DBM Weekly Review: Silicon Material Price Temporarily Stable, Upstream Rumors of Production Reduction (2025.06.30)

2025-06-30 14:10:57

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year on year. Futures prices rose under the rumors of industrial silicon production cuts, but spot prices did not follow up, and demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is flat, and the price of weak demand is expected to decline. Rumors of production reduction of industrial silicon enterprises in Xinjiang remain to be observed, and there is no obvious feedback from the spot market. Polysilicon inventory is high, futures have not responded to spot, although futures rebound, but it is difficult to change the supply and demand pattern, spot prices are still weak and stable.

I. Price Trend

of

Silicon Materials Last week, the price of P-type monocrystalline dense materials was 30,000 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 14.29% on a year-on-year basis; the price of N-type silicon materials was 33,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 14.1% on a year-on-year basis; The price of N-type granular silicon was 33 thousand yuan/ton, which was flat, down 9.59% year on year. During the week, the price of silicon materials was temporarily stable, there were rumors of production cuts in upstream industrial silicon, and the futures prices of industrial silicon and polysilicon rose sharply, but the current market demand is still weak, and it is expected that it will be difficult to cause spot prices to follow up.

Figure 1: Price Trend

of N-type Silicon Material Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 2: Price Trend

of N-type Granular Silicon Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com II.

According to the data of Digital New Energy DataBM. Com, the price index of TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic modules was 0.66 yuan/W last week, which was flat annually. The price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.67/W, flat on a month-on-month basis; the price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.67/W, flat on a month-on-month basis; the price index of HJT double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.72/W, flat on a month-on-month basis. During the week, the price of photovoltaic modules remained stable, most of the enterprises were mainly stable, the demand was still weak, and the price was still expected to decline.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend

of Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Source: Digital New Energy DataBM

Last week, it was rumored in the market that the Xinjiang base of Hesheng Silicon Industry would reduce production, but the specific situation of production reduction was not determined. Last week, the average price of Si4210 industrial silicon was 9166.67 yuan/ton, and there was no sign of stopping the decline. This round of production reduction rumors remains to be observed. There was no obvious feedback from the spot market, and the downstream procurement was mainly rigid demand, and there was no sign of improvement. Downstream, although the price of components is temporarily stable, there is still a further downward expectation, while the price of silicon wafers is still in the downward channel, affected by the weakening demand, the demand for silicon links may further decline.

Last week, polysilicon stocks remained high, purchasing was light, and spot prices of polysilicon did not respond after futures prices rose sharply. Despite the sharp rebound in short-term market prices, it is not easy to change the market supply and demand pattern. The leading industrial silicon production reduction may be conducive to cost support, but it is expected to be difficult to change the market trend, and spot prices are still weak and stable.

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Correlation

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year on year. Futures prices rose under the rumors of industrial silicon production cuts, but spot prices did not follow up, and demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is flat, and the price of weak demand is expected to decline. Rumors of production reduction of industrial silicon enterprises in Xinjiang remain to be observed, and there is no obvious feedback from the spot market. Polysilicon inventory is high, futures have not responded to spot, although futures rebound, but it is difficult to change the supply and demand pattern, spot prices are still weak and stable.

2025-06-30 14:10:57

Last week, the prices of P-type, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon fell annually, the decline was significantly larger than before, the market demand was sluggish, and the sales pressure of enterprises was high. The price index of photovoltaic modules fell partly, the market demand was low, and the price of third-tier manufacturers was significantly reduced. The market of photovoltaic main materials was under downward pressure, the transaction of industrial silicon was weak, the demand for silicon wafers did not improve, and the price of silicon materials continued to fall. Although there are rumors that the Photovoltaic Association will limit production and guarantee prices, they have been refuted, and the industry may follow the market trend in the future.

2025-06-23 15:26:43

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials and N-type silicon materials fell on a month-on-month basis, while the prices of N-type granular silicon materials were flat on a month-on-month basis, the stocks of silicon materials rose, and the demand did not improve, resulting in price pressure. The price of photovoltaic modules is generally stable, but there is downward space. Although there are signs of stabilization in the upstream and downstream of polysilicon, it is fragile, the demand for industrial silicon is weak, the downstream module battery market is weak, the demand for silicon materials is insufficient and the inventory is increasing.

2025-06-16 18:14:23

Last week, the prices of P-type, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year-on-year. The price index of photovoltaic modules was partly flat and partly down. Recently, there are signs of stabilization in downstream battery components and silicon wafers, but the market demand is not good, the price of component collection has fallen, and the wait-and-see sentiment is strong. The inventory of silicon wafer factories and silicon material factories is high, and the downstream has the power to lower the price. Industrial silicon has not stopped falling, it is still downward in the short term, and the downward space may be narrowed in the later period. The price of silicon materials is temporarily weak and stable, and it is difficult to determine the strength of enterprises to stop production.

2025-06-09 11:30:53

Last week, the price of P-type monocrystalline dense materials was flat, while the price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon fell. Polysilicon inventory is high, downstream purchasing is light, and the price of silicon materials is still under downward pressure. The overall price of photovoltaic modules has fallen, although some leading enterprises want to raise prices, but the trend of price increase is difficult to achieve. The price of batteries has been loosened and the price of silicon wafers has stabilized. Industrial silicon has not stopped falling, the cost side of silicon materials is under pressure, the current position may further decline, but the space is limited, enterprises tend to reduce production and stabilize prices, and the short-term market is weak and stable.

2025-06-03 11:18:27

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year on year. Polysilicon inventory is high, downstream purchasing enthusiasm is weak, and silicon material enterprises are expected to increase prices and production reduction. Photovoltaic module prices were partly flat and partly down. Downstream links have not stopped falling, and the willingness of silicon wafer and silicon material enterprises to support prices has increased. The price of upstream industrial silicon has fallen, and the contradiction between supply and demand has worsened in the wet season. Although there is a trend of price reduction in the silicon material sector, if there is no further consensus, there is still downward momentum.

2025-05-26 11:59:48