon raw material industrial silicon continued to fall, a small amount of silicon wafer factories were stocked, the industry inventory was high, and the price of polysilicon enterprises was high. The price of TOPCon modules is stable, but the demand is cold, the inventory is rising, and the price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules is rising. The price of industrial silicon has fallen for two consecutive weeks, and the price of polysilicon is strong. In September this year, the demand for batteries and components increased seasonally or was lower than in previous years, and the downstream market was cautious. Short-term replenishment supports the price of polysilicon, but the impulse of enterprises to resume production and expand production is still there, or pressure on the downstream, suggesting that the downstream should be alert to risks.

2025-09-01 17:44:20

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was flat, while the market demand for polysilicon did not improve and the inventory rose. The price index of photovoltaic modules has risen and flattened, and the supply is sufficient, but the quotation of first-line manufacturers has been raised. The price of industrial silicon has been restored, but the demand is still insufficient, and the price of silicon wafers is temporarily stable. Polysilicon enterprises are more willing to increase production, but the space for substantial production reduction is low, and it may be weak and stable in the later period. Overseas polysilicon production capacity continues to grow, domestic polysilicon has entered the ceiling of growth, and the price of polysilicon may fluctuate in the short and medium term.

2025-08-18 19:07:11

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 67,800 yuan/ton, down 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 75% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-25 14:01:48

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 68,000 yuan/ton, down 0.15% on a month-on-month basis, maintaining a slight weakening trend, and the price was still not stable; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, down 1.63% on a month-on-month basis and 79% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-19 10:47:42

Title: Statistics of accumulative growth rate of infrastructure investment from January to September (%). Overall, the cumulative growth rate of infrastructure investment in September 2025 and September 2024 has changed to varying degrees. In some areas, the growth rate declined, while in some areas, the growth rate increased. Among them, the growth rate of Gansu Province changed significantly, from -8.00% to 10.00%, up 18.00 percentage points; while the growth rate of Liaoning Province changed significantly, from 17.20% to -8.40%, down 25.60 percentage points.