DBM Weekly Review: Strong Price + Overseas Support Polysilicon Price Continues to Rise (2025.9.8)

2025-09-08 14:05:44

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed an upward trend. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis. The price of polysilicon was raised, but the high price was less, and the downstream demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is mostly flat or slightly down, with weak demand, high inventory pressure and stable prices. The price of industrial silicon is temporarily stable after falling, the supply is sufficient and the production of polysilicon is expected to be reduced. The policy puts forward the target of revenue growth of electronic information manufacturing industry and guides the high-quality development of photovoltaic industry. The price of polysilicon continues to rise, the downstream is difficult to digest, and the market may face "monopoly doubts".

I. Price Trend

of

Silicon Materials Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials was RMB 48,500/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 2.65% and a year-on-year increase of 19.75%; the average price of N-type granular silicon was RMB 48,000/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 2.13% and a year-on-year increase of 30.79%. During the week, the price of polysilicon continued to rise, some of which reached 55000 yuan/ton, but there were fewer transactions in the high-price area, while the domestic downstream demand was still weak.

Figure 1: Price Trend

of N-type Silicon Material Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 2: Price Trend

of N-type Granular Silicon Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com II.

According to the data of Digital New Energy DataBM. Com, the price index of TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic modules was 0.67 yuan/W last week, which was flat annually, down 9.46% year-on-year. The price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was 0.68 yuan/W, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 8.11% year-on-year, while the price index of TOPCon double-sided 210R PV modules was 0.68 yuan/W, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 9.33% year-on-year; The price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules was 0.72 yuan/W, down 1.37% from the previous month. Weeks, weak demand, component inventory pressure, although enterprises call up, but it is difficult to land, at the same time by the impact of low-cost components, market prices are mainly stable.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend

of Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Source: Digital New Energy DataBM

Last week, the price of industrial silicon was temporarily stable after falling. The average price of Si4210 industrial silicon was 9475 yuan/ton, which was basically flat compared with the previous month. The market supply was sufficient. Polysilicon was still expected to further reduce production. The short-term price was difficult to strengthen. Compared with the same period last year, the price of industrial silicon fell by 22%. On the downstream side, the silicon wafer and battery sector was driven by foreign market orders, and the start-up of enterprises increased slightly, which supported a certain demand for silicon materials, and the overseas transmission was relatively smooth. In addition, the price of polysilicon enterprises continues to rise, the price of enterprises is still positive, the market synergy is more consistent, the market speculation atmosphere is still strong, and the price of polysilicon maintains a strong trend.

Last week, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the General Administration of Market Supervision and Administration jointly issued the Action Plan for Steady Growth of Electronic Information Manufacturing Industry in 2025-2026, proposing that the average annual revenue growth target of electronic information manufacturing industry in 2025-2026 is to reach more than 5%. In terms of specific measures, it is mentioned that high-quality development in photovoltaic and other fields should be achieved in breaking the "involution" competition, low-price competition of photovoltaic and other products should be governed according to law, local orderly layout of photovoltaic industry should be guided, local capacity situation should be sorted out, quality management of photovoltaic module products should be implemented, and photovoltaic modules should be provided. We will thoroughly implement documents such as the Standard Conditions for Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industry, strengthen policy linkages with investment, finance and security, and promote technological progress in the industry. From the policy point of view, the steady growth of photovoltaic still adheres to the principle of legalization and marketization, and there are no measures beyond expectations. At present, the production restriction of polysilicon market is more due to the independent behavior of enterprises. As the price of polysilicon continues to rise, while the downstream component market is difficult to digest the price, the market may face greater "monopoly doubts".

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Correlation

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed an upward trend. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis. The price of polysilicon was raised, but the high price was less, and the downstream demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is mostly flat or slightly down, with weak demand, high inventory pressure and stable prices. The price of industrial silicon is temporarily stable after falling, the supply is sufficient and the production of polysilicon is expected to be reduced. The policy puts forward the target of revenue growth of electronic information manufacturing industry and guides the high-quality development of photovoltaic industry. The price of polysilicon continues to rise, the downstream is difficult to digest, and the market may face "monopoly doubts".

2025-09-08 14:05:44

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, while the price of polysilicon raw material industrial silicon continued to fall, a small amount of silicon wafer factories were stocked, the industry inventory was high, and the price of polysilicon enterprises was high. The price of TOPCon modules is stable, but the demand is cold, the inventory is rising, and the price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules is rising. The price of industrial silicon has fallen for two consecutive weeks, and the price of polysilicon is strong. In September this year, the demand for batteries and components increased seasonally or was lower than in previous years, and the downstream market was cautious. Short-term replenishment supports the price of polysilicon, but the impulse of enterprises to resume production and expand production is still there, or pressure on the downstream, suggesting that the downstream should be alert to risks.

2025-09-01 17:44:20

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was flat, while the market demand for polysilicon did not improve and the inventory rose. The price index of photovoltaic modules has risen and flattened, and the supply is sufficient, but the quotation of first-line manufacturers has been raised. The price of industrial silicon has been restored, but the demand is still insufficient, and the price of silicon wafers is temporarily stable. Polysilicon enterprises are more willing to increase production, but the space for substantial production reduction is low, and it may be weak and stable in the later period. Overseas polysilicon production capacity continues to grow, domestic polysilicon has entered the ceiling of growth, and the price of polysilicon may fluctuate in the short and medium term.

2025-08-18 19:07:11

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 67,800 yuan/ton, down 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 75% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-25 14:01:48

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 68,000 yuan/ton, down 0.15% on a month-on-month basis, maintaining a slight weakening trend, and the price was still not stable; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, down 1.63% on a month-on-month basis and 79% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-19 10:47:42

Statistics of Imported Clinker Sources from January to September 2025 (by Country)