According to Dolat Capital's latest report, India's cement industry is expected to rebound significantly in fiscal year 2026, with industry-wide profits expected to grow by more than 63% year-on-year. This strong growth is mainly due to the favorable low base effect formed in the previous fiscal year and the ongoing cost reduction efforts of companies. The
report points out that the recovery is likely to be led by sales growth. Strong market demand, improved operational efficiency, and an increasing focus on higher-margin high-end products and distributor channel sales have combined to support the recovery. In addition, cost savings from lower logistics costs, improved fuel efficiency, and the optimization of plant operations contributed to the profit growth.
However, the current price growth is still fatigue. The report also warns of a key risk: the planned addition of more than 175 million tons of annual production capacity between fiscal years 2026 and 2028 could put pressure on actual selling prices.
In this context, sales growth, strict cost control and the increase of high-end product share will become the main leverage to determine profitability. While infrastructure spending and rural housing demand are expected to support industry growth, margins will remain challenging if effective price increases cannot be achieved. Therefore, cement companies are focusing on improving operational efficiency and promoting high-end product strategy to grasp the upward opportunities of this round of industry.
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