“先立后破”对水泥市场来说意味着什么?

2023-12-21 15:31:57

“先立后破”的基调下,政府对基础设施建设的支持会继续加大,从而带动水泥需求的增长。

近期召开的政治局会议提出“明年要坚持稳中求进、以进促稳、先立后破”。

如何理解“先立后破”?“先立后破”基调对房地产业有什么影响?对水泥市场又有什么影响?

“先立后破”是指在经济发展中,先通过加强稳定的政策措施来促进经济增长,然后再解决一些结构性问题和矛盾。这一措施的背景是中国经济面临一些内外部压力,需要稳定经济增长并解决一些积累的问题。

“先立后破”对于房地产行业相关领域有重要的指导意义。促进市场平稳健康运行是后续房地产领域系列改革创新的重要前提,这一基调意味着政府将继续采取稳定房地产市场的政策。

当前来看,房地产发展新模式取得了一定的进展,如加强保障性住房建设、城中村改造等,都是为了促进向新模式转型的探索,但是这个过程也是漫长曲折的,需要各方共同发力。

对于水泥市场,保障性住房建设、城中村改造都将在未来一段时期稳定地提供水泥需求。“先立后破”的基调下,政府对基础设施建设的支持会继续加大,从而带动水泥需求的增长。此外,政府还可能加强对环保和产能过剩等问题的监管,以确保水泥行业的健康发展。

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Correlation

Real estate is one of the major downstream markets for sand and gravel aggregates. Since 2021, the real estate market has been declining, resulting in a sharp decline in demand for sand and gravel aggregates for real estate. Recently, the favorable policies of real estate are frequent, whether it can drive the demand for sand and gravel aggregates to stop falling and stabilize..

2024-10-29 15:13:46

Vietnam is the largest exporter of cement and clinker, with an annual export of 30 million tons of cement and clinker. China, the Philippines and Bangladesh are the main export countries of Vietnam in Asia. With the decrease of China's demand, the export of cement and clinker from Vietnam to China has also declined. Vietnam is now increasing the export of cement and clinker to the Philippines and Bangladesh. To make up for the loss of market share of cement and clinker exported to China.

2024-10-15 13:07:56

According to incomplete statistics, there are about 33 listed companies developing commercial mixing business in A-share motherboard, Hong Kong stock and Taiwan stock, of which 9 companies take commercial mixing as their main business.

2024-09-10 17:04:29

However, in the semi-annual reports issued by major cement listed companies, despite the sharp decline in profits of the cement sector, the development of the aggregate sector is still steady. China Cement Network data show that in the first half of 2024, the demand for aggregate for concrete fell 10.8% year-on-year, with a total demand of 6.25 billion tons, dragged down by both downstream infrastructure and real estate. Therefore, how long the aggregate can support cement enterprises is indeed a pessimistic unknown.

2024-09-04 09:39:36

In the first half of 2024, Conch Cement realized an operating income of RMB45.566 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.44%, and a net profit attributable to parent company of RMB3.326 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 48.56%.

2024-08-30 14:56:13

Domestic high temperature rain weather has not yet subsided, downstream construction activity is still low, the concrete market is relatively flat, and the market price is stable. From August 15 to August 21, the national concrete price index closed at 114.16 points, down 0.28% annually and 11.40% year-on-year.

2024-08-23 17:35:52

The price of raw materials in many places has fallen, and the price of concrete in southwest China is running weakly.

2024-08-23 15:45:37

We need to establish the core values of "others earn more, I can earn more" to guide production and operation. In the short run, only by actively limiting production and restoring the balance of supply and demand in the weak market, can the cement industry achieve a recovery in efficiency. Without enough initiative and consistency to limit production, all those who talk about the price of cement are cheaters and hooligans, and they can not succeed.

2024-08-13 15:12:11

The vicious competition of "involution" is a game without winners.

2024-08-08 10:38:47

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the demand and sales in southwest China are sluggish, cement prices in Sichuan and Chongqing continue to fall, and some regions have fallen back to the level before the price increase in June. Some markets in the surrounding Yunnan-Guizhou region are still pushing up in the week, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-08-02 17:25:15

According to the cement network market data center news, Ningxia prices continue to decline; Shaanxi region recently due to the contradiction between supply and demand and price competition led to a larger price reduction.

2024-08-02 16:39:35

The future demand for cement depends on the construction progress of new projects and continued projects. It is expected that cement demand will be difficult to improve in the future, and enterprises should reduce demand expectations in order to cope with the downward trend and develop rapidly.

2024-08-02 10:18:05

"There are two leading enterprises fighting in Guanzhong.".

2024-07-31 17:32:22

Demand is declining, supply is increasing, and the price of sand and gravel industry is adjusted in an all-round way.

2024-07-31 15:56:20

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the Northeast region shut down the kiln again for 15 days in August, which played a supporting role in cement prices.

2024-07-26 17:06:09

According to the data center of China Cement Market, the intensity of peak staggering has been increased, and the price of cement in Yunnan-Guizhou region has been raised by 30-100 yuan/ton, and the implementation remains to be observed. Cement prices in some markets in Sichuan and Chongqing have dropped by 30-50 yuan/ton.

2024-07-26 16:56:03

In the past two decades, the demand change of China's cement industry has gone through three development stages: high-speed development period (2004-2012), high-level platform period (2013-2021), and downward demand period (from 2022 to now).

2024-07-23 16:45:00

In the first half of this year, due to the continuous decline in real estate investment, the slowdown in infrastructure investment and the impact of rainy weather, the downstream demand of the cement industry was insufficient, the contradiction between supply and demand intensified, and the sales volume and price of the company's products declined year on year, resulting in a decline in operating income and profits.

2024-07-11 14:22:17

Tapai Group issued a performance forecast for the first half of 2024. The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company during the reporting period was RMB218,586,600 to RMB242,874,000, representing a decrease of 55% to 50% as compared with the same period of last year.

2024-07-09 09:30:18

Cement and aggregate are "grasshoppers on a rope".

2024-07-05 11:41:59

There is little hope that the demand for cement on the real estate side will recover, and infrastructure will remain the "biggest reliance" for cement demand for a long time to come. If the demand for cement at the infrastructure end can not play a supporting role, or even decline by a large margin, the cement supply side will drive the cement to rise.

2024-07-01 12:02:26

According to the data center of China Cement Network, the cost of cement production has risen, and the price of cement in Dali and Lijiang areas of Yunnan has risen again by 30 yuan/ton. The market demand in Sichuan and Chongqing is weak, and local cement prices have fallen.

2024-06-28 17:06:31

De-inventory has become an important task for the real estate industry at this stage, and the scale of land supply is expected to shrink further, putting pressure on domestic cement demand.

2024-06-28 09:38:56

The contradiction between supply and demand intensifies, and the price prospect of natural sand is worrying.

2024-06-26 15:22:12

Wang Jianchao believes that there are objective and subjective reasons for the current predicament of the cement industry.

2024-06-26 10:23:37

The serious decline in demand, coupled with the fierce market competition, the low opening and low going of cement prices, continued to bottom out, and the loss of the industry expanded. The loss of the industry in the first quarter exceeded that of 2016, and the pressure of enterprise operation was unprecedented.

2024-05-31 14:35:19

According to the incomplete statistics of China Cement Network, there are about 24 companies with aggregate business in A-share motherboard and Hong Kong listed companies, of which 16 listed companies disclose specific aggregate income..

2024-05-28 16:59:57

Taiwan's cement industry has experienced a complete life cycle from germination, growth, prosperity to recession. Study Taiwan cement industry from the development since demand drops period, have draw lessons from a meaning very much to market of current mainland cement.

2024-05-28 11:53:23

According to the market data of China Cement Net, the price of cement in Guizhou has bottomed out and rebounded. Around the 20th, enterprises in most parts of the province notified the price of cement to be raised by 20-50 yuan/ton, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-05-24 15:36:32

Affected by insufficient infrastructure support and the continuous downturn of real estate, the demand of cement industry continued to be weak throughout the year. In 2023, the national cement output was 2.023 billion tons, down 5% from the same period last year. Under the influence of the decline in demand, the contradiction of excess capacity was further intensified, the market competition was extremely fierce, the price of cement dropped significantly, the industry profit shrank sharply again, the annual profit dropped by more than 50%, the development of the cement industry entered an unprecedented difficult period, and many companies suffered heavy losses.

2024-05-23 14:01:48

How is the cement industry in Hubei? Faced with the current situation, what are the views of cement enterprises in the region?

2024-05-23 13:38:17

According to incomplete statistics, there are about 34 listed companies developing commercial mixing business in A-share motherboard, Hong Kong stock and Taiwan stock, of which 8 companies take commercial mixing as their main business.

2024-05-21 17:09:01

The reduction of new construction projects and the weakness of infrastructure have a direct impact on cement demand.

2024-05-21 09:52:34

Even from the above four aspects, it is still difficult to fundamentally solve the problem of excess cement production capacity in Henan. If orderly competition and cooperation can not be achieved, the competition between "advanced production capacity and relatively advanced production capacity" will eventually change into the confrontation between "advanced production capacity and advanced production capacity".

2024-05-13 15:30:38

"In the first quarter of this year, the demand for cement was the worst season in my career for so many years, except for the year of epidemic prevention and control," said the sales director of a cement enterprise in western Henan.

2024-05-10 18:12:59

Overall, the "battle intensity" between local enterprises in the southern Henan market will slow down significantly in 2024, but the overall situation is still grim due to the decline in demand and the impact of cement from other provinces.

2024-05-09 21:25:45

In 2023, Tianrui Cement realized an operating income of 7.889 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.64%; the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies was -634 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 241.27%..

2024-05-07 16:04:50

The economic slowdown is another challenge facing the U.S. cement market in 2024.

2024-04-28 17:17:33

In the first quarter of 2024, the demand for infrastructure fell short of expectations, housing projects continued to shrink, and the concrete industry continued to weaken. By the end of March, the National Concrete Price Index (CONCPI) closed at 122.38 points, down 1.8% from the beginning of the year. Compared with the same period in 2023, the concrete price index fell by 12.8%.

2024-04-22 10:18:23

Recently, a number of cement listed companies have been surveyed by institutions and expressed their views and judgments on the market trend this year.

2024-04-18 11:15:12

We will make every effort to promote the development of aggregate industry and the development of production capacity, promote the layout of commercial and mixed industries, and create new profit growth points.

2024-04-16 17:29:01

From January to March 2024, the cement output was 10,000 tons 33684, a decrease of 11.8% over the same period last year, an increase of 10.2 percentage points over the previous value. According to the full-caliber calculation, the output of cement in January-March decreased by 16.3% year-on-year.

2024-04-16 15:55:59

Although Shanshui Cement can not fully represent the situation of other enterprises in Shandong region, the situation of falling volume and price makes Shandong cement industry face severe challenges in the first quarter of 2024.

2024-04-12 10:53:41

Several years later, the capacity was effectively removed through market shuffling, and the capacity utilization rate of the cement industry returned reasonably. Perhaps it is the golden sentence of the cement industry, the world cement looks at China, China cement looks at conch!

2024-04-11 14:04:43

As the main body of the market, enterprises will give answers with their own practical actions.

2024-04-10 13:03:13

The person in charge of a core cement enterprise in eastern Guangdong predicts that the annual decline in cement sales in 2024 will be greater than that in the previous year.

2024-04-08 17:20:15

The profit situation of the cement industry may improve in March.

2024-04-07 09:17:51

The general aggregate market is already fighting in the Red Sea, while the high-end fine aggregate market is still the blue sea market.

2024-04-03 14:16:17

In terms of thermal coal price, Chen Tianyu believes that: 1. Excess supply and demand is difficult to change, and the situation of periodic tightening will still occur; 2. Under the dual-track system, pay attention to the rhythm of non-electricity demand release; 3. The price of 5500 kcal coal around Bohai Sea will be 973 yuan/ton in 2023, and the price focus will continue to move down in 2024, fluctuating between 750-950 yuan/ton.

2024-04-02 11:28:11

On March 29, the "2024 13th China Cement Industry Summit Main Forum and TOP100 Award Ceremony" was held grandly.

2024-03-29 18:00:30

Liu Yan said that the situation of overcapacity in the cement industry will exist for a long time, and the control of production and capacity will also exist for a long time. In recent years, the industry has achieved some results in anti-involution and anti-vicious competition, with large enterprises leading and small and medium-sized enterprises working together as the key, but we must also be aware that the current industry ecology is still fragile, which requires long-term efforts of all parties to jointly maintain.