2023年共16条水泥熟料线点火!明年还有27条待投产

2023-12-27 09:14:44

今年产能投放进度远远不及计划(进度占比43%),这或与今年以来水泥行业持续不景气、企业面临较大的经营压力,从而导致部分产线停建或投产延期有关。

据中国水泥网水泥大数据研究院追踪,2023年截至当前全国共投产水泥熟料生产线16条(其中一条为调试阶段),合计实际熟料产能2316万吨,与去年同期相比下降22.8%,新投产能中超74%为减量置换项目。

分地区看,投产产能41.5%位于中南地区、32.1%位于华东地区、15%位于西南地区,东北和西北均在6%左右,华北没有新投产能。

分省份看,湖南、山东、贵州、广西和安徽均有2条新投熟料产线,产能分别为279万吨、279万吨、248万吨、325.5万吨和248万吨,产能投放相对较高。

表:2023年新投产熟料线一览

此外,据当地媒体报道,内蒙古赤峰山水远航水泥有限公司退城入园4500t/d熟料项目原计划今年10月建成试车;海螺集团广东清新水泥有限公司二期5000t/d熟料项目原计划11月28日点火投产...

今年产能投放进度远远不及计划(进度占比43%),这或与今年以来水泥行业持续不景气、企业面临较大的经营压力,从而导致部分产线停建或投产延期有关。

2024年计划有27条、产能超4000万吨熟料线投产。鉴于2024年行业压力依然较大,预计新投产能释放进度仍将不及预期。

在当前形势下,为什么仍有企业投资建设新线?

某水泥企业对中国水泥网表示,今年以来,真正投资建新生产线的企业并不多,大多是前两年的项目或建成投产,或有新的进展。

2022年以前的水泥市场,区域内竞合关系都相对较好,良好的市场环境传递出一个信息,未来水泥行业还是有利润空间的,再加上此前水泥行业上千亿的利润现实,让不少企业对于投资建新线一事趋之若鹜。

这两年市场需求下滑幅度之大完全超出了企业预期,且并非是区域性的下滑,而是全国市场都受到严重的影响,波及所有水泥企业,全国市场遭受挤压,企业利润也跟着大幅下滑。如此急转直下的行业态势,打了所有人一个措手不及。

某业内人士表示新生产线在环保、能耗、资源利用等方面无疑优于老旧生产线,控制得力在生产成本上也不逊于老旧生产线,而水泥行业产能过剩问题一直都很严重,新线投产无疑会加剧供需矛盾。在市场行情日益严峻的态势下,新一轮的竞争已经不可避免。

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Correlation

In October, with the gradual decline of the national temperature, the northern project came to an end, and there was a small-scale rush to work in some areas, while the southern construction activities increased, the demand warmed up, and the shipment volume increased slightly. On the supply side, a number of sand and gravel aggregate projects have been successfully put into operation, production capacity has been released rapidly, sand and gravel prices have stopped falling slightly, and have entered a narrow range of volatility.

2024-11-05 11:42:36

Recently, the domestic temperature has dropped, local demand has dropped compared with the previous period, and the price of concrete market is mainly in a narrow range. From October 24 to October 30, the national concrete price index closed at 112.12 points, down 0.02% annually and 10.33% year-on-year.

2024-11-01 01:06:33

Recently, the construction in the south is relatively active, the local market demand is warming up, coupled with the increasing pressure on the cost side, the market price trend is stable and small. From October 17 to October 23, the national concrete price index closed at 112.14 points, down 0.02% annually and 10.65% year-on-year.

2024-10-25 17:29:24

With the improvement of weather conditions, the domestic market demand has improved as a whole in the near future, but it is still difficult to reach the peak season level in previous years. Concrete enterprises mainly ship at stable prices, and there are still some downward adjustments. From October 10 to October 16, the national concrete price index closed at 112.16 points, down 0.59% annually and 10.64% year-on-year.

2024-10-18 17:28:46

After the National Day, the domestic concrete market demand rebounded slightly, but the total amount is still relatively weak, concrete enterprises are mainly shipping at stable prices, and have not yet followed the rise of raw materials. From October 3 to October 9, the national concrete price index closed at 112.82 points, in line with the National Day holiday, with a year-on-year decline of 10.21%.

2024-10-12 17:25:54

Recently, the domestic market demand in some areas has improved slightly compared with the previous period, but the overall situation is still weaker than same period in history, and the price of concrete remains stable and weak. From September 19 to September 25, the national concrete price index closed at 112.82 points, down 0.10% annually and 10.45% year-on-year.

2024-09-27 17:57:56

Recently, the local weather conditions in China are not good, the recovery of market demand is insufficient, the price of concrete is mainly stable, and the local pressure is falling. From September 12 to September 18, the national concrete price index closed at 112.93 points, down 0.21% annually and 10.83% year-on-year.

2024-09-20 17:55:34

Recently, the price of raw materials has shown an upward trend again, but due to the lack of new orders in the concrete market and the fierce competition among enterprises, the focus of transactions continues to decline steadily. From August 29 to September 4, the national concrete price index closed at 113.17 points, down 0.45% annually and 11.09% year-on-year.

2024-09-06 17:22:16

Most regions in China are affected by capital factors, lack of construction increment downstream, no improvement in concrete market demand, and downward pressure on local quotations. From August 22 to August 28, the national concrete price index closed at 113.68 points, down 0.42% annually and 11.12% year-on-year.

2024-08-30 17:31:27

Domestic construction conditions have not improved significantly, coupled with the small number of new key projects, the market demand is still relatively low, and the price of concrete has fallen more or risen less. From August 8 to August 14, the national concrete price index closed at 114.48 points, down 0.33% annually and 11.69% year-on-year.

2024-08-17 10:46:53

Demand is declining, supply is increasing, and the price of sand and gravel industry is adjusted in an all-round way.

2024-07-31 15:56:20

Rainfall continued in many parts of the country, local typhoons invaded, downstream construction was slow, and concrete prices fell steadily. From July 18th to July 24th, the national concrete price index closed at 116.05 points, down 0.58%.

2024-07-26 20:17:51

Some regions in China are affected by high temperature and rain weather, coupled with insufficient new projects, the price of concrete is weakening. From July 11th to July 17th, the national concrete price index closed at 116.73 points, down 0.47% from the previous month.

2024-07-19 17:35:12

Rainwater in the south has decreased recently, but the growth rate of downstream construction demand is limited, and the price of concrete is mainly stable. From June 27th to July 3rd, the national concrete price index closed at 117.92 points, and the ring ratio remained stable.

2024-07-05 17:34:54

Many places in China reported that the rain weather increased, the market demand was weak, and the price of concrete was weak. From June 13th to June 19th, the national concrete price index closed at 118.15 points, down 0.20% from the previous month.

2024-06-21 17:53:57

After the festival, the market demand in most regions tends to be weak, and the focus of concrete transactions is mainly stable. As of June 12, the national concrete price index closed at 118.39 points, down 0.03% annually and 12.69% year-on-year.

2024-06-14 17:35:49

Recently, domestic demand is still relatively flat, the cost pressure of mixing stations is increasing, and the Northeast continues to rise. As of June 7, the national concrete price index closed at 118.42 points, down 0.11% annually and 13.07% year-on-year.

2024-06-07 00:41:49

Recently, there is still too much rain in some regions of China, and the demand for concrete market is running at a low level, but the overall price decline has narrowed due to the impact of cost support. From May 27 to May 31, the national concrete price index closed at 118.55 points, down 0.31% annually and 13.61% year-on-year.

2024-05-31 17:14:10

According to the incomplete statistics of China Cement Network, there are about 24 companies with aggregate business in A-share motherboard and Hong Kong listed companies, of which 16 listed companies disclose specific aggregate income..

2024-05-28 16:59:57

Taiwan's cement industry has experienced a complete life cycle from germination, growth, prosperity to recession. Study Taiwan cement industry from the development since demand drops period, have draw lessons from a meaning very much to market of current mainland cement.

2024-05-28 11:53:23

Generally speaking, the regional trend shows the characteristics of "rising in the north and falling in the south", and the national market shocks downward.

2024-05-13 11:37:00

At the beginning of April, the National Cement Price Index (CEMPI) was 104.8 points, closing at 108.1 points at the end of the month, up 2.51% annually and down 20.36% year-on-year.

2024-05-07 16:54:23

The downstream construction in the northern region is still general, the demand recovery is less than expected, and the cement price is weak and stable; the shipment in some parts of the southern region has improved, coupled with the long-term low price operation, the enterprise has a strong willingness to raise prices. Generally speaking, the recovery of demand is limited, but driven by the general rise in the Yangtze River Delta region, the national cement price has stopped falling and turned to rise.

2024-04-15 15:30:35

Enterprises with strong competitiveness and rapid response to the external environment can win the future.

2024-03-19 15:10:10

By the end of February, the National Gravel Price Index (CSPI) closed at 83.51 points, down 0.98% annually and 2.60% year-on-year. The National Machine-made Sand Price Index (MSPI) closed at 87.33 points, down 1.14% annually and 5.89% year-on-year.

2024-03-06 09:51:50

With the gradual improvement of the weather and the increase of downstream construction, it is expected that the cement price will fluctuate slightly stronger this week (3.4-3.8).

2024-03-04 09:23:59

In March, as the temperature in the southern region warms up, demand is expected to take the lead in recovering, but the northern region is still lagging behind, coupled with the convening of the "two sessions" and the time needed for project deployment and capital landing, the market is expected to be under great pressure in the first quarter of this year.

2024-02-22 09:09:46

Generally speaking, the national cement price continues to be weak.

2024-01-29 11:53:54

Cement price in East China decreased by 1.02%; national cement output in 2023; Western International Group invested US $1 billion to build a factory in Zimbabwe

2024-01-10 13:05:08

The national cement price index (CEMPI) was 113.53 points at the beginning of December and closed at 113.37 points at the end of the month, up 0.21% from the previous month and down 19.96% from the previous year.

2024-01-03 14:34:56

国内气温普遍回升,南方局部需求略有改善,但混凝土价格易跌难涨,实际成交继续稳中有降。12月25日至12月29日,全国混凝土价格指数报收124.79点,环比下跌0.26%,同比跌幅为11.58%……

2023-12-29 17:22:21

今年产能投放进度远远不及计划(进度占比43%),这或与今年以来水泥行业持续不景气、企业面临较大的经营压力,从而导致部分产线停建或投产延期有关。

2023-12-27 09:14:44

多地施工基本结束,需求接近停滞,预计下周(12.25-12.29)水泥价格仍将震荡偏弱运行。

2023-12-24 13:11:10

2023年,受房地产持续调整等影响,水泥行业发展景气度继续下降。一季度下游复工情况尚佳,整体需求好于同期;二、三季度“旺季不旺、淡季更淡”,需求减弱明显,加之市场竞争激烈,水泥价格持续走低;四季度需求弱势恢复,水泥价格小幅上涨。总体来看,2023年水泥产量创下近13年新低,尽管煤价重心有所下移,但水泥价格降幅较深,行业利润大幅萎缩。展望2024年,我们认为地产对水泥需求拖累减弱,水泥产量或将小幅下降,产能过剩压力下水泥价格中枢下移,行业效益难言乐观。

2023-12-22 17:20:42

国内受强寒潮天气影响,降温幅度较大,多数区域施工活动减弱,混凝土价格稳中有降。12月18日至12月22日,全国混凝土价格指数报收125.11点,环比下跌0.12%,同比跌幅为11.38%……

2023-12-22 15:53:42

2023年,下游终端市场仍然面临资金偏紧的局面,多数区域施工增量不及预期,加之上游企业竞争加剧,成本端支撑乏力,混凝土行业易跌难涨,效益进一步走弱……

2023-12-21 09:21:01

12月8日,全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)报收113.7点,环比上涨0.15%,同比下跌23.72%。

2023-12-08 18:25:52

11月初全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为109.69点,月末报收113.13点,环比上涨3.16%,同比下跌25.74%。

2023-12-01 17:06:06

总的来看,仅有少数地区仍在推涨,全国水泥价格行情止涨转跌。

2023-11-27 13:33:51

多地气温继续下降,局部地区雨雪天气明显,市场需求持续走弱,预计下周水泥价格弱稳运行。

2023-11-19 11:45:24

10月份,国内施工条件尚可,加之基建资金到位率提升,局部施工有所加快,但总体需求仍不及往年同期水平,混凝土价格涨跌幅度较小。截至10月底,全国混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)报收125.04点,较9月底下跌0.49%,与去年同期相比,价格跌幅为12.02%……

2023-11-01 16:35:31

十月中下旬,多地需求继续恢复,但整体仍较疲弱,企业出货量低迷,同时煤炭价格高位,水泥成本压力增大,部分地区继续推涨水泥价格。总的来看,由于下游需求恢复有限,水泥价格小幅探涨。

2023-10-23 09:54:47

[水泥大数据研究院]水泥产业链指数运行周报(2023.10.20)

2023-10-20 17:17:49

本周五,全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)报收106.18点,环比上涨0.15%,同比下跌30.71%……

2023-10-13 18:38:53

三季度,全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)季度均值从130.22下降至109.65,环比下降15.80%。

2023-10-11 09:30:38

9月初全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为108.06点,月末报收106.59点,环比下跌2.23%,同比下跌29.9%。

2023-10-09 17:43:25

Recently, due to the persistent cost pressure in the south, the price of concrete has risen slightly with the raw materials, but the growth of market demand is limited, and the overall quotation is still stable. From October 31 to November 6, the national concrete price index closed at 112.47 points, up 0.31% annually and down 10.11% year-on-year.