[周评]华东:水泥需求全线下滑 多地下调水泥价格

2017-07-10 15:16:36

据中国水泥网行情数据中心消息,今年的梅雨季节,雨水特别多,水泥、熟料需求整体皆有下滑,加华东长三角地区水泥行情下行压力持续增大,市场需求未能改善,水泥价格整体也进入下行通道。

   据中国水泥网行情数据中心消息,今年的梅雨季节,雨水特别多,水泥、熟料需求整体皆有下滑,加华东长三角地区水泥行情下行压力持续增大,市场需求未能改善,水泥价格整体也进入下行通道。

图:华东水泥价格指数周K线图(2017年4月-2017年7月)

数据来源:中国水泥网行情数据中心

  江苏:近期因梅雨季节,水泥需求下滑。7月1日起,长三角皖江、苏南、浙北等地熟料价格再次下调20元/吨。随着周边水泥价格不断走低,7月1日起苏州、南通地区主要厂家也通知下调水泥价格10-20元/吨。六月,苏南无锡、常州等地水泥市场成交价格普遍已下滑15-20元/吨,少数大厂降幅相对较大,区域内42.5级散装水泥离岸价格部分已低至265-275元/吨。总体来看,上周江苏天气略有好转,水泥需求环比略有改善。停窑方面,目前仅三到四成窑线在停,限产效果一般,水泥、熟料库存维持在五到六成,压力不大。

  上海:因水泥需求下滑,加之近期周边外来水泥价格持续下滑等影响,7月1日起,上海主要地产厂家大幅修正挂牌报价,高标袋装水泥价格挂牌下调30元/吨,散装水泥价格挂牌下调40元/吨;低标水泥价格挂牌下调15-20元/吨左右。本次挂牌调整同时,其中高标散装水泥价格实际成交下调20元/吨左右。

  浙江:上周内浙江全省多地水泥价格普遍出现下跌。七月初,浙北熟料价格跟随沿江下调20元/吨,目前浙北熟料出厂价格基本在285-295元/吨左右。水泥价格方面,六月嘉兴价格走低10-15元/吨,七月初成交价格继续下调10-20元/吨。本周杭州、湖州地区水泥价格也下调走低15-20元/吨。至此,市场进入淡季以来,浙江沿海甬温台已下调两轮,其余地区基本明降一轮。

  安徽:沿江市场受雨水高温天气影响,需求下滑。六月底到七月初熟料价格继续下调20元/吨,沿江大厂出厂/离岸价降至270-280元/吨。周内沿江芜湖地区一些地产水泥开始下调袋装水泥价格10-15元/吨,主导企业价格暂稳,但下行压力增大。同时,环巢湖地区水泥、熟料库存也有所上升,整体库存55%左右。而且七月以来合巢一带继续查超,需求销量继续减弱,加之目前暂无统一停窑限产计划,近期区域价格走低后,企业仍有调整销售政策拓展销量的可能。总体来看,受到淡季影响,安徽市场价格继续下行压力较大。

  江西:北部九江、南昌地区受降雨影响加之严查超载,水泥销量下滑。为降低库存抢占市场,月初以来两地价格继续走低,两地主要厂家普遍下调水泥价格20元/吨,少数大厂对部分规格水泥价格下调25-30元/吨,同时增加一些返利,外围进入水泥基本同步走低。调后目前两地P.O42.5散装水泥价格主流地销出厂价在290-310元/吨左右,部分厂家挂牌相对略高。近期江西市场需求较为疲软,除赣北价格有明显走低外,赣东北以及赣西一些区域厂家价格也有松动下滑表现。

  福建:受雨水影响,整体需求偏弱,出货不理想,尤其厦门及周边市场工地停工较多,预计要在9月初在厦门举行的金砖五国会议之后才能恢复。停窑方面,一些窑线已经完成停窑任务恢复生产。水泥价格方面,受停窑影响,企业报价基本稳定。不过月初海螺对发福建沿海水泥下调了10-15元/吨,后期沿海宁德、福州价格或有继续小幅走低可能。

  山东:该地区6月26日开始停窑10-20天,停窑执行情况相对尚可,周内济南、淄博、聊城、德州等七个地区按计划结束停窑开始复工。7月6日,省内起高标散装水泥上涨10元/吨,但受市场淡季影响,并未有执行落实的声音。

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