江苏水泥市场:2022虽有压力,但整体趋势依旧向好

2022-01-19 13:23:58

对于2022年江苏水泥需求、市场行情又将如何表现呢?中国水泥网与多位业内人士进行了交流。

“2021年,受能耗双控等因素影响,江苏与其他部分省份一样,水泥市场行情可谓是跌宕起伏。”江苏一行业协会人士表示,不过全年水泥产量与2020年相差不大。

从中国水泥网跟踪的江苏水泥价格、水泥产量走势图来看,3-5月份,江苏水泥市场量价齐升;6、7月份水泥产量跟价格均走低;8月开始直到10月,水泥价格一路高涨,并在10月创下了江苏2021年水泥价格最高位。不过在9月份由于限电、限产,水泥产量严重下滑;11、12月虽然水泥价格下滑但依然处于高位,也可谓是产量、营收都不错。

水泥行业利润方面,不少当地水泥企业表示,2021年企业利润增幅亮眼。“2021年我们企业的水泥需求同比减少了3%,但由于价格高涨,水泥行业利润比2020年增加了20%还多。”苏州一水泥企业在与中国水泥网交流时透露。

对于2022年江苏水泥需求、市场行情又将如何表现呢?中国水泥网与多位业内人士进行了交流。在交流中得知,位于苏北、苏南市场的企业人士对2022年的预判稍有不同。

“从企业周边来看,在水泥需求方面2022年与2021年有望持平,但企业利润将不如2021年,不过整体而言持乐观态度。”苏南一水泥企业负责人表示。“我们当地及周边重大项目一直不少,有利地支撑着本地水泥需求。”另一苏州行业协会人士自信道。

由于国家在稳增长这快投入力度较大,基建可以带来比较大的市场需求支撑。对此位于苏北地区的多位水泥企业相关负责人称对江苏整体形势依然比较看好。不过与此同时也表达了一定的担忧:房地产行业态势下行的影响较大,而且下游搅拌站普遍面临着资金回款难度大的问题,还有就是江苏水运便利,外部冲击严重,进一步加大了市场下行的风险。在此境况下上述行业人士预计江苏全年市场需求会有5-10%的下滑。

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Correlation

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