DBM Weekly Review: Prices of Silicon Materials Are Still Moving Down, Short-term Weakness and Stability Are Expected (2025.06.03)

2025-06-03 11:18:27

Last week, the price of P-type monocrystalline dense materials was flat, while the price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon fell. Polysilicon inventory is high, downstream purchasing is light, and the price of silicon materials is still under downward pressure. The overall price of photovoltaic modules has fallen, although some leading enterprises want to raise prices, but the trend of price increase is difficult to achieve. The price of batteries has been loosened and the price of silicon wafers has stabilized. Industrial silicon has not stopped falling, the cost side of silicon materials is under pressure, the current position may further decline, but the space is limited, enterprises tend to reduce production and stabilize prices, and the short-term market is weak and stable.

I. Price Trend

of

Silicon Materials Last week, the price of P-type monocrystalline dense materials remained flat on a month-on-month basis, reaching 31,000 yuan/ton, down 15.03% on a year-on-year basis; the price of N-type silicon materials was 37,000 yuan/ton, down 2.63% on a month-on-month basis and 10.84% on a year-on-year basis; N-type granular silicon was 34 thousand and 500 yuan/ton, down 3.598% from the previous year and 8% from the previous year. During the week, the polysilicon inventory remained high, the downstream silicon wafer production market was light, the price of silicon materials was still declining, and the silicon material enterprises still needed to take action to stabilize the price.

Figure 1: Price Trend

of N-type Silicon Material Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 2: Price Trend

of N-type Granular Silicon Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com II.

According to the data of Digital New Energy DataBM. Com, the price index of TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic modules was 0.67 yuan/W last week, down 1.47% annually. The price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.69/W, flat on a month-on-month basis; the price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.68/W, flat on a month-on-month basis; the price index of HJT double-sided 210 PV modules was RMB0.73/W, down by 1.37% on a month-on-month basis. During the week, the leading enterprises wanted to raise prices, but the market demand weakened and some enterprises cleared their warehouses and reduced prices, so the trend of price increase was still difficult to take shape, and prices were mixed.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend

of Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Source: Digital New Energy DataBM

Last week, cell prices still fell back, but silicon wafer prices showed signs of stabilization. Large silicon wafer manufacturers actively supported prices and pushed forward production cuts. The supply-demand relationship is expected to ease, but the demand for silicon materials may further weaken. From the cost side, industrial silicon has not stopped falling, and the market price has fallen significantly last week, and the market sentiment is low. From the perspective of

comprehensive cost and downstream market, the current position of silicon material price may still be further downward, but the downward space tends to be more limited, enterprises are more inclined to reduce production and stabilize prices, and the short-term market price is expected to be weak and stable.

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Correlation

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials and N-type silicon materials fell on a month-on-month basis, while the prices of N-type granular silicon materials were flat on a month-on-month basis, the stocks of silicon materials rose, and the demand did not improve, resulting in price pressure. The price of photovoltaic modules is generally stable, but there is downward space. Although there are signs of stabilization in the upstream and downstream of polysilicon, it is fragile, the demand for industrial silicon is weak, the downstream module battery market is weak, the demand for silicon materials is insufficient and the inventory is increasing.

2025-06-16 18:14:23

Last week, the prices of P-type, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year-on-year. The price index of photovoltaic modules was partly flat and partly down. Recently, there are signs of stabilization in downstream battery components and silicon wafers, but the market demand is not good, the price of component collection has fallen, and the wait-and-see sentiment is strong. The inventory of silicon wafer factories and silicon material factories is high, and the downstream has the power to lower the price. Industrial silicon has not stopped falling, it is still downward in the short term, and the downward space may be narrowed in the later period. The price of silicon materials is temporarily weak and stable, and it is difficult to determine the strength of enterprises to stop production.

2025-06-09 11:30:53

Last week, the price of P-type monocrystalline dense materials was flat, while the price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon fell. Polysilicon inventory is high, downstream purchasing is light, and the price of silicon materials is still under downward pressure. The overall price of photovoltaic modules has fallen, although some leading enterprises want to raise prices, but the trend of price increase is difficult to achieve. The price of batteries has been loosened and the price of silicon wafers has stabilized. Industrial silicon has not stopped falling, the cost side of silicon materials is under pressure, the current position may further decline, but the space is limited, enterprises tend to reduce production and stabilize prices, and the short-term market is weak and stable.

2025-06-03 11:18:27

Last week, the prices of P-type monocrystalline dense materials, N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon were flat and fell year on year. Polysilicon inventory is high, downstream purchasing enthusiasm is weak, and silicon material enterprises are expected to increase prices and production reduction. Photovoltaic module prices were partly flat and partly down. Downstream links have not stopped falling, and the willingness of silicon wafer and silicon material enterprises to support prices has increased. The price of upstream industrial silicon has fallen, and the contradiction between supply and demand has worsened in the wet season. Although there is a trend of price reduction in the silicon material sector, if there is no further consensus, there is still downward momentum.

2025-05-26 11:59:48

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