[月评]12月华东:涨势戛然而止 提前步入淡季

2015-01-12 15:14:05

12月为华东水泥市场传统旺季时节,是区域水泥企业盈利的重要节点,但今年市场行情一反常态,11月的上扬行情进入12月就戛然而止,呈步步下挫走势,区域市场提前入冬。这使得整个四季度行情黯淡失色,远逊于市场预期水平。从华东水泥价格指数来看,12月初值为98.58,月末值为95.68,当月环比跌落2.94%,与去年同期相比,水泥价格缩水20.02%。

一、区域行情概况

  12月为华东水泥市场传统旺季时节,是区域水泥企业盈利的重要节点,但今年市场行情一反常态,11月的上扬行情进入12月就戛然而止,呈步步下挫走势,区域市场提前入冬。这使得整个四季度行情黯淡失色,远逊于市场预期水平。从华东水泥价格指数来看,12月初值为98.58,月末值为95.68,当月环比跌落2.94%,与去年同期相比,水泥价格缩水20.02%。整个12月区域行情加速向下受以下几方面因素叠加影响:一是,受区域施工及新开工项目偏少,下游需求趋淡;二是,11月区域产量过大,企业库存高企,年末为消化库存,纷纷降价走量;三是熟料价格已然下调,加上下游客户对行情下行预期较为强烈。

图1:近三个月华东地区水泥价格指数走势


数据来源:中国水泥网指数中心

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Correlation

12月为华东水泥市场传统旺季时节,是区域水泥企业盈利的重要节点,但今年市场行情一反常态,11月的上扬行情进入12月就戛然而止,呈步步下挫走势,区域市场提前入冬。这使得整个四季度行情黯淡失色,远逊于市场预期水平。从华东水泥价格指数来看,12月初值为98.58,月末值为95.68,当月环比跌落2.94%,与去年同期相比,水泥价格缩水20.02%。

2015-01-12 15:14:05

On November 22, the 4th International New Material Industry Conference was held in Bengbu, Anhui Province, jointly sponsored by the People's Government of Anhui Province, the International Glass Association, China Building Material Group Co., Ltd. and China Baowu Iron and Steel Group Co., Ltd. The theme of this conference is "New Technology". New materials New Future. Li Zhong, Vice Governor of Anhui Province, delivered a speech and announced the opening ceremony. Zhou Yuxian, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of China Building Material Group, and Alicia Duran, Chairman of the 26th International Glass Association and Chairman of the Organizing Committee of the United Nations International Year of Glass, attended the conference and delivered speeches. Seventeen academicians, including Gan Yong and Peng Shou, as well as relevant leaders and guests from provinces, cities, universities and enterprises, attended the meeting.