DBM Weekly Review: Silicon Materials Rise or Price Stabilization in the Aftermarket (2025.7.14)

2025-07-14 19:03:18

Last week, the prices of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, but the actual turnover was small and some enterprises grabbed the volume at low prices, and the price sustainability after the rise was to be determined. The price of photovoltaic modules is generally stable, and the price increase has not formed a resultant force. Although the spot price of industrial silicon has risen, it lacks support to continue to rise, and its price fluctuation will affect the cost of polysilicon. Polysilicon inventory remains high and enterprises low-load production, this continuous rise or end, future enterprises will be mainly stable prices.

I. Price Trend

of

Silicon Materials Last week, the price of N-type silicon materials was 36,000 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 7.41% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.05%; the price of N-type granular silicon was 35,500 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 7.58% and a year-on-year decrease of 2.74%. During the week, silicon material enterprises actively responded to the meeting of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and raised the price above the cost line to end the disorderly competition at low prices. Although the quotation rose, the actual transaction was very few. At the same time, the market reported that some enterprises grabbed the volume at low prices. It remains to be seen whether the price can be sustained after the rise.

Figure 1: Price Trend

of N-type Silicon Material Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 2: Price Trend

of N-type Granular Silicon Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com II.

According to the data of Digital New Energy DataBM. Com, the price index of TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic modules was 0.65 yuan/W last week, which was flat annually. The price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.66/W, flat on a month-on-month basis; the price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.66/W, flat on a month-on-month basis; the price index of HJT double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.72/W, flat on a month-on-month basis. During the week, the price of photovoltaic modules was generally stable, and some enterprises intended to raise the price, but there were still many enterprises that reduced the price. Low-price modules interfered with the market, and the price increase failed to form a joint force. In the short term, the price was still stable.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend

of Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Source: Digital New Energy DataBM

Last week, the spot price of industrial silicon rose to a certain extent, with the average price of Si4210 industrial silicon rising to 9342 yuan/ton. The southern market is in a wet season with weak superimposed demand, and industrial silicon continues to rise or lacks obvious support. If the price of industrial silicon weakens again and falls into shock, the cost focus of polysilicon will move down, which will affect the price.

Although enterprises raise the price to above the cost line, the actual cost of each enterprise is different, and enterprises with cost advantages are still likely to increase production efforts, leading to the polysilicon market facing fierce competition again. Last week, polysilicon stocks remained above 270000 tons, with the recent price rise, stocks did not change significantly. At present, enterprises maintain low-load production. On the whole, after the continuous rise of polysilicon, future enterprises may be mainly active in stabilizing prices.

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Correlation

Last week, the prices of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, but the actual turnover was small and some enterprises grabbed the volume at low prices, and the price sustainability after the rise was to be determined. The price of photovoltaic modules is generally stable, and the price increase has not formed a resultant force. Although the spot price of industrial silicon has risen, it lacks support to continue to rise, and its price fluctuation will affect the cost of polysilicon. Polysilicon inventory remains high and enterprises low-load production, this continuous rise or end, future enterprises will be mainly stable prices.

2025-07-14 19:03:18

Last week, the price of N-type silicon rose slightly and the price of N-type granular silicon was flat, but the inventory of polysilicon was higher and the demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules mostly fell, demand was light, and leading enterprises cut prices to inventory. The average price of industrial silicon increased due to the reduction of production by large factories, but the demand did not improve. At present, the downstream market is still reducing prices, the price of silicon wafers is down, the demand for polysilicon is affected, and the price increase last week may only rebound. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will control the low price competition of photovoltaic and promote the withdrawal of backward production capacity.

2025-07-07 13:26:20

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year on year. Futures prices rose under the rumors of industrial silicon production cuts, but spot prices did not follow up, and demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is flat, and the price of weak demand is expected to decline. Rumors of production reduction of industrial silicon enterprises in Xinjiang remain to be observed, and there is no obvious feedback from the spot market. Polysilicon inventory is high, futures have not responded to spot, although futures rebound, but it is difficult to change the supply and demand pattern, spot prices are still weak and stable.

2025-06-30 14:10:57

Last week, the prices of P-type, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon fell annually, the decline was significantly larger than before, the market demand was sluggish, and the sales pressure of enterprises was high. The price index of photovoltaic modules fell partly, the market demand was low, and the price of third-tier manufacturers was significantly reduced. The market of photovoltaic main materials was under downward pressure, the transaction of industrial silicon was weak, the demand for silicon wafers did not improve, and the price of silicon materials continued to fall. Although there are rumors that the Photovoltaic Association will limit production and guarantee prices, they have been refuted, and the industry may follow the market trend in the future.

2025-06-23 15:26:43

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials and N-type silicon materials fell on a month-on-month basis, while the prices of N-type granular silicon materials were flat on a month-on-month basis, the stocks of silicon materials rose, and the demand did not improve, resulting in price pressure. The price of photovoltaic modules is generally stable, but there is downward space. Although there are signs of stabilization in the upstream and downstream of polysilicon, it is fragile, the demand for industrial silicon is weak, the downstream module battery market is weak, the demand for silicon materials is insufficient and the inventory is increasing.

2025-06-16 18:14:23

Last week, the prices of P-type, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year-on-year. The price index of photovoltaic modules was partly flat and partly down. Recently, there are signs of stabilization in downstream battery components and silicon wafers, but the market demand is not good, the price of component collection has fallen, and the wait-and-see sentiment is strong. The inventory of silicon wafer factories and silicon material factories is high, and the downstream has the power to lower the price. Industrial silicon has not stopped falling, it is still downward in the short term, and the downward space may be narrowed in the later period. The price of silicon materials is temporarily weak and stable, and it is difficult to determine the strength of enterprises to stop production.

2025-06-09 11:30:53

Last week, the price of P-type monocrystalline dense materials was flat, while the price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon fell. Polysilicon inventory is high, downstream purchasing is light, and the price of silicon materials is still under downward pressure. The overall price of photovoltaic modules has fallen, although some leading enterprises want to raise prices, but the trend of price increase is difficult to achieve. The price of batteries has been loosened and the price of silicon wafers has stabilized. Industrial silicon has not stopped falling, the cost side of silicon materials is under pressure, the current position may further decline, but the space is limited, enterprises tend to reduce production and stabilize prices, and the short-term market is weak and stable.

2025-06-03 11:18:27

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year on year. Polysilicon inventory is high, downstream purchasing enthusiasm is weak, and silicon material enterprises are expected to increase prices and production reduction. Photovoltaic module prices were partly flat and partly down. Downstream links have not stopped falling, and the willingness of silicon wafer and silicon material enterprises to support prices has increased. The price of upstream industrial silicon has fallen, and the contradiction between supply and demand has worsened in the wet season. Although there is a trend of price reduction in the silicon material sector, if there is no further consensus, there is still downward momentum.

2025-05-26 11:59:48

The title is "Port Coal Price Statistics Table". This table shows the coal prices of ports in the Bohai Rim, East China, South China and other regions, with the unit of yuan/ton, covering a variety of coal types, price types and calorific values. The price of coal in each port has changed in different periods. Among them, the price of general bituminous coal with a calorific value of 5000 in Zhujiang Power Terminal has a relatively large change value, while the price of some coal types in Zhicheng Port and Wanzhou Port has a relatively small change value (no change).