[原创]全球水泥行业供需格局及未来需求预测

2015-09-15 10:58:22

2014年,全球经济在缓慢中复苏,新兴市场经济乏力,全球水泥需求产销增长动力不足。中国水泥市场占全球的比重已达59%,是未来五年全球水泥需求增长中变数最大的国家,而印度、印尼、越南等产销大国仍有强劲的增长预期。

一、全球经济缓慢复苏

  2014年,新兴市场国家自08年金融危机以来经济增长依然乏力,发达经济体经济处于与缓慢复苏阶段,世界经济在曲折中前行,全年经济增速在3.39%,保持缓慢增长。

图1:2001~2014年全球经济增速情况

数据来源:国际货币基金组织

  根据2015年7月国际货币基金组织发布的《世界经济展望与最新预测》,2015年全球经济将增长3.3%,略低于2014年,发达经济体的经济增长逐步好转,而新兴市场和发展中经济体的增长继续放缓。2016年,全球经济增长预计提高至3.8%。

  发达经济体普遍从油价下跌中受益,其中美国将发挥最重要的作用,而受油价下降冲击,俄罗斯、委内瑞拉等国增长率将大幅下降,此外中国增速放缓,经济结构正处于调整之中,预计2015年新兴市场经济增长率继续保持下行通道。

  从中期来看,2016年之后全球经济增长率将有小幅升高,新兴市场和发展中经济体增长进一步好转,而发达国家经济体将于2017年之后进一步放缓,美国等国受人口老龄化和全要素生产率增长下降,长期的增长预期不乐观。

二、全球水泥市场概况

………………




会员单位:请登录继续阅读!

非会员单位:请进入中国水泥网网上商城公共资源库购买继续阅读!





All can be viewed after purchase
Correlation

At the meeting, Yan Haochun brought the theme report "Dream of Blue Sky: Exploring the Green Footprint of Cement Industry in the Context of Carbon Market". She pointed out that the cement industry faced the risk of rising costs in the context of the carbon market.

2024-11-01 16:10:56

The incorporation of the cement industry into the national carbon market will have a significant impact on cement enterprises in terms of production and operation, data control, transaction costs, energy saving and carbon reduction investment. With the carbon quota from basic satisfaction to tight reduction, it will effectively promote production reduction, thereby affecting competitiveness and supply and demand pattern.

2024-11-01 09:52:46

Based on the market situation of the cement industry and the demand for high-quality and low-carbon development of Conch Cement, Conch will strengthen the research and development of technologies such as energy saving and carbon reduction, green environmental protection, clean energy and low-carbon cement. The main research directions of Conch's scientific and technological innovation in the future are as follows: 1. Research and development project of raw material and fuel substitution in the cement industry; 2. Research and development project of cement clinker quality improvement; 3. Energy-saving and carbon-reducing technical equipment R & D project; 4. Clean and green energy R & D and manufacturing project; 5. Future carbon technology industry exploration project.

2024-10-29 16:34:25

Looking forward to the future, we still need to continue our efforts in breaking through the existing clinker system, innovating the design of new low-carbon clinker (new clinker), breaking through the time lag and multi-scale barriers, building a digital system without "gap" in the whole process, maximizing the value of data, and supporting low-carbon in the whole process (time-sharing power consumption, coal consumption, low-carbon ratio, etc.).

2024-10-29 14:07:23

However, it should be noted that brand promotion is not achieved overnight, but requires years or even decades of efforts. Our primary service offering is pricing strategies for large and mid-sized businesses to improve margins and achieve growth. The profit is equal to the price times the sales volume minus the cost. According to our research, there is a tenfold relationship between pricing and profit, while there is only a sixfold relationship between cost and sales volume, because when sales volume increases, the corresponding cost will also rise. We support Chinese enterprises to improve their profits, because only profits are the key to the survival of enterprises.

2024-10-12 13:16:50

From September 23 to October 5, at the invitation of Saudi Aramco, Holcim Group, Dangote Group, GPC Group and other enterprises, Zhou Yuxian, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of China Building Materials Group, went to Saudi Arabia, Germany, France and Nigeria to attend the group's promotion meeting in Saudi Arabia. He witnessed the signing of strategic cooperation agreements with Saudi Aramco, GPC Group and Dangote Group and the signing ceremony of China-Africa Green Building Materials Joint Laboratory, met with relevant government agencies and well-known enterprise groups in four countries, and investigated local enterprises.

2024-10-08 09:10:31

As the world's largest manufacturer of building materials and the world's leading developer and integrated service provider of new materials, China Building Materials Group is not only a technology-based company, but also an industrial company serving the world, as well as an international company with deep cooperation and win-win future, and is currently striving to build a world-class industry. It is willing to contribute the wisdom, plan and strength of Chinese building materials to the development of Saudi Arabia.

2024-09-27 15:17:29

We will jointly discuss and analyze the practice path of ultra-low emission in the cement industry, and promote the industry to move towards a more energy-efficient and environmentally friendly future.

2024-07-23 18:02:53

In the first half of 2024, affected by multiple factors such as the slowdown of national macroeconomic growth, the deep adjustment of real estate and the slowdown of capital construction, the company's operation was under deep pressure, and the three major businesses were facing an unprecedentedly severe and complex situation.

2024-07-19 13:19:57

European cement prices may exceed 250 euros/ton.

2024-07-17 16:03:36

Taiwan's cement industry has experienced a complete life cycle from germination, growth, prosperity to recession. Study Taiwan cement industry from the development since demand drops period, have draw lessons from a meaning very much to market of current mainland cement.

2024-05-28 11:53:23

The key to determine the efficiency of the industry is the supply structure and enterprise behavior.

2024-04-07 16:00:37

Zheng Jianhui expects cement demand to decline by at least 3% in 2024.

2024-04-03 15:12:49

In 2023, the total amount of new contracts signed by the company was 61.644 billion yuan, an increase of 18% over the previous year. Among them, the amount of new contracts signed abroad was 33.307 billion yuan, an increase of 55% over the previous year. The value of newly signed domestic contracts was 28.337 billion yuan, a decrease of 8% over the same period last year. By the end of 2023, the company's outstanding contracts amounted to 59.325 billion yuan, an increase of 12% over the previous year, providing a guarantee for the company's sustainable and stable development.

2024-03-27 15:09:34

It is highly probable that demand will fall to less than 1 billion tons in 10 years!

2024-03-25 09:31:24

At the 2023 annual performance conference of Huarun Building Material Science and Technology, the company announced that its comprehensive turnover fell 12.9% to 25.55 billion yuan, and the profit attributable to shareholders fell 60.1% to 640 million yuan. The total asset value reached 72.79 billion yuan, the net asset value per share was 6.32 yuan, and the annual dividend payout ratio was 46.1%. Despite the challenges facing the industry, the company remains confident and proposes to focus on cost control, market strategy, green development and organizational capacity improvement in the new year.

2024-03-22 11:22:21

Although the current "Belt and Road" countries still have a large market demand, they should also be alert to the hidden risks and challenges. Cement enterprises should not only learn to recognize gold, but also guard against dangerous reefs on the seabed.

2024-03-21 17:31:55

In the course of the prosperity of China's cement industry, Jidong Equipment has contributed a lot.

2024-03-13 09:10:04

At present, the international political and economic situation is complex and changeable, which has a great impact on the cement industry. Cement enterprises, especially many member enterprises from emerging countries, still have to face such issues as "how to attach equal importance to social responsibility and shareholder returns, how to balance sustainable development and short-term survival, and how to coordinate overcapacity and transformation and upgrading".

2024-03-11 09:38:39

China Building Materials Group is the only central enterprise in the field of building materials in China, and is also the leader of the central enterprise in scientific and technological innovation and the construction of a modern industrial system. How will it develop new quality productivity?

2024-03-06 21:48:14

China's building materials industry has developed into a complete industrial system with complete categories, basic supporting products and facing both domestic and international markets. The total output value of the whole industry has exceeded 6 trillion yuan, forming a number of leading enterprises in the industry led by China Building Materials Group, and building an international network covering the whole world with superior products, technologies and projects such as cement and glass. It has fulfilled the industry responsibility of "the cornerstone of a big country".

2024-03-05 16:54:10

Chengdu Institute of Building Materials and EPCC Company of Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia formally signed a general contract for EPCC clinker project with a daily output of 10000 tons and supporting cement production line with an annual output of 1.6 million tons in Dammam, Saudi Arabia, where its headquarters is located.

2024-03-04 17:37:10

Ignatius, Director-General of the Chemical, Pharmaceutical and Textile Industries, Ministry of Industry Warsito explained that there is overcapacity in the cement industry in almost all regions except Bali, Nusa Tenggara and Papua Maluku. "The largest percentage of overcapacity is in Java, at more than 55.4%," Warsito added.

2024-03-02 18:16:25

After the Lantern Festival, the demand for cement in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has improved, the overall price is stable, and the market is gradually recovering.

2024-03-01 17:02:13

Promoting green and low-carbon development is not only an inevitable choice for the cement industry to respond to the challenges of global climate change and implement the sustainable development strategy, but also an inherent demand for the transformation and upgrading of the industry and the realization of high-quality development.

2024-03-01 15:38:02

Today (March 1), the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance and other seven departments issued China's first Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Green Development of Manufacturing Industry (hereinafter referred to as the Guiding Opinions). It is suggested that by 2030, the output value of green factories will account for more than 40% of the total output value of manufacturing industry, and green development will become a solid foundation for promoting new industrialization.

2024-03-01 11:49:22

In order to achieve the international development goal of "rebuilding a Chinese building material overseas" in 10 years, we will write a new chapter of high-quality development belonging to South African companies.

2024-03-01 10:55:13

Sinoma International (600970) released a record of investor relations activities on February 26, and the company was surveyed by seven institutions on February 23, 2024, including insurance companies, fund companies and securities companies.

2024-02-27 13:39:27

In principle, the salary range of the president/vice president of the research Institute is between 500000 and 2 million yuan, and the salary range of high-level talents is between 300000 and 1 million yuan.

2024-02-26 13:45:31

From February 21 to 22, the 2024 Working Conference of Sinoma Construction and the Third Session of the Third Workers'Congress were held in Beijing.

2024-02-26 10:48:38

The author believes that the expansion of the "concrete city" model also reflects the change of the unequal relationship between the North and the South in the world. In the past, multinational companies grabbed a lot of investment and trade gains, but under the new capitalism of "combination of government and business" in Africa, local political and business elites have risen and formed alliance networks, among which the best have even begun to launch reverse m ergers and reshape "North-South relations". With the retreat of neoliberal influence, a new governance model seems to be emerging in West Africa: the government centralizes the promotion of infrastructure projects, enterprises respond to the call to speed up the landing, and the people vote according to the results of their achievements.

2024-02-07 09:41:37

Recruitment of Party discipline inspection, personnel administration, electrical, mechanical and other personnel.

2024-01-21 16:39:58

On the morning of January 18, Red Lion Group held a business meeting in 2024.

2024-01-19 21:32:36

[Cement Big Data Research Institute] Cement Industry Chain Index Weekly Report (2024.01.19)

2024-01-19 17:19:56

On January 9, 2024, Qingzhou Zhonglian's annual output of 200,000 tons of carbon dioxide oxy-fuel combustion enrichment and purification demonstration project was successfully ignited, and a celebration ceremony for trial production and operation was held on January 12, marking that the demonstration project has entered the trial production and operation stage in an all-round way.

2024-01-12 19:48:32

Building a beautiful China is an important goal of building a socialist modern country in an all-round way and an important part of realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

2024-01-12 10:30:43

水泥行业应认清形势变化,捕捉低碳大势带来的商业模式变革机会。

2023-12-29 15:02:54

作为行业龙头,大型水泥企业肩负着引领行业方向、推动行业进步的责任。面临“需求下滑、效益萎缩、产能过剩”等行业困局,水泥巨头们又是如何“出招”的呢?

2023-12-29 14:53:53

难关未过,未来已来。接下来,让我们一起回顾2023年水泥行业热点事件,总结过往,戮力前行。

2023-12-28 11:49:29

宋志平表示,中国的产业在不少行业的效益是处在低水平,这其实这和行业的竞争状态有关。

2023-12-25 10:42:20

当下,国内以“双碳”为核心的宏观环境已趋完善,持续引导水泥行业降碳转型成为将成为国家下一步的重要工作。

2023-12-21 16:20:33

广东、江西水泥价格上涨;中材建设海外新签一熟料生产线项目;阎晓峰:水泥行业已实现碳达峰,进入碳中和阶段

2023-12-08 13:44:15

邵俊:以“智”取胜正成为改变行业命运的利器;多家水泥企业被裁定破产;未来不懂碳的公司无法生存;海螺、华新、冀东、西南等28家重庆水泥企业纳入碳排放核查名单

2023-11-29 13:43:39

台泥董事长张安平表示,未来不懂碳的公司无法生存,而低碳绝对是国际化市场。

2023-11-28 15:31:03

水泥行业是碳排放大户和传统耗煤大户,与发电行业相比在减碳制度设计与碳排放配额初始分配上应把握总量与强度双控、市场化、现有政策衔接、供给侧结构性改革、活跃度与紧平衡、创新能力与包容性等维度,以实现低碳转型。

2023-11-07 10:14:45

新能源在减排方面主要有两个方面可以发力。第一:清洁电力。通过新能源发电,来满足水泥生产过程中用电,间接减排;第二:替代燃料。通过使用新能源燃料替代燃煤,直接减排。从目前技术和商业成熟度看,光伏产业是水泥行业在新能源领域中布局的最重要板块;其次,氢能、生物质能行业方兴未艾,水泥企业亦有涉及,但占比整体较低。

2023-11-03 14:03:46

作为建材领域唯一央企,中国建材心怀“国之大者”,打造“国之大材”,坚守主责主业,把建材制造业的饭碗牢牢端在自己手上,坚持传统产业和战略性新兴产业两端发力,一手抓加快传统产业转型升级,一手抓加快战略性新兴产业布局,积极担当构建现代化产业体系的排头兵。

2023-11-02 09:34:40

广西水泥价格上调;“多措并举”塑造水泥行业健康生态;河南、江西、河北、湖南等多地发布水泥错峰通知;中国铁建3位副总裁辞任。无人驾驶卡车在矿山规模化运行,水泥智慧矿山建设持续推进。

2023-11-01 13:40:32

十年间,借助政策东风以及积累的先进技术、资金实力和运营管理经验,国内不少水泥企业加快海外布局,众多水泥熟料项目沿着“一带一路”落地生根并开花结果。

2023-10-30 09:34:30