水泥也“疯狂”?行业利润预计创历史新高!或将迎新一轮周期行情

2019-01-16 09:13:36

Wind数据显示,目前水泥板块相关上市公司发布的2018年业绩预告中,海螺水泥、冀东水泥、万年青和华新水泥等均预计净利润翻倍。同时根据中国水泥网研究院数据分析,2018年水泥全行业的利润有望超过1500亿元,成为2011年之后的新巅峰。其中,水泥的吨毛利将超过100元,而2017年吨毛利为75元,同比增长了33.33%。

  Wind数据显示,目前水泥板块相关上市公司发布的2018年业绩预告中,海螺水泥、冀东水泥、万年青和华新水泥等均预计净利润翻倍。同时根据中国水泥网研究院数据分析,2018年水泥全行业的利润有望超过1500亿元,成为2011年之后的新巅峰。其中,水泥的吨毛利将超过100元,而2017年吨毛利为75元,同比增长了33.33%。

  Wind数据显示,截至目前,水泥板块一共有21家上市公司,其中有10家公布了2018年年报业绩预告,7家公司归母净利润同比增长。其中净利润增长前三名的分别为冀东水泥、万年青和塔牌集团,增幅为188%至204%、130%至170%和115%至165%。同时, Wind数据显示,目前21家水泥上市公司,截至昨日收盘,总市值达2994.77亿元。市值排名前五位的分别是海螺水泥、华新水泥、冀东水泥、塔牌水泥以及西部建设。

  华泰证券建材行业高级分析师赵蓬:水泥行业的业绩大丰收的主要原因是去年全国范围的水泥价格大幅度的一个上涨,背后推动的一个力量主要是有几点,首先是去年地产需求保持在高水平的一个位置,高周转模式也是推高了前端水泥的一个需求,其次的话是因为行业错峰停产的一个措施是完成比较到位,年初各省的水泥协会制定的错峰停产的计划在全年是有效的执行,也是阶段性的解决了产能过剩的问题,最后的话是天气污染的原因,使得地方政府阶段性环保临停措施,阶段性的推高了各行业的供求紧张关系

  Wind数据显示,2011年至2013年水泥全行业的产能利用率处于70%以上,供给端企业数量超过了3800家,前十大10水泥企业的产能集中度仅有32%左右;但2018年以来,水泥全行业的产能利用率回落至70%以下,企业数量减少至3000家以下,前十大水泥产能集中度提高到45%左右。业内人士认为,2019年水泥全行业的景气度将继续保持稳定,或将迎来新的一轮上涨周期。

  华泰证券建材行业高级分析师赵蓬:展望今年的话,行业的风险主要还是停留在地产需求的下行层次,在行业过去几年建立的这样一个协同机制,也是在地产下行期也会得到一个检验,目前那个机会也是比较明显。根据最新一期分红率水平的话,像海螺水泥、塔牌集团它的股息率已经达到了8%的一个水平,那么对于长线资金来说,这么高的一个股息回报的水平也是非常有吸引力的。

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Tianfeng Securities Research Report shows that with the arrival of the peak season in September, the progress of special bonds and special bonds at the infrastructure end has been accelerated and major local projects have been started, and the demand for cement is expected to pick up. Recently, the cement shipment data continued to recover, and the price side also rose synchronously. At present, most cement enterprises are still in a state of loss. With the strengthening of industry supply self-discipline, the superimposed demand is expected to improve marginally, and the industry profit center is expected to be lifted.

2024-09-19 10:18:37

This article is selected from Song Zhiping's book "Reform Heart Road", which describes his motivation and effect of restructuring cement in those years, and has been published by China Cement Network. Recently, there has been a call for restructuring and mergers and acquisitions in the cement industry. Reviewing this old article may have the effect of reviewing the old and learning the new, encouraging the industry to promote a new round of restructuring, and solving the persistent problems of the industry.

2024-09-16 10:19:30

From the overall situation, in the first half of 2024, the overall operating situation of the cement industry was grim, and the profits of cement enterprises basically declined sharply, and even some enterprises suffered huge losses. In terms of the operation and management of Conch Cement, the Group will pay close attention to the macroeconomic situation at home and abroad, and continue to improve the quality and efficiency of its operation in line with the guidance of national policies. Huaxin Cement said that it demonstrated the sense of responsibility of large enterprises and actively promoted and implemented new supply-side structural reform programs and measures suitable for the high-quality development of the industry.

2024-09-03 09:43:58

Relevant data show that the industry lost about 1.2 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with sales falling by 11%. Conch Cement: In the first half of the year, the Company achieved an operating income of RMB45.566 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.44%, and a net profit of RMB3.326 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 48.56%. Tapai Group: achieved operating income of RMB1.976 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 31.17%; net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was RMB226 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 53.43%. It is expected that with the arrival of the traditional peak season of cement sales, the demand side will be better in the second half of the year than in the first half, and the price side is expected to continue to repair.

2024-08-30 10:06:24

Big guess, what do you think of the first half performance of Conch Cement?

2024-07-10 09:22:34

The serious decline in demand, coupled with the fierce market competition, the low opening and low going of cement prices, continued to bottom out, and the loss of the industry expanded. The loss of the industry in the first quarter exceeded that of 2016, and the pressure of enterprise operation was unprecedented.

2024-05-31 14:35:19

According to the incomplete statistics of China Cement Network, there are about 24 companies with aggregate business in A-share motherboard and Hong Kong listed companies, of which 16 listed companies disclose specific aggregate income..

2024-05-28 16:59:57

Affected by insufficient infrastructure support and the continuous downturn of real estate, the demand of cement industry continued to be weak throughout the year. In 2023, the national cement output was 2.023 billion tons, down 5% from the same period last year. Under the influence of the decline in demand, the contradiction of excess capacity was further intensified, the market competition was extremely fierce, the price of cement dropped significantly, the industry profit shrank sharply again, the annual profit dropped by more than 50%, the development of the cement industry entered an unprecedented difficult period, and many companies suffered heavy losses.

2024-05-23 14:01:48

In the first quarter of 2024, the industry as a whole showed the operational characteristics of "shrinking demand, fierce competition, high inventory and low price".

2024-05-07 09:20:19

From a deeper perspective, the stable growth of the cement industry is not only related to the overall situation of the sustainable development of the industry itself, but also directly related to the well-being and job security of every practitioner.

2024-04-24 10:03:43

Recently, a number of cement listed companies have been surveyed by institutions and expressed their views and judgments on the market trend this year.

2024-04-18 11:15:12

In 2024, what are the development plans and layouts of the major cement enterprises in the market? According to the annual report of the enterprise, the following are arranged..

2024-04-03 13:45:12

At present, the cement industry is facing serious internal and external troubles, which can be said to be "the autumn of life and death".

2024-04-02 17:13:02

In 2023, the overall operating situation of the cement industry remained grim, with the profits of many listed companies falling sharply year-on-year, the profits of a few enterprises increasing year-on-year, and some regional companies suffering losses.

2024-04-01 09:14:24

On March 29, the "2024 13th China Cement Industry Summit Main Forum and TOP100 Award Ceremony" was held grandly.

2024-03-29 18:00:30

The demand for cement in Shanxi market has recovered poorly, and the market demand has declined. Recently, the price of cement in northern Shanxi has dropped by about 10-30 yuan/ton, while the price of cement in other markets in the province is weak.

2024-03-29 17:32:00

Under the background of such a complex and severe cement market, how can the cement industry survive and develop next? The participants had a heated discussion.

2024-03-28 21:39:54

Since March, major enterprises in Beijing, Tianjin and northern Hebei have pushed up cement prices, but the market demand is low and the price rise is difficult to support.

2024-03-22 17:30:02

According to China Cement Net Market Data Center, the Northeast market is gradually warming up, and the market price dropped to a low level at the end of last year. In order to improve the business situation, the leading enterprises in Harbin notified the implementation of the new ex-factory price on the 14th, releasing the price increase signal, followed by Jilin and Liaoning. At present, the market demand has not yet fully recovered, and the price is stable.

2024-03-15 16:24:31

The author believes that in the short term, the cement industry is still indispensable to the "bloody" "real gun combat", but after the "actual combat" industry, who can be called a winner?

2024-03-06 15:32:49

The resource reserve of the project is about 310 million cubic meters, with an annual output of 3.18 million cubic meters of granite blocks, 20 million tons of aggregate for construction and 2.15 million tons of washed sand.

2024-03-05 16:36:04

China Resources Building Materials Technology Co., Ltd. held the 2024 Working Conference of "Opening the New Situation" in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province.

2024-03-01 10:13:56

On March 28-29, China Cement Network will hold the "13th China Cement Industry Summit and TOP100 Award Ceremony" in Hangzhou. During the conference, awards will be given to the top 100 cement and supplier enterprises. At the same time, experts and scholars, China Railway and other construction units will be invited to discuss the new development trend of the cement industry in the future, and work together to create the future!

2024-02-27 09:41:58

Can the supply and demand of cement industry improve in 2024? Can prices be boosted? How will enterprises break the situation?

2024-01-23 09:30:22

煤炭是水泥生产过程中的主要燃料,其成本占到水泥熟料成本的50%~55%,煤价的波动对水泥成本有着直接的影响,特别是在需求走低的情况下,成本的控制尤为重要。

2023-12-15 09:16:08

中国水泥网召开“第五届中国水泥智能化高峰论坛”。

2023-12-06 10:28:44

前三季度,全国水泥产量14.95亿吨,全口径同比下降4.32%,产量创下近13年来新低。效益方面,受水泥价格跌幅较深和需求下滑影响,行业效益大幅萎缩,水泥企业亏损面超一半。

2023-11-10 16:40:41

除塔牌集团、青松建化净利润同比上涨外,其他水泥企业利润均出现下滑,更有不少企业前三季度亏损。

2023-10-30 09:21:55

湖北、上海推涨;万亿国债来袭,水泥股冲高;中国建材集团调整中国建材总院领导班子

2023-10-25 13:22:49

展望下半年,尽管需求有向好预期,但地产尚未企稳、基建增速放缓背景下需求好转程度较为有限。

2023-09-21 09:42:44

上半年,全国水泥产量9.53亿吨,全口径同比下降2.4%,产量创下2012年来新低。效益方面,受水泥价格跌幅较深和需求下滑影响,行业效益大幅萎缩,2023年全行业利润总额164.7亿元,同比下降59.8%。

2023-09-20 13:52:49

随着我国“双碳”、“能耗双控”工作的持续推进,水泥行业将加快绿色化、智能化、数字化的转型升级发展。

2023-09-12 09:26:59

9月6日,在海螺水泥上半年业绩说明会上,海螺水泥执行董事、总经理李群峰表示,市场份额是企业可持续发展的基础。接下来,海螺将坚持“份额是基础,盈利是目的”的思路,维持合理的市场份额,努力提升经营效益。

2023-09-08 09:10:25

四川成都及周边市场水泥价格再次下调; 1.纳入全国碳排放市场在即!海螺、天山、冀东等水泥企业超前部署 2.[评论]提高政治站位 建材稳增长 水泥行业应打头阵! 3.海螺水泥拟接手管理台泥两家公司! 4.[中报点评]华新水泥:海外市场拉动水泥需求,“水泥+”业务持续发力

2023-08-29 13:30:29

据中国水泥网行情数据中心消息,近期西咸、铜川等关中地区一些主要企业下调水泥价格30-40元/吨不等。此外,受周边市场降价影响,近日汉中地区水泥价格下滑20-30元/吨左右。

2023-08-25 16:47:08

下半年,由于内生动力不足,房地产市场短期内难以有大的改观,水泥市场需求仍将低位徘徊。

2023-08-22 09:12:02

河北省建筑材料工业协会发布全省水泥熟料生产企业开展行业自律错峰生产的工作通知,时间为8月10日到24日,错峰停窑15天。

2023-08-11 17:18:25

所有的猜测和疑问,都有待上述企业公布中报预告来揭开谜底,中国水泥网也将实时跟踪关注。

2023-07-19 16:02:31

在水泥市场疲软的环境下,各大水泥企业纷纷采取行动,加强与上下游的联系,并积极寻找新的合作机会以应对市场的下行压力。

2023-07-17 09:46:58

“新老企业矛盾将加剧,未来市场竞争不可避免。”

2023-07-14 16:46:16

2023年,共有6家水泥企业上榜《财富》中国上市公司500强排行榜。

2023-07-13 10:16:26

江苏、河南市场面临巨大压力,天山股份、祁连山业绩报告,中国建材、海螺等6家上榜2023年《财富》中国500强;多地发节电倡议!水泥“限电行情”能否再起?载运6000吨水泥外籍货轮突发故障 紧急入境三亚维修

2023-07-13 10:11:34

水泥企业如何在生存和发展中找到平衡点?寻找新的机遇和利润增长点?

2023-07-08 14:38:57

面对处于“寒冬”的行情态势,一些企业撑不住退出了水泥的历史舞台。

2023-07-05 15:33:49

从整个二季度预测,行业的利润绝对值还是处于偏低状态,相较一季度会有所收窄。

2023-06-13 09:57:22

作为能源消耗大户,水泥行业承担着碳排放的重要使命,水泥企业也正在一步步向着低碳、高效的目标迈进。

2023-06-12 13:31:39