DBM Weekly Review: Raw Material Prices Fall, Polysilicon Prices Remain Strong (2025.9.1)

2025-09-01 17:44:20

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, while the price of polysilicon raw material industrial silicon continued to fall, a small amount of silicon wafer factories were stocked, the industry inventory was high, and the price of polysilicon enterprises was high. The price of TOPCon modules is stable, but the demand is cold, the inventory is rising, and the price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules is rising. The price of industrial silicon has fallen for two consecutive weeks, and the price of polysilicon is strong. In September this year, the demand for batteries and components increased seasonally or was lower than in previous years, and the downstream market was cautious. Short-term replenishment supports the price of polysilicon, but the impulse of enterprises to resume production and expand production is still there, or pressure on the downstream, suggesting that the downstream should be alert to risks.

I. Price Trend

of

Silicon Materials Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials was RMB 47,250/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 1.07% and a year-on-year increase of 16.67%; the average price of N-type granular silicon was RMB 47,000/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 2.17% and a year-on-year increase of 28.07%. During the week, the price of polysilicon raw material industrial silicon continued to fall, silicon wafer factories purchased a small amount of silicon materials, the industry inventory remained high, the actual consumption of silicon materials did not increase, and polysilicon enterprises maintained a high price posture.

Figure 1: Price Trend

of N-type Silicon Material Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 2: Price Trend

of N-type Granular Silicon Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com II.

According to the data of Digital New Energy DataBM. Com, the price index of TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic modules was 0.67 yuan/W last week, which was flat annually, down 12.99% year-on-year. The price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules was 0.68 yuan/W, flat, down 9.33% year-on-year, and the price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules was 0.68 yuan/W, flat, down 10.53% year-on-year; The price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules was 0.73 yuan/W, up 1.39% annually. During the week, the price of TOPCON components remained stable, but the demand was cold, the inventory showed an upward trend, and the pressure on enterprises increased.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend

of Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Source: Digital New Energy DataBM

Last week, the price of industrial silicon, the main raw material of polysilicon, fell further, with the average price of Si4210 industrial silicon falling to 9466.67 yuan/ton, down 1.9% from the previous month, showing a downward trend for two consecutive weeks. Polysilicon prices remain strong, according to previous years, in September, the demand for batteries and components will rise seasonally, but this year due to the "rush to install" overdraft, seasonal performance is expected to be lower than same period in previous years, from the component side, production scheduling has not seen a significant increase, indicating that the downstream market is more cautious about demand expectations.

At present, silicon wafer enterprises mainly rely on replenishment, although the price of silicon wafers is still strong, but the downstream transmission is still expected to be difficult. In the short term, the favorable side is to replenish the warehouse or form a certain support for the price of polysilicon, because the demand for enterprise stock is relatively rigid. The unfavorable side is that with the rise of polysilicon price, the impulse of polysilicon enterprises to resume production and expand production still exists. From May to August, the monthly output of polysilicon continued to increase, especially in August, the growth rate was more than 20%. In September, polysilicon production is still likely to increase on a month-on-month basis. If enterprises continue to strengthen prices and coordinate production reduction, they will further exert pressure on battery and component links. Downstream enterprises are advised to be vigilant and pay attention to risks.

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Correlation

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, while the price of polysilicon raw material industrial silicon continued to fall, a small amount of silicon wafer factories were stocked, the industry inventory was high, and the price of polysilicon enterprises was high. The price of TOPCon modules is stable, but the demand is cold, the inventory is rising, and the price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules is rising. The price of industrial silicon has fallen for two consecutive weeks, and the price of polysilicon is strong. In September this year, the demand for batteries and components increased seasonally or was lower than in previous years, and the downstream market was cautious. Short-term replenishment supports the price of polysilicon, but the impulse of enterprises to resume production and expand production is still there, or pressure on the downstream, suggesting that the downstream should be alert to risks.

2025-09-01 17:44:20

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was flat, while the market demand for polysilicon did not improve and the inventory rose. The price index of photovoltaic modules has risen and flattened, and the supply is sufficient, but the quotation of first-line manufacturers has been raised. The price of industrial silicon has been restored, but the demand is still insufficient, and the price of silicon wafers is temporarily stable. Polysilicon enterprises are more willing to increase production, but the space for substantial production reduction is low, and it may be weak and stable in the later period. Overseas polysilicon production capacity continues to grow, domestic polysilicon has entered the ceiling of growth, and the price of polysilicon may fluctuate in the short and medium term.

2025-08-18 19:07:11

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 67,800 yuan/ton, down 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 75% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-25 14:01:48

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 68,000 yuan/ton, down 0.15% on a month-on-month basis, maintaining a slight weakening trend, and the price was still not stable; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, down 1.63% on a month-on-month basis and 79% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-19 10:47:42

On September 5, Chairman Shao Jun of China Cement Network and his delegation visited Ningde Conch Cement Co., Ltd. and were warmly received by General Manager Hong Xianli and others. The two sides exchanged views on the situation of Fujian cement market.