2022年前三季度水泥市场运行分析与后市展望

2022-10-28 14:50:41

2022年前三季度,水泥工业遇到多重超预期因素冲击,行业发展难度加大。一季度气温较低,需求整体较弱,二季度疫情强势反弹,需求几近停滞状态,三季度极端高温天气影响,下游需求恢复偏慢。前三季度,水泥价格涨少跌多,整体下行;水泥产量创下近年新低,同时由于煤价相对高位,行业利润大幅萎缩。展望2022年四季度,我们认为水泥行业供需关系相较于三季度会有一定程度好转,水泥价格将会有所反弹,但需求弱恢复下价格上涨空间有限。全年来看,水泥需求将面临较大下行压力,行业效益难言乐观。

2022年前三季度,水泥工业遇到多重超预期因素冲击,行业发展难度加大。一季度气温较低,需求整体较弱,二季度疫情强势反弹,需求几近停滞状态,三季度极端高温天气影响,下游需求恢复偏慢。前三季度,水泥价格涨少跌多,整体下行;水泥产量创下近年新低,同时由于煤价相对高位,行业利润大幅萎缩。展望2022年四季度,我们认为水泥行业供需关系相较于三季度会有一定程度好转,水泥价格将会有所反弹,但需求弱恢复下价格上涨空间有限。全年来看,水泥需求将面临较大下行压力,行业效益难言乐观。


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In the first half of the year, China's cement output fell by 10% year-on-year, the price of P.O42.5 bulk cement fell by 18% year-on-year, both volume and price fell, and the whole industry lost money in the first half of the year, which was rare in history. Similar to the decline in domestic cement demand, cement demand in neighboring South Korea has also fallen sharply this year, but the price performance has been unusually strong. Facing the same decline in demand and overcapacity, why are the prices of the two countries different?

2024-09-18 11:46:02

Looking forward to the second half of 2024, we believe that the demand for cement will improve compared with the first half of the year, and the price will continue to rebound. However, under the constraints of weak demand and serious overcapacity, the repair of cement price is limited. Throughout the year, cement demand will face

2024-08-01 09:19:52

Demand is declining, supply is increasing, and the price of sand and gravel industry is adjusted in an all-round way.

2024-07-31 15:56:20

In the past two decades, the demand change of China's cement industry has gone through three development stages: high-speed development period (2004-2012), high-level platform period (2013-2021), and downward demand period (from 2022 to now).

2024-07-23 16:45:00

"Reasonable efficiency is the basis and prerequisite for the high-quality development of the industry, and it is necessary to promote the return of industry value." So, what is the reasonable profit of the cement industry?

2024-06-28 09:36:54

The serious decline in demand, coupled with the fierce market competition, the low opening and low going of cement prices, continued to bottom out, and the loss of the industry expanded. The loss of the industry in the first quarter exceeded that of 2016, and the pressure of enterprise operation was unprecedented.

2024-05-31 14:35:19

In Zhou Shanjian's view, as a resource-intensive product, cement's consumption of natural resources and energy should be transformed into equivalent economic and social values to maximize the value of resource utilization.

2024-05-17 13:55:14

At the beginning of April, the National Cement Price Index (CEMPI) was 104.8 points, closing at 108.1 points at the end of the month, up 2.51% annually and down 20.36% year-on-year.

2024-05-07 16:54:23

In fact, as the largest cement giant in China with complete industrial chain and national layout, the future development of Tianshan shares is also highly expected by the market. After the seasonal factors are gradually cleared, the company's cost reduction and cost control effect will be further transformed into profit momentum, combined with the performance commitment compensation landing, the company may usher in market value revaluation. With the acceleration of the company's internal optimization of quality and efficiency and the transformation of digital intelligence, the release of profit expectations driven by overseas layout and aggregate business, the growth space of Tianshan shares is worth looking forward to by the market.

2024-04-30 11:04:11

The announcement said that in the first quarter of 2024, due to the downturn of the real estate market, the shortage of project funds and frequent extreme weather, the demand for cement was less than that of the same period last year, and the sales of cement products (cement + clinker) decreased by 14% compared with last year.

2024-04-30 10:48:04

Looking forward to the second quarter, with the gradual stabilization of real estate and the accelerated issuance of special bonds, demand is expected to continue to release, but we should also be alert to the adverse factors such as insufficient funds, the arrival of rainy season and busy farming season, the amount of project start-up may be variable, the overall demand may still be less than the same period, and the space for cement price to rise under high inventory pressure. It is expected that the profit level may be at a low level in recent years.

2024-04-12 16:16:19

Yang Shuiping pointed out that energy conservation and carbon reduction are not contradictory to the benefits of enterprises, but can promote each other and develop together. Cement industry can start from two aspects to ensure enterprise efficiency in the process of promoting carbon reduction.

2024-04-07 10:40:53

Zheng Jianhui expects cement demand to decline by at least 3% in 2024.

2024-04-03 15:12:49

On March 29, the "2024 13th China Cement Industry Summit Main Forum and TOP100 Award Ceremony" was held grandly.

2024-03-29 18:00:30

The company continues to streamline the organization and optimize personnel, establish and improve the flexible salary system, and constantly reduce costs.

2024-03-26 09:26:35

Enterprises with strong competitiveness and rapid response to the external environment can win the future.

2024-03-19 15:10:10

On March 12, Gansu Cement Association organized a symposium on the work of cement industry in Lanzhou.

2024-03-19 09:46:01

Cement demand in 2024 is expected to continue the trend of the previous two years and continue to decrease. The downstream of cement is mainly divided into three parts: infrastructure, real estate and new rural construction. It is expected that the demand for infrastructure and rural market will remain stable. The key is whether the growth rate of real estate investment can stabilize and rebound, thus supporting the demand for cement.

2024-03-18 13:43:28

Although the company suffered losses in the context of the sharp decline in the operating performance of the whole industry, the operating cash flow in the first three quarters was basically flat compared with the previous year, maintaining financial stability and ensuring the potential for development.

2024-02-05 09:23:30

For the cement market in 2024, Tapai Group said that from the relevant data, the inflection point of cement demand has been downward, the demand for cement in 2024 mainly depends on the pace of recovery of real estate, and the competition in the regional cement market also depends on the off-peak production of cement industry in various regions this year.

2024-01-24 09:50:06

Can the supply and demand of cement industry improve in 2024? Can prices be boosted? How will enterprises break the situation?

2024-01-23 09:30:22

The survival of the fittest and the elimination of uncompetitive production capacity by market competition.

2024-01-16 14:24:36

The price of cement in Chongqing has dropped; the cement industry will be in a difficult period in the next ten years; "rigid capacity reduction" is the feasible solution to resolve overcapacity.

2024-01-12 14:45:33

Recently, the cement network APP video number carried out the online live broadcast of "Sharing Hui Building Materials Observation", and Li Kunming, an analyst of China Cement Network Cement Big Data Research Institute, looked forward to the cement industry in 2024.

2024-01-12 12:10:02

In this difficult period, how can the building materials industry find a turning point?

2024-01-03 17:44:39

The number of days of off-peak kiln shutdown is increasing rapidly year by year, but the effect of off-peak production is weakening year by year. Especially this year, with the further sharpening of the contradiction between supply and demand, the impact of off-peak kiln shutdown on the cement market has been greatly weakened.

2024-01-02 09:06:26

2023年,受房地产持续调整等影响,水泥行业发展景气度继续下降。一季度下游复工情况尚佳,整体需求好于同期;二、三季度“旺季不旺、淡季更淡”,需求减弱明显,加之市场竞争激烈,水泥价格持续走低;四季度需求弱势恢复,水泥价格小幅上涨。总体来看,2023年水泥产量创下近13年新低,尽管煤价重心有所下移,但水泥价格降幅较深,行业利润大幅萎缩。展望2024年,我们认为地产对水泥需求拖累减弱,水泥产量或将小幅下降,产能过剩压力下水泥价格中枢下移,行业效益难言乐观。

2023-12-22 17:20:42

2023年,下游终端市场仍然面临资金偏紧的局面,多数区域施工增量不及预期,加之上游企业竞争加剧,成本端支撑乏力,混凝土行业易跌难涨,效益进一步走弱……

2023-12-21 09:21:01

煤炭是水泥生产过程中的主要燃料,其成本占到水泥熟料成本的50%~55%,煤价的波动对水泥成本有着直接的影响,特别是在需求走低的情况下,成本的控制尤为重要。

2023-12-15 09:16:08

水泥市场强弱分化凸显;李坤明:2025水泥需求或将打破平台期;海螺水泥矿山资源盘点与骨料业务发展分析;投资5亿!南通海螺年产240万方混凝土项目一期顺利通过竣工验收!

2023-12-01 16:16:05

对于未来发展,多家水泥企业明确表示,商混仍是布局的重点之一。

2023-12-01 09:16:40

水泥企业聚焦数字化、智能化转型,练好内功、提升自身综合竞争力的同时,亦对外部市场环境颇为关注。

2023-12-01 09:16:04

河南水泥价格领涨;市场低迷谁之“祸”;塔牌集团投资2900万元建设储能项目;兰州甘草环保建材有限责任公司将进行重整。中国水泥网将于11月29日在杭州举办第五届中国水泥智能化高峰论坛,参观海康威视助力水泥企业数字化转型。

2023-11-20 15:22:21

当前水泥行业利润下滑严重、市场态势低迷的情形,很大程度上是诸多市场参与者共同酿成的。

2023-11-19 11:38:25

河南、海南水泥价格迎涨,内蒙古部分水泥企业停产。2023年前三季度,全国水泥产量同比下降4.32%,行业效益大幅萎缩。水泥行业产能过剩问题并非只因为“产能过剩”,大企业之间的恶性竞争才是更大原因。水泥企业通过卖股权、撤销熟料项目等方式寻求“自救”。河北发布2023-2024年水泥行业错峰安排。

2023-11-16 13:20:42

前三季度,全国水泥产量14.95亿吨,全口径同比下降4.32%,产量创下近13年来新低。效益方面,受水泥价格跌幅较深和需求下滑影响,行业效益大幅萎缩,水泥企业亏损面超一半。

2023-11-10 16:40:41

前三季度全国累计水泥产量创近13年以来同期最低,预计行业利润同比降幅仍达60%左右,企业亏损面扩大。

2023-11-08 09:20:21

作为充分竞争的行业,经营者都看重市场份额,公司倡导以“价本利”经营理念,保持整个行业合理的利润水平,使得员工能共享企业发展成果,企业的盈利能更好回报股东和回馈社会,投入升级改造,实现行业的可持续发展、高质量发展。

2023-11-07 16:54:57

新能源在减排方面主要有两个方面可以发力。第一:清洁电力。通过新能源发电,来满足水泥生产过程中用电,间接减排;第二:替代燃料。通过使用新能源燃料替代燃煤,直接减排。从目前技术和商业成熟度看,光伏产业是水泥行业在新能源领域中布局的最重要板块;其次,氢能、生物质能行业方兴未艾,水泥企业亦有涉及,但占比整体较低。

2023-11-03 14:03:46

公司深耕和聚焦主营业务,围绕“高端化、智能化、绿色化”转型,紧抓“双碳、水泥+、国际化”三大翘尾因素,持续做优做强产业链,因地制宜推进一体化经营,努力通过产业链协同发展增收增利,回报股东。

2023-11-02 10:12:19

谈及未来水泥市场情况,一些当地水泥企业人士对未来三年西藏的水泥需求都持谨慎乐观态度。

2023-10-31 13:04:33

纵观行业态势,水泥企业应当如何应对当前局面呢?

2023-10-31 09:13:23

据中国水泥网行情数据中心消息,东北地区随着气温下降,市场逐渐进入传统淡季,水泥需求有所减少。

2023-10-27 17:49:25

塔牌集团前三季度业绩大幅增长,主要原因是公司积极应对市场挑战,严格成本管控,优化产能和市场布局。公司在证券投资方面保持谨慎态度,将继续保持压减规模并加强风险管理。1-9月水泥销量增长主要来自基建和农村市场。公司对房地产复苏持谨慎态度,预计需求将继续下降。光伏发电项目进展顺利,规划产能将大幅增长。骨料项目为消化自有石灰石废石资源,贡献较小。发货量有所提升,水泥价格预计将企稳回升。公司关注中央财政增发国债支持灾后恢复重建,对水泥需求形成拉动作用。公司未来不排除通过收购兼并做大做强水泥主业。员工人数减少,产能利用率保持较高水平。

2023-10-27 09:26:23

湖南、河南、江苏水泥价格上调;大佬刘燕:全面打价格战并不可取,因区施策更宜;塔牌、宁夏、天山、上峰发布三季度业绩报

2023-10-26 13:44:27

湖北、上海推涨;万亿国债来袭,水泥股冲高;中国建材集团调整中国建材总院领导班子

2023-10-25 13:22:49

2023年前三季度,受房地产持续调整等影响,水泥需求疲软,行业低迷运行。一季度下游复工情况尚佳,整体需求好于同期,二、三季度“旺季不旺、淡季更淡”,需求减弱明显,加之市场竞争激烈,水泥价格持续走低。前三季度水泥产量创下近13年来新低,尽管煤价重心有所下移,但水泥行业利润仍出现大幅萎缩。展望四季度,我们认为水泥行业需求可能不及同期,由于需求弱势,加之企业库位较高,价格上涨阻力重重,均价或仍将下降。全年来看,水泥需求将面临较大下行压力,行业效益降幅仍大。

2023-10-24 17:06:00

行情小幅探涨;置换比例1:1,海螺水泥将迁建一条4500t/d熟料生产线;水泥冷暖大佬谈丨章小华:今后五年,行业将从错峰“去产量”转向“去产能”

2023-10-23 14:30:12

塔牌集团在接受机构调研时表示:“接下来的四季度为南方地区的传统水泥销售旺季,我们预判水泥销售形势将有所改善。”

2023-10-12 09:56:28

总的来看,市场涨价氛围浓厚。至于此次价格上涨原因,上述市场人士均表示,进入传统旺季,尽管下游需求仍显疲软,但受原燃材料价格上涨影响,叠加错峰生产,全国水泥价格保持上行。

2023-10-10 09:17:16

In order to survive and develop in the fierce market competition, cement enterprises must abandon the illusion of relying on others to "give" opportunities, and win the recognition and respect of the market through self-innovation and promotion.