According to monitoring, the market monitoring system of Zhuhai's important means of production in December showed that commodity prices were mainly rising as a whole. Among the five major categories of commodities monitored, prices were "3 up and 2 down". The specific analysis is as follows:
First, the market price of refined oil fell
collectively. This month, the average wholesale price of diesel was 8756 yuan/ton, down 4.8% from the previous month, and the average wholesale price of gasoline was 8690 yuan/ton, down 8.8% from the previous month. Among them, the average wholesale price of gasoline 92 # was 8540 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month price drop of 8.9%; the average wholesale price of gasoline 95 # was 8840 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month price drop of 8.6%; the average retail prices of diesel and gasoline were 7.56 yuan/liter and 8.23 yuan/liter, with a month-on-month price drop of 6.4% and 6.2% respectively; Among them, the average retail prices of 92 # and 95 # gasoline were 7.9 yuan/liter and 8.56 yuan/liter, down 6.2% and 6.1% respectively.
Reason analysis: In December, as the economy continued to face multiple challenges and intensified market concerns about demand, it continued to limit the increase, which contributed to the decline of international oil prices. In addition, the global crude oil supply was still fragile, the inventory of refined oil increased sharply, the prospect of oil demand was worrying, and there were many uncertainties. The market sentiment has become increasingly tense, the demand for crude oil has been suppressed again, the situation of epidemic prevention and control is still grim, which seriously restricts the economic operation, and the fuel supply may still be excessive. Recently, the crude oil price has been weak, and the negative factors have obviously depressed the market, which makes the market look down on the demand prospects. In terms of domestic oil price, affected by this, the crude oil change rate of domestic refined oil price adjustment is also developing towards negative value, the consumption increment is not large, the demand for oil is slow, the terminal oil demand maintains a downward trend, the price continues to show a downward trend, and the domestic refined oil market price is also mainly declining. It is expected that the price of domestic refined oil will be more likely to be adjusted in January.
Two, steel prices rose
slightly this month, the average price of steel was 3125.25 yuan/ton, a slight increase of 0.3%. Among them, the price of bar and wire rod was 3069.5 yuan/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.3% compared with the previous month; the price of plate was 3181 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1% compared with the previous month.
Reason analysis: In December, the steel market of the whole city was mainly stable with a slightly rising trend. In the near future, the strong expectation of the steel market will gradually turn for the better under the influence of the weak reality. With the introduction of favorable macro policies, the turning point of steel inventory will appear. Under the background of strong demand, it will become the wind vane of the rise and fall of steel prices. The market transaction performance is still acceptable. At present, the steel market demand is increasing, the supply and demand are also clear, the price has a certain upward space, and continues to show a temporary steady upward trend. It is expected that the steel market price will be adjusted slightly in January.
Three, rubber prices fell
slightly this week, the 16960 of natural rubber was yuan/ton, and the ring price fell slightly by 0.5%.
Reason analysis: the overall rubber market price in our city has risen slightly this month. At present, the demand has improved, and the tire industry has also improved greatly, which has a certain driving effect on rubber consumption. Rubber is still in the stage of rapid growth of supply, but the overall demand remains low, the demand is strong, and the downstream market sales performance has improved. In the context of demand-driven, the pressure on the supply side has always been released, the rubber center of gravity has steadily moved up, and the rubber price has an upward driving trend. Overall, it is expected that the rubber market in January will be in a balanced situation of supply and demand, and the price will maintain a slight upward trend of volatility.
Four, the price of glass rose
slightly this month, the price of glass was 103.4 yuan/heavy box, and the price rose slightly by 0.1%.
Reason analysis: In December, the glass market price in our city continued to rise steadily and slightly. Recently, the glass market rebounded and recovered with the support of favorable policies, and the glass inventory dropped sharply. The core of the rebound in this period lies in the reduction of supply and the improvement of demand. The market has a certain expectation of supply increment, the enthusiasm of downstream purchasing has increased, and the order volume has increased slightly. The fundamentals of supply and demand have improved, thus boosting market confidence, the trading atmosphere has warmed up compared with the previous period, the mentality of raising prices is strong, and there is room for prices to rise slightly. Glass demand in January is expected to have a certain supporting role, prices are expected to be supported, there is still a rebound upward momentum trend.
5. Fertilizer prices rose
slightly. The average price of fertilizer this month was 4036 yuan/ton, up 0.4% from the previous month. Among them, the price of nitrogenous fertilizer was 3,430 yuan/ton, the price of phosphate fertilizer was 3,830 yuan/ton, and the price of compound fertilizer was 4,430 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month price increase of 1.6%, 0.8% and 0.1% respectively; the price of potash fertilizer was 4,245 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month price decrease of 0.1%.
Reason analysis: In December, the market price of chemical fertilizer in our city continued to rise steadily and slightly. Upstream raw material products maintained a strong trend, and the support for fertilizer cost and mentality continued to increase. With the promotion of periodic advance receipts, the intention of major fertilizer enterprises to increase prices increased, the overall market trading atmosphere improved, the advance receipts for winter storage continued to advance, the enthusiasm of downstream distributors was general, and the market price still had room to rise, showing a temporary stable and slightly rising situation. It is expected that the price of fertilizer in January will be high and narrow, and the local atmosphere will be mainly wait-and-see.
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