2022年上半年水泥市场运行分析与后市展望

2022-07-27 09:50:23

2022年上半年,水泥行业遇到了前所未有的困难,一季度下游施工偏慢,需求恢复不及同期,进入二季度后,疫情强势反弹,需求陷入停滞状态,水泥价格跌跌不止,上半年,水泥产量创下近年新低,同时由于煤价仍处相对高位,水泥行业利润大幅萎缩。展望2022年下半年,我们认为水泥行业供需关系相较于上半年会有一定好转,价格将会出现反弹,由于需求恢复有限,价格反弹力度或将有限。全年来看,水泥需求将面临较大下行压力,行业效益难言乐观。

2022年上半年,水泥行业遇到了前所未有的困难,一季度下游施工偏慢,需求恢复不及同期,进入二季度后,疫情强势反弹,需求陷入停滞状态,水泥价格跌跌不止,上半年,水泥产量创下近年新低,同时由于煤价仍处相对高位,水泥行业利润大幅萎缩。展望2022年下半年,我们认为水泥行业供需关系相较于上半年会有一定好转,价格将会出现反弹,由于需求恢复有限,价格反弹力度或将有限。全年来看,水泥需求将面临较大下行压力,行业效益难言乐观。

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While seeing the success of the current price rise, the industry should also think about how to make a good start next year and how to develop steadily in the future. The author believes that in the current situation, active production control is the key to maintain a good situation in the cement industry. If production control can not be effectively implemented, even if the cement price is maintained at a relatively reasonable position at the end of this year, the cement price will still be difficult to maintain in the face of severe supply and demand situation after the beginning of next year.

2024-11-20 09:45:47

According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the cement output from January to September in 2024 is 1326.7 million tons, with a year-on-year decrease of 10.7%; the industry expects that the profit of the whole industry in the first three quarters is only about 3.1 billion yuan, setting the worst record in decades. With the increasingly fierce competition among cement enterprises and the continuous decline of industry efficiency, how can enterprises adjust their development strategies, cross the industry cycle and usher in a new rise in performance? Only when you know yourself and your enemy can you fight a hundred battles with no danger of defeat. If we can accurately grasp the data of industry production and operation demand in real time, it will be the key factor for enterprises to achieve market breakthroughs.

2024-11-12 10:13:04

According to the data center of China Cement Market, the overall market demand in Northwest China has declined, some kilns have been shut down, and most prices are stable. For example, the cement market demand in Gansu is weak at present, especially in Lanzhou and its surrounding areas, the inventory of some manufacturers is not high.

2024-11-08 17:27:44

Asia Cement said in the third quarter report that looking forward to the fourth quarter, the demand for cement will pick up to a certain extent. With the support of increasing peak staggering efforts, the contradiction between supply and demand of cement will be alleviated in stages. It is expected that the results of the increase in cement prices in the third quarter will be maintained until the end of the year, and the benefits of cement enterprises are expected to usher in marginal improvement.

2024-11-06 10:05:59

According to the information from China Cement Market Data Center, the price of cement in many places in Yunnan in southwest China has risen by 100 yuan/ton, and the implementation remains to be observed; Liangshan and Panzhihua in Sichuan have also begun to push up by 50 yuan/ton. In Guizhou, some major manufacturers in Qiannan, Qianxinan, Zunyi, Tongren and other regions have recently raised the cement price by 10-40 yuan/ton, while the quotation in other regions has been stable for the time being.

2024-11-01 17:32:29

Looking forward to the fourth quarter, the demand for cement will pick up to a certain extent, and the contradiction between supply and demand of cement will be alleviated in stages with the support of increasing peak staggering efforts in various regions. It is expected that the results of cement price increase in the third quarter will be maintained until the end of the year, and the benefits of cement enterprises are expected to usher in marginal improvement.

2024-11-01 11:10:16

The incorporation of the cement industry into the national carbon market will have a significant impact on cement enterprises in terms of production and operation, data control, transaction costs, energy saving and carbon reduction investment. With the carbon quota from basic satisfaction to tight reduction, it will effectively promote production reduction, thereby affecting competitiveness and supply and demand pattern.

2024-11-01 09:52:46

Looking forward to the fourth quarter, we believe that the demand for cement will continue to weaken, but under the background of the rising voice of "anti-involution" and the increasing awareness of self-help in the industry, enterprises will intensify their efforts to limit production, cement prices are expected to rise, and industry benefits will continue to be restored. Throughout the year, cement demand will face greater downward pressure, and the industry's profit decline is still large.

2024-10-30 17:15:19

According to the China Cement Market Data Center, the price of cement in Lanzhou-Baiyin area of Gansu Province has risen by 10 yuan/ton; the prices in Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang and Shaanxi are stable. Affected by the big drop in temperature, rain and snow before the festival, the market demand in Qinghai has declined significantly. As the weather cleared up, cement sales in the region rebounded, and the market showed signs of warming up.

2024-10-12 17:29:56

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in the central and southern regions is general, while the Guangxi region is stable and declining. Eastern Hubei and other regions plan to push up the price of cement by 30 yuan/ton again. Driven by the price increase in eastern Hubei, individual market prices in Hunan have been notified to rise again.

2024-09-27 16:48:15

In the first half of the year, China's cement output fell by 10% year-on-year, the price of P.O42.5 bulk cement fell by 18% year-on-year, both volume and price fell, and the whole industry lost money in the first half of the year, which was rare in history. Similar to the decline in domestic cement demand, cement demand in neighboring South Korea has also fallen sharply this year, but the price performance has been unusually strong. Facing the same decline in demand and overcapacity, why are the prices of the two countries different?

2024-09-18 11:46:02

Looking forward to the second half of 2024, we believe that the demand for cement will improve compared with the first half of the year, and the price will continue to rebound. However, under the constraints of weak demand and serious overcapacity, the repair of cement price is limited. Throughout the year, cement demand will face

2024-08-01 09:19:52

Demand is declining, supply is increasing, and the price of sand and gravel industry is adjusted in an all-round way.

2024-07-31 15:56:20

In the past two decades, the demand change of China's cement industry has gone through three development stages: high-speed development period (2004-2012), high-level platform period (2013-2021), and downward demand period (from 2022 to now).

2024-07-23 16:45:00

"Reasonable efficiency is the basis and prerequisite for the high-quality development of the industry, and it is necessary to promote the return of industry value." So, what is the reasonable profit of the cement industry?

2024-06-28 09:36:54

The serious decline in demand, coupled with the fierce market competition, the low opening and low going of cement prices, continued to bottom out, and the loss of the industry expanded. The loss of the industry in the first quarter exceeded that of 2016, and the pressure of enterprise operation was unprecedented.

2024-05-31 14:35:19

In Zhou Shanjian's view, as a resource-intensive product, cement's consumption of natural resources and energy should be transformed into equivalent economic and social values to maximize the value of resource utilization.

2024-05-17 13:55:14

At the beginning of April, the National Cement Price Index (CEMPI) was 104.8 points, closing at 108.1 points at the end of the month, up 2.51% annually and down 20.36% year-on-year.

2024-05-07 16:54:23

In fact, as the largest cement giant in China with complete industrial chain and national layout, the future development of Tianshan shares is also highly expected by the market. After the seasonal factors are gradually cleared, the company's cost reduction and cost control effect will be further transformed into profit momentum, combined with the performance commitment compensation landing, the company may usher in market value revaluation. With the acceleration of the company's internal optimization of quality and efficiency and the transformation of digital intelligence, the release of profit expectations driven by overseas layout and aggregate business, the growth space of Tianshan shares is worth looking forward to by the market.

2024-04-30 11:04:11

The announcement said that in the first quarter of 2024, due to the downturn of the real estate market, the shortage of project funds and frequent extreme weather, the demand for cement was less than that of the same period last year, and the sales of cement products (cement + clinker) decreased by 14% compared with last year.

2024-04-30 10:48:04

Looking forward to the second quarter, with the gradual stabilization of real estate and the accelerated issuance of special bonds, demand is expected to continue to release, but we should also be alert to the adverse factors such as insufficient funds, the arrival of rainy season and busy farming season, the amount of project start-up may be variable, the overall demand may still be less than the same period, and the space for cement price to rise under high inventory pressure. It is expected that the profit level may be at a low level in recent years.

2024-04-12 16:16:19

Yang Shuiping pointed out that energy conservation and carbon reduction are not contradictory to the benefits of enterprises, but can promote each other and develop together. Cement industry can start from two aspects to ensure enterprise efficiency in the process of promoting carbon reduction.

2024-04-07 10:40:53

Zheng Jianhui expects cement demand to decline by at least 3% in 2024.

2024-04-03 15:12:49

On March 29, the "2024 13th China Cement Industry Summit Main Forum and TOP100 Award Ceremony" was held grandly.

2024-03-29 18:00:30

The company continues to streamline the organization and optimize personnel, establish and improve the flexible salary system, and constantly reduce costs.

2024-03-26 09:26:35

Enterprises with strong competitiveness and rapid response to the external environment can win the future.

2024-03-19 15:10:10

On March 12, Gansu Cement Association organized a symposium on the work of cement industry in Lanzhou.

2024-03-19 09:46:01

Cement demand in 2024 is expected to continue the trend of the previous two years and continue to decrease. The downstream of cement is mainly divided into three parts: infrastructure, real estate and new rural construction. It is expected that the demand for infrastructure and rural market will remain stable. The key is whether the growth rate of real estate investment can stabilize and rebound, thus supporting the demand for cement.

2024-03-18 13:43:28

Although the company suffered losses in the context of the sharp decline in the operating performance of the whole industry, the operating cash flow in the first three quarters was basically flat compared with the previous year, maintaining financial stability and ensuring the potential for development.

2024-02-05 09:23:30

For the cement market in 2024, Tapai Group said that from the relevant data, the inflection point of cement demand has been downward, the demand for cement in 2024 mainly depends on the pace of recovery of real estate, and the competition in the regional cement market also depends on the off-peak production of cement industry in various regions this year.

2024-01-24 09:50:06

Can the supply and demand of cement industry improve in 2024? Can prices be boosted? How will enterprises break the situation?

2024-01-23 09:30:22

The survival of the fittest and the elimination of uncompetitive production capacity by market competition.

2024-01-16 14:24:36

The price of cement in Chongqing has dropped; the cement industry will be in a difficult period in the next ten years; "rigid capacity reduction" is the feasible solution to resolve overcapacity.

2024-01-12 14:45:33

Recently, the cement network APP video number carried out the online live broadcast of "Sharing Hui Building Materials Observation", and Li Kunming, an analyst of China Cement Network Cement Big Data Research Institute, looked forward to the cement industry in 2024.

2024-01-12 12:10:02

In this difficult period, how can the building materials industry find a turning point?

2024-01-03 17:44:39

The number of days of off-peak kiln shutdown is increasing rapidly year by year, but the effect of off-peak production is weakening year by year. Especially this year, with the further sharpening of the contradiction between supply and demand, the impact of off-peak kiln shutdown on the cement market has been greatly weakened.

2024-01-02 09:06:26

2023年,受房地产持续调整等影响,水泥行业发展景气度继续下降。一季度下游复工情况尚佳,整体需求好于同期;二、三季度“旺季不旺、淡季更淡”,需求减弱明显,加之市场竞争激烈,水泥价格持续走低;四季度需求弱势恢复,水泥价格小幅上涨。总体来看,2023年水泥产量创下近13年新低,尽管煤价重心有所下移,但水泥价格降幅较深,行业利润大幅萎缩。展望2024年,我们认为地产对水泥需求拖累减弱,水泥产量或将小幅下降,产能过剩压力下水泥价格中枢下移,行业效益难言乐观。

2023-12-22 17:20:42

2023年,下游终端市场仍然面临资金偏紧的局面,多数区域施工增量不及预期,加之上游企业竞争加剧,成本端支撑乏力,混凝土行业易跌难涨,效益进一步走弱……

2023-12-21 09:21:01

煤炭是水泥生产过程中的主要燃料,其成本占到水泥熟料成本的50%~55%,煤价的波动对水泥成本有着直接的影响,特别是在需求走低的情况下,成本的控制尤为重要。

2023-12-15 09:16:08

水泥市场强弱分化凸显;李坤明:2025水泥需求或将打破平台期;海螺水泥矿山资源盘点与骨料业务发展分析;投资5亿!南通海螺年产240万方混凝土项目一期顺利通过竣工验收!

2023-12-01 16:16:05

对于未来发展,多家水泥企业明确表示,商混仍是布局的重点之一。

2023-12-01 09:16:40

水泥企业聚焦数字化、智能化转型,练好内功、提升自身综合竞争力的同时,亦对外部市场环境颇为关注。

2023-12-01 09:16:04

河南水泥价格领涨;市场低迷谁之“祸”;塔牌集团投资2900万元建设储能项目;兰州甘草环保建材有限责任公司将进行重整。中国水泥网将于11月29日在杭州举办第五届中国水泥智能化高峰论坛,参观海康威视助力水泥企业数字化转型。

2023-11-20 15:22:21

当前水泥行业利润下滑严重、市场态势低迷的情形,很大程度上是诸多市场参与者共同酿成的。

2023-11-19 11:38:25

河南、海南水泥价格迎涨,内蒙古部分水泥企业停产。2023年前三季度,全国水泥产量同比下降4.32%,行业效益大幅萎缩。水泥行业产能过剩问题并非只因为“产能过剩”,大企业之间的恶性竞争才是更大原因。水泥企业通过卖股权、撤销熟料项目等方式寻求“自救”。河北发布2023-2024年水泥行业错峰安排。

2023-11-16 13:20:42

前三季度,全国水泥产量14.95亿吨,全口径同比下降4.32%,产量创下近13年来新低。效益方面,受水泥价格跌幅较深和需求下滑影响,行业效益大幅萎缩,水泥企业亏损面超一半。

2023-11-10 16:40:41

前三季度全国累计水泥产量创近13年以来同期最低,预计行业利润同比降幅仍达60%左右,企业亏损面扩大。

2023-11-08 09:20:21

作为充分竞争的行业,经营者都看重市场份额,公司倡导以“价本利”经营理念,保持整个行业合理的利润水平,使得员工能共享企业发展成果,企业的盈利能更好回报股东和回馈社会,投入升级改造,实现行业的可持续发展、高质量发展。

2023-11-07 16:54:57

新能源在减排方面主要有两个方面可以发力。第一:清洁电力。通过新能源发电,来满足水泥生产过程中用电,间接减排;第二:替代燃料。通过使用新能源燃料替代燃煤,直接减排。从目前技术和商业成熟度看,光伏产业是水泥行业在新能源领域中布局的最重要板块;其次,氢能、生物质能行业方兴未艾,水泥企业亦有涉及,但占比整体较低。

2023-11-03 14:03:46

Since the 21st, some major manufacturers in Zhanjiang, Maoming, Yangjiang and Yunfu in western Guangdong have again notified an increase in cement prices by 30 yuan/ton, and the specific implementation remains to be observed.