Cement Network Report: Research Report on Cement Consumption Forecast in the 15th Five-Year Plan

1. Cement consumption prediction method

The steps of cement consumption prediction are mainly divided into three steps. First, select the appropriate independent variables to determine the multi-factor fitting analysis model, and then build a single factor regression model, and then use the AHP method to determine the weight of each factor in the prediction of cement consumption, and build the final analysis model; second, backtest the historical data to ensure that the model is true and reliable; Thirdly, the cement consumption in the next 5 years is calculated based on the reasonable assumption of the change of variable parameters in the future.