生产受限!水泥价格涨100元!车辆扎堆拉货(附视频)

2021-08-12 09:14:01

受错峰、限电、原燃材料价格上涨、需求向好等因素带动,水泥再次迎来一大波涨价,主要以华东、西南市场为主。

受错峰、限电、原燃材料价格上涨、需求向好等因素带动,水泥再次迎来一大波涨价,主要以华东、西南市场为主。

首先来看华东市场,7月30日,山东省水泥行业协会发布《关于山东省水泥熟料企业开展2021年8月份夏季错峰生产的通知》。

实施时间:2021年8月11日0:00—8月30日24:00,时间20天。

实施对象:山东省水泥熟料企业的熟料生产线(含特种熟料生产线和建通窑、不含山东鲁北化工股份有限公司和山东汇泰再生资源有限公司的化工配套熟料生产线。)

今日(11日)起山东地区一些主要厂家熟料生产线陆续开始执行错峰停窑。受此带动,10-11日起山东地区主要厂家对全省开始尝试通知上调水泥价格20-30元/吨。据市场行情反馈来看,各厂对外通知涨幅基本以30元/吨为主,但目前实际落实幅度不一,价格能否全幅落实有待继续观察。

此外,紧邻山东省的江苏北部地区再次通知上调水泥价格。

据市场反馈,近期江苏北部地区天气晴好为主,市场需求有所恢复,加之一些地区疫情管控加严,运输受限,部分企业熟料库存紧张,且周边山东地区停窑。8月10日起江苏宿迁、徐州、连云港等地一些主要厂家再次通知上调水泥价格20-30元/吨。此前,7月底上述地区曾上调各品种水泥价格20元/吨。

整体来看,江苏北部地区水泥价格开始第二轮上调。

同处于华东地区的福建近期也迎来了下半年水泥价格首次上涨。

据市场反馈,受台风“卢碧”登陆影响,近期福建福州地区雨水天气居多,市场需求有所下滑,但反之台风天气影响船运量减少,福州部分中转库水泥库存偏低,且煤炭价格高位运行,水泥生产成本增加,企业涨价意愿较强。

8月9日福建福州、宁德等地一些厂家对部分低价水泥开始尝试通知上调水泥价格10-20元/吨,省内其余地区或有意跟进上调。

整体来看,6-7月福建地区水泥价格持续下调,目前价格已降至相对低位,但目前市场需求仍未完全恢复,本次价格推涨实际落实幅度仍待观察。

全国水泥价格指数CEMPI-华东水泥价格指数

说完了华东市场,来看西南,近期西南市场同样引人注目。下半年几乎与华东市场同步开启水泥价格上行通道,不同的是,西南地区更多是受限电及原料成本影响带动。

贵州方面,贵州地区限电影响加大,水泥企业陆续错峰停窑。同时原燃材料价格不断上涨,水泥生产成本上升。为提升盈利,4日-10日起省内大部分地区主要厂家陆续通知上调水泥价格30-60元/吨不等,落实情况有待后续跟进。目前贵州地区市场需求未起,水泥、熟料库存高位运行,大幅调涨落实难度较大。

云南方面,6日-10日起云南大理、丽江地区部分主要厂家陆续通知大幅上调水泥价格50元/吨。目前大理、丽江地区市场需求偏弱运行,部分企业库满停窑。此番调涨正在推进中,落实情况有待跟进。

四川方面,9日起四川广元、巴中地区主要厂家尝试性通知上调水泥价格20元/吨,对销甘肃陇南方向同步上调20元/吨。

而中南市场的广西部分地区自7月底以来已上调2次水泥价格,累计涨幅达100元/吨。具体来看:

据市场反馈,广西地区限电影响较大,窑磨生产受限,企业库存压力不大。同时煤炭等原燃材料价格上涨,水泥生产成本上升,厂家涨价意愿强烈。

为提升盈利,继7月底至8月初上调水泥价50元/吨后,11日-12日起南宁、崇左、玉林、贵港、北海、钦州、防城港等地区部分主要厂家继续通知大幅上调水泥价格50元/吨,执行待观察。


全国水泥价格指数CEMPI-西南水泥价格指数

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Correlation

With the support of special debt, the local capital situation has been improving and the downstream construction has been accelerated. In addition, the self-discipline awareness of enterprises has been strengthened, the intensity of peak staggering and production restriction has been strengthened, and the national cement prices continued to rise in October due to the favorable macro and real estate policies.

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In September, real estate investment continued to decline, infrastructure funds in place were insufficient, and some areas were greatly affected by typhoons and heavy rainfall, terminal demand was still relatively low, Jinjiu market expectations failed, but at the end of the month, affected by peak staggering and production reduction, the Yangtze River Delta region sharply pushed up cement and clinker prices, and the national cement prices rose. In October, on the supply side, it is expected that the supply side will be relatively stable, the terminal demand will continue to improve, and the overall cement price in October will show a strong trend of volatility.

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