[原创]扩张中的巴基斯坦水泥业

2015-11-16 15:59:21

巴基斯坦Cherat、Attock、DG Khan Cement (DGKC)及Lucky Cement正在进行产能扩张,若扩张完成,巴基斯坦国内水泥产能将达到5300万吨。然而,受经济增长的良好预期,行业产能利用率依然能维持80%的水平。

  受益全球煤炭价格的下滑,水泥商们继续享受不断提高的毛利润。2015财年年底,煤炭(水泥业的关键原材料)价格为60美元/吨,同比下滑了16%。最新数据显示,煤炭价格已经接近50美元/吨。

  由于中国正在解决日益严重的环境问题以及经济增速的下滑,其对煤炭的需求减少,巴基斯坦国内煤炭价格预计在短期乃至中期仍会下跌。此前,自2000年开始,全球煤炭消费的增长由80%的原因是中国消费量的增长。

  巴基斯坦国内水泥销量继续保持强劲,2016财年第一季度国内水泥销量占总销量的比重达到82%,而2011年为70%,行业的总收入预计会继续增长。

  水泥行业近二十年来在产能方面始终保持在超前水平以满足国内增长的需求。从十年前的1000万吨到目前的4500万吨。

  尽管行业产能利用率平均在80%左右,然而一些主导企业已经高达90%以上。受益中巴经济走廊项目,巴基斯坦国内的经济将保持增长,国内八大主要水泥商中的Cherat、Attock和DG Khan Cement (DGKC)已经开始决定扩张它们目前的生产产能了,各自计划增加130、110和270万吨的产能。

  Cherat Cement的扩张计划预计在2017财年上半年(2016年9月)完成,而其他两个预计在2018财年完成。

  此外,最近有消息显示,Lucky Cement打算增加其在北部地区的产能,规模大概也在110万吨左右,计划2019财年投产。

  若四大生产商扩张完成,巴基斯坦国内水泥产能将增加到5300万吨。虽然即将来临的产能扩张将导致各种对国内水泥价格未来能否保持稳定的质疑,然而即使产能扩张,受益于未来8年良好的经济预期,水泥行业产能利用率依然能维持在80%。

  对于国内市场,未来8年,水泥销量预计将增长5%~6%。然而,业内预计2016~2017年出口销量预计下滑到10%左右,2018~2020年下滑5%,此后保持平稳。在相对保守的3.5~4.5%的复合增长率之后,水泥行业因经济增长的良好前景依然光明,2022年产能利用率预计将达到90%。然而,产能利用率的关键变数是业内生产商进一步大幅度的扩大产能。

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Correlation

In 2024, due to the downturn of real estate and the slowdown of infrastructure growth, the demand of domestic cement industry continued to shrink, the profits of the industry declined sharply, and enterprises generally faced the dilemma of overcapacity and intensified price war. In this context, leading enterprises such as Conch Cement, Jidong Cement and Huaxin Cement have listed overseas development as the core strategic direction in 2025.

2025-02-17 13:23:10

In 2025, the company will focus on emerging countries and regions and adopt diversified development methods for overseas market layout and planning. Give full play to the bridgehead role of overseas representative offices, and strengthen their capabilities in information collection and analysis, trade opportunity capture and acquisition, business liaison and negotiation, etc. At the same time, we should coordinate the industry to go to sea, coordinate the "going out" of the industrial sector of the whole group, and promote the integration and development. Consolidate the development system and development capacity, and constantly improve the quality of overseas operations.

2025-02-12 09:31:55

At present, Zhongxin Kaiwei Modern Animal Husbandry Pig Farm produces 80 tons of feces and dry matter every day. The feces flows from the building to the high-temperature anaerobic fermentation tank through the closed pipeline, and produces biogas through anaerobic fermentation. After wet oxidation and desulfurization, biogas is used as energy, most of which is used as clean energy and transported to cement plants as heat source for cement mill production.

2025-01-07 20:12:54

In 2024, Taiwan Cement has shown great determination and action in overseas expansion, and actively promoted its internationalization strategy.

2025-01-03 15:35:57

Whether Red Lion Group can use new ideas to break the current predicament of the domestic photovoltaic industry remains to be tested by time. But "cold winter" more than a year, suddenly appeared a new player to open the posture to attack, but also to add some sunshine to the industry.

2024-12-27 10:54:21

In this context, the 26th International Cement Technology and Equipment Exhibition will become an important platform to promote industry innovation, bringing together the world's top suppliers, displaying cutting-edge technology and equipment, and many conference activities will be carried out simultaneously during the exhibition, building a one-stop communication bridge for exhibitors and professional audiences, not only promoting domestic brands. It also helps overseas brands to enter China, thus building a more diversified and specialized global cement industry exchange platform.

2024-12-27 09:27:20

At present, many industries in our country appear market involution, and enterprises are also fighting price war, which seriously affects the profits of enterprises, but also affects the stock prices of many listed companies. Although the occurrence of large-scale industry involution is related to the overcapacity of the industry, it is also related to the competitive concept of enterprises, the low-price bidding of the industry and the blind low-price competition. Therefore, how to carry out healthy competition, how to overcome industry involution, how to carry out reasonable pricing, these are the problems we must face and solve.

2024-12-24 18:33:47

On the demand side of the ready-mixed concrete industry, this round of demand cycle has ended, and before the arrival of the next consumption cycle, the ideal state is that the demand enters a plateau or slowly declines, and the possibility of sustained decline is greater; on the supply side, the situation of serious overcapacity in the concrete industry can not be fundamentally reversed in the short term.

2024-12-23 10:03:36

Li Yeqing, president of Huaxin Cement, mentioned in an investor relations event in the first half of this year that Huaxin Cement does not have too many restrictions on overseas development in the region, and the company will expand along a region, such as Africa in the recent stage, Asia is still looking for opportunities, and South America will go in the future. If Huaxin is committed to becoming a global multinational company, it will not stick to or be confined to a certain country or region.

2024-12-18 13:20:19

On December 17, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a press conference to introduce the Action Plan for the Optimization and Upgrading of Raw Materials Industry (2025-2027), as well as the measures and results to promote the high-quality development of raw materials industry.

2024-12-17 14:31:45

ICRA believes that due to the slowdown of construction activities during the general election in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 and the impact of strong monsoon rains in the second quarter on the growth of cement production in India, which is slower than expected, it has slightly revised its forecast for the growth of cement production in fiscal year 2025 from 7-8% released in July 2024 to 4-5%..

2024-12-09 16:01:22

On December 1, Huaxin Cement announced that it intends to acquire Holley Nigeria Caricement B. V and Davis Peak Holding for US $838 million (RMB 6.082 billion). 100% equity interest in Limited. Huaxin Cement's overseas business has become an important business pillar of the company, and this acquisition is expected to open up a new pattern of Huaxin's overseas market, which is an important fulcrum for the company to expand the West African cement market.

2024-12-03 09:27:50

On October 28, 2024, General Secretary Xi Jinping, presiding over the 17th collective study of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee on building a strong cultural country, stressed that we should anchor the strategic goal of building a strong cultural country in 2035, adhere to the fundamental guiding ideology of Marxism, root in the broad and profound Chinese civilization, and conform to the trend of information technology development. The socialist culture with Chinese characteristics in the new era with strong ideological leadership, spiritual cohesion, value appeal and international influence will constantly strengthen the people's spiritual strength and lay a solid cultural foundation for the construction of a strong country and national rejuvenation. China Cement Association Corporate Culture Seminar 2024

2024-11-28 13:24:22

Involution is a roadblock to the development of the industry and a fat stone to move forward, which is harmful but not beneficial. Because the core of involution competition is to protect oneself, protect the market, and fight price war, once the enterprise is difficult to operate and its efficiency declines, without economic support, the enterprise is like a body drive with its skeleton and blood removed, unable to gain a foothold, it can no longer have new ideals and goals, can no longer concentrate on technological innovation and effective technological transformation, and can no longer take society and the overall situation into account. It is impossible to truly achieve green, low-carbon and digital operation, in short, enterprises without economic support will be eliminated and eliminated sooner or later, where can we talk about progress and development?

2024-11-15 18:10:09

Sincerely hope that colleagues, the future of the cement industry where to go, carry out a big discussion within the industry, brainstorm, and work together to break the situation!

2024-11-13 15:58:52

According to the information from China Cement Market Data Center, the price of cement in Chongqing in the southwest region is pushed up by 50-100 yuan/ton, and the implementation is to be observed; the price in Zhaotong in Yunnan is pushed up by 50 yuan/ton, and the implementation is to be observed; the price in Nanchong, Guang'an and Suining in Sichuan is pushed up by 50 yuan/ton, and the price in Yibin and Luzhou is partially dropped.

2024-11-08 17:19:35

Nowadays, with the rise of local enterprises, such as Ningbo Yiyu Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. and other high-tech enterprises, relying on their professional R & D and production capacity in the field of dust removal products and pneumatic components, they provide cement plants with reliable and cost-effective localization alternatives.

2024-11-05 13:54:53

The incorporation of the cement industry into the national carbon market will have a significant impact on cement enterprises in terms of production and operation, data control, transaction costs, energy saving and carbon reduction investment. With the carbon quota from basic satisfaction to tight reduction, it will effectively promote production reduction, thereby affecting competitiveness and supply and demand pattern.

2024-11-01 09:52:46

Every employee should know what emission sources are available in his position, what emission reduction measures are available, and how much emission reduction can be achieved by these measures, so that they can understand the principle of emission, learn the method of accounting, use the carbon management platform, and improve the carbon management ability of each position, so as to achieve "carbon management in the whole process".

2024-10-16 13:15:57

However, it should be noted that brand promotion is not achieved overnight, but requires years or even decades of efforts. Our primary service offering is pricing strategies for large and mid-sized businesses to improve margins and achieve growth. The profit is equal to the price times the sales volume minus the cost. According to our research, there is a tenfold relationship between pricing and profit, while there is only a sixfold relationship between cost and sales volume, because when sales volume increases, the corresponding cost will also rise. We support Chinese enterprises to improve their profits, because only profits are the key to the survival of enterprises.

2024-10-12 13:16:50

The ultra-low emission transformation of cement industry should be carried out from the perspective of the whole process. According to the characteristics of production and pollutant emission, enterprises should carry out all-factor and all-round upgrading and transformation of organized emission, unorganized emission, material and product transportation, monitoring and control, environmental management, pollution reduction and carbon reduction, each of which is very important.

2024-10-09 10:17:40

Strictly implement the policy of capacity replacement, strengthen the control of excess capacity, resolutely curb illegal new capacity, build new cement projects according to ultra-low emission level, eliminate backward capacity according to law and regulations through comprehensive means, give full play to the standard role of energy consumption, environmental protection, quality, safety, material consumption and water consumption, and guide high energy consumption. Conditional areas can formulate plans for the withdrawal of restricted capacity.

2024-09-29 10:25:13

On September 27, the Ninth General Election Congress of Shanghai Cement Industry Association was successfully held in Qingpu District, Shanghai. The General Assembly elected the Ninth Council, the Board of Supervisors and the head of the Association. Kong Xiangzhong, Executive Chairman of China Cement Association, Zhang Lijie, Researcher of Policy Research Office of Shanghai Municipal Housing and Construction Commission, and Wang Bo, Chief of Social Management Department of Civil Affairs Bureau attended the meeting.

2024-09-28 16:19:44

According to the Plan, by the end of 2025, more than 50% of the cement clinker production capacity in the province will have been basically transformed, and the clinker production capacity of large cement group companies such as Huaxin, Gezhouba and Yadong over 2500 tons per day (excluding) will have been basically transformed into organized and unorganized ultra-low emissions, with 30 enterprises of B level and above or performance-leading enterprises. The proportion of performance-leading enterprises in independent grinding stations has reached more than 30%.

2024-09-26 15:14:47

Promoted by the "policy combination boxing" of the state adopting mandatory standards to promote the withdrawal of low-quality and low-efficiency production capacity and strengthening the supervision of new and stock projects, cement enterprises are promoting joint restructuring through m & a, equity participation and other forms, curbing new production capacity from the source, reducing and eliminating backward production capacity from the stock, and adjusting the structure. Promote the sustainable development of the industry.

2024-09-26 14:10:42

The circular calls for the implementation of ultra-low emission transformation of cement clinker production enterprises (excluding mines), independent grinding stations (including cement enterprises producing special cement and co-disposing solid waste) and coking enterprises (including semi-coke production). By 2028, the province's cement industry will strive to complete the transformation of 80% clinker production capacity. Cement enterprises that have completed the ultra-low emission transformation should check and fill in the gaps according to the scheme to ensure that the corresponding processes meet the requirements of the scheme on schedule.

2024-09-25 11:21:09

The cement industry has been clearly included in the carbon emissions trading market in 2024. Cement enterprises need to comprehensively and accurately understand the relevant regulations and guidelines. According to the actual situation of the enterprises themselves, they should seek advantages and avoid disadvantages, turn inward, practice hard, continuously reduce their carbon emissions per ton of clinker, reduce the production cost of clinker, and win in the current industry trend. So that their enterprises can survive and develop better.

2024-09-25 09:05:05

The Antimonopoly Committee of Ukraine (AMCU) approved the acquisition of Dyckerhoff Cement Ukraine by CRH Ukraine on 5 September 2024. 99.9775% equity interest. This will make CRH the largest cement producer in Ukraine.

2024-09-24 14:08:32

Faced with the current difficult situation faced by the basic building materials industry and the foreseeable development trend in the future, Liu Yan pointed out that the company should not only base itself on the present, withstand the pressure, reverse the target and sprint with all its strength, but also adhere to the concept of system, do a good job in strategic planning, reform and innovation, especially in upgrading the three modernizations and talent team construction, so as to lay a solid foundation for the development of the next ten years or even longer.

2024-09-24 10:59:20

By 2027, the energy consumption of more than 30% of cement production lines will be better than benchmark level, and all production lines in the industry will reach the benchmark level of energy efficiency standards. More than 70% of cement enterprises have achieved a high degree of automation in the whole production process, and the proportion of enterprises with digital transformation maturity level 3 or above has reached more than 20%, and the level of greening and digitalization of the industry has been significantly improved.

2024-09-23 10:29:16

In the long run, the core factor restricting the rise of cement price lies in the serious overcapacity. At present, the real utilization rate of clinker production capacity has reached a new low level in recent years, and the problem of excess contradiction is extremely acute. Only by taking effective measures to resolutely reduce production capacity and solve the persistent illness, can cement price be guided to return to the normal level.

2024-09-20 11:03:39

This article is selected from Song Zhiping's book "Reform Heart Road", which describes his motivation and effect of restructuring cement in those years, and has been published by China Cement Network. Recently, there has been a call for restructuring and mergers and acquisitions in the cement industry. Reviewing this old article may have the effect of reviewing the old and learning the new, encouraging the industry to promote a new round of restructuring, and solving the persistent problems of the industry.

2024-09-16 10:19:30

In order to make preparations for being incorporated into the national carbon market, we should actively establish and improve the dual-carbon planning system, management system, system, innovation system, trading system and capacity system, do a good job in the research of dual-carbon policy, find out the family background, consolidate the quality of data, decompose and implement the goal of carbon reduction, and strive to achieve the goal of carbon reduction. We will continue to promote the substitution of raw materials, the transformation of energy consumption structure, the acceleration of technological innovation, the promotion of green manufacturing and intelligent leadership, and the coordinated promotion of carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green expansion. Growth.

2024-09-13 16:07:12

Looking forward to the future, in order to achieve full carbon neutrality in the cement industry, we need not only the drive of technological innovation, but also the cooperation of policy support and market mechanism. By adopting non-carbon raw materials, alternative fuels, clean energy and optimizing transportation modes, the cement industry will gradually achieve a significant reduction in carbon emissions, thus taking a more solid step on the road of carbon reduction.

2024-09-13 13:55:48

Cement enterprises can manage carbon assets and gain advantages in the carbon market by finding out the family background and effectively managing carbon assets, setting up specialized agencies or departments to achieve low-carbon management, actively participating in carbon market transactions and accumulating experience, and developing carbon financial products to help their own development.

2024-09-12 09:09:57

According to incomplete statistics, there are about 33 listed companies developing commercial mixing business in A-share motherboard, Hong Kong stock and Taiwan stock, of which 9 companies take commercial mixing as their main business.

2024-09-10 17:04:29