[原创]广东:经济腾飞促行业 巨头齐聚谋发展

2014-03-03 13:22:16

广东省是我国的经济第一大省,经济总量占全国的1/10。2013年第四季度以来,广东水泥价格连番上涨,涨速全国领先。本文在分析广东省水泥行业现状的基础之上,来探讨未来广东水泥行业的市场供需变化,最后就广东水泥市场的企业竞争格局作一分析。

  广东省地处中国南部,北依南岭山脉、东北为武夷山脉,南临南海,是中国海洋面积第二大的省份。同时,广东省也是我国的经济第一大省,2012年经济总量占全国的1/10。广东省夏天炎热多雨,冬天温和干燥,这使得每年的7月份成为水泥的销售惨淡季节,10~12月成为广东水泥市场的销售旺季。2013年第四季度以来,广东水泥价格连番上涨,涨速全国领先。本文在分析广东省水泥行业现状的基础之上,来探讨未来广东水泥行业的市场供需变化,最后就广东水泥市场的企业竞争格局作一分析。

  一、广东水泥行业的发展现状

  1.1 经济增速企稳回升,但放慢姿态不减

  与全国其他省市相比,自2008年以来,广东省经济增速及在全国的排名双双大幅下滑或落后,2012年GDP增速8.2%,位列全国第28位,经济增长的脚步已经明显放缓。2013年GDP增速达到8.5%,增速有所回升,但放慢的姿态不减。

图1:2013年经济增速企稳回升,但放慢姿态不减

数据来源:国家统计局、中国水泥研究院

  1.2投资拉动水泥需求,产量重回两位数增长

  近年来广东省自2008年金融危机之后全省扩大投资,呈现良好的增长态势,但在2010年投资增速达到阶段性的高点23.20%之后,区域内的投资力度逐渐放缓,至2012年投资增速已下滑至11%。2013年,全省省固定资产投资21794.98亿元,同比增长18.30%,较2012年的11%大幅度提高了7.3个百分点,抑制了连续两年增速回落的趋势。

图2:投资拉动经济增长,2013年固投增速现反弹

数据来源:国家统计局、中国水泥研究院

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Recently, due to the persistent cost pressure in the south, the price of concrete has risen slightly with the raw materials, but the growth of market demand is limited, and the overall quotation is still stable. From October 31 to November 6, the national concrete price index closed at 112.47 points, up 0.31% annually and down 10.11% year-on-year.

2024-11-08 17:41:17

According to China Cement Market Data Center, cement prices in central and southern China rose steadily this week, pushing up 30-50 yuan/ton in Guangxi, and some low-priced enterprises reported an increase of 70 yuan/ton. This week, cement prices in eastern Hubei have gradually fallen back to the level before the last round of rise, and cement prices in many places in Hunan continue to rise.

2024-11-08 17:23:08

In October, with the gradual decline of the national temperature, the northern project came to an end, and there was a small-scale rush to work in some areas, while the southern construction activities increased, the demand warmed up, and the shipment volume increased slightly. On the supply side, a number of sand and gravel aggregate projects have been successfully put into operation, production capacity has been released rapidly, sand and gravel prices have stopped falling slightly, and have entered a narrow range of volatility.

2024-11-05 11:42:36

According to China Cement Market Data Center News, in the central and southern regions, this week, Guangdong Pearl River Delta and Hainan regions continue to push up the cement price by 30-60 yuan/ton, and the implementation will wait and see; Guangxi region is planning to push up the cement price by 30-50 yuan/ton. After the two lakes region experienced many times of pushing up, the price was temporarily stable this week.

2024-11-01 17:35:36

Cement prices in central and southern China are generally rising, and concrete prices may rise..

2024-11-01 15:49:36

Recently, the domestic temperature has dropped, local demand has dropped compared with the previous period, and the price of concrete market is mainly in a narrow range. From October 24 to October 30, the national concrete price index closed at 112.12 points, down 0.02% annually and 10.33% year-on-year.

2024-11-01 01:06:33

Looking forward to the fourth quarter, we believe that the demand for cement will continue to weaken, but under the background of the rising voice of "anti-involution" and the increasing awareness of self-help in the industry, enterprises will intensify their efforts to limit production, cement prices are expected to rise, and industry benefits will continue to be restored. Throughout the year, cement demand will face greater downward pressure, and the industry's profit decline is still large.

2024-10-30 17:15:19

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the Pearl River Delta in central and southern Guangdong is planning to continue to push up cement prices by 30-50 yuan/ton around the end of the month, and the Guangxi region is temporarily stable. Cement prices in Hunan and Hubei continued to rise by 30-50 yuan/ton.

2024-10-25 17:23:23

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the demand in Sichuan and Chongqing in Southwest China has improved, and the cement price has been steadily promoted; the price increase in Yunnan and Guizhou may be blocked. It is understood that the fourth quarter of Yunnan plans to implement peak staggering production for 51-60 days, affected by the policy, the output of enterprises in the region has declined, and the inventory has declined slightly.

2024-10-18 17:38:28

With the improvement of weather conditions, the domestic market demand has improved as a whole in the near future, but it is still difficult to reach the peak season level in previous years. Concrete enterprises mainly ship at stable prices, and there are still some downward adjustments. From October 10 to October 16, the national concrete price index closed at 112.16 points, down 0.59% annually and 10.64% year-on-year.

2024-10-18 17:28:46

Recently, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment issued the Notice on Further Deepening the Reform of Environmental Impact Assessment (hereinafter referred to as the Notice). The Notice points out in the annex "Pilot Work Program for Optimizing Classified Management of Environmental Impact Assessment in Prefectures and Cities" that, taking into account the level of economic development and environmental management as a whole, Beijing, Hebei Province, Jilin Province, Fujian Province, Guangdong Province, Sichuan Province and Shaanxi Province respectively select 2 Typical prefecture-level cities (or districts of municipalities directly under the Central Government) carry out pilot work in the whole area. Among them, it is clearly mentioned in the "industry categories that can optimize the classification management of environmental impact assessment" that the environmental impact assessment of cement grinding stations should be cancelled.

2024-10-17 13:45:30

After the National Day, the domestic concrete market demand rebounded slightly, but the total amount is still relatively weak, concrete enterprises are mainly shipping at stable prices, and have not yet followed the rise of raw materials. From October 3 to October 9, the national concrete price index closed at 112.82 points, in line with the National Day holiday, with a year-on-year decline of 10.21%.

2024-10-12 17:25:54

Raw material prices pushed up, and concrete prices in the central and southern markets were mixed..

2024-10-12 15:45:27

Recently, the domestic market demand in some areas has improved slightly compared with the previous period, but the overall situation is still weaker than same period in history, and the price of concrete remains stable and weak. From September 19 to September 25, the national concrete price index closed at 112.82 points, down 0.10% annually and 10.45% year-on-year.

2024-09-27 17:57:56

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in the central and southern regions is general, while the Guangxi region is stable and declining. Eastern Hubei and other regions plan to push up the price of cement by 30 yuan/ton again. Driven by the price increase in eastern Hubei, individual market prices in Hunan have been notified to rise again.

2024-09-27 16:48:15

Market demand has not improved, and concrete prices in some parts of central and southern China have declined slightly..

2024-09-27 16:04:01

At present, there are nine regional carbon emission trading markets and corresponding exchanges in China. These exchanges are located in different regions, covering a wide geographical range from north to south, aiming to promote the development of carbon emissions trading and green finance throughout the country.

2024-09-27 11:11:58

Recently, the local weather conditions in China are not good, the recovery of market demand is insufficient, the price of concrete is mainly stable, and the local pressure is falling. From September 12 to September 18, the national concrete price index closed at 112.93 points, down 0.21% annually and 10.83% year-on-year.

2024-09-20 17:55:34

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, cement prices in the Pearl River Delta market in central and southern Guangdong are planned to stop falling and rise again, while prices in individual markets in Guangxi have experienced a second round of decline. During the Mid-Autumn Festival, the range of price increases in the two lakes areas has been extended to the whole province, pushing up by about 30 yuan/ton. Since the 10th, some major manufacturers in Henan have pushed up the price of cement by 30 yuan/ton, but the actual implementation is not ideal, some enterprises have not implemented in place, and the quotation remains at the level before the rise.

2024-09-20 17:10:16

The price of raw materials has been pushed up, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets has been temporarily stable.

2024-09-20 16:36:23

The price of raw materials has been pushed up one after another, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets may rise slightly..

2024-09-14 14:43:45

Recently, the price of raw materials has shown an upward trend again, but due to the lack of new orders in the concrete market and the fierce competition among enterprises, the focus of transactions continues to decline steadily. From August 29 to September 4, the national concrete price index closed at 113.17 points, down 0.45% annually and 11.09% year-on-year.

2024-09-06 17:22:16

The price of raw materials is declining, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is running steadily and weakly.

2024-09-06 15:58:01

Most regions in China are affected by capital factors, lack of construction increment downstream, no improvement in concrete market demand, and downward pressure on local quotations. From August 22 to August 28, the national concrete price index closed at 113.68 points, down 0.42% annually and 11.12% year-on-year.

2024-08-30 17:31:27

From a supply perspective. In 2024, the cement industry still showed a trend of "serious overcapacity". Although the expectation of environmental protection and low carbon still maintains the trend of "continuous overweight", "normalization of staggered peak production" and "carbon peak" have some constraints on the compression of cement supply in most regions, due to the overall weakening of market demand, the original production intensity of compressed cement has been difficult to reverse the current contradiction between supply and demand in a large scale, and the market. The effect of regulation and control on the supply side of superimposed peak staggering production is weakened, and the market competition is further intensified.

2024-08-28 11:34:46

Domestic high temperature rain weather has not yet subsided, downstream construction activity is still low, the concrete market is relatively flat, and the market price is stable. From August 15 to August 21, the national concrete price index closed at 114.16 points, down 0.28% annually and 11.40% year-on-year.

2024-08-23 17:35:52

The domestic market continued to be controlled by the hot and rainy weather, the market demand was weak, the price of concrete continued to fall steadily, and the decline in Sichuan and Chongqing was relatively large. From August 1st to August 7th, the national concrete price index closed at 114.86 points, down 0.43% from the previous month.

2024-08-09 18:09:08

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, the market demand in southwest Sichuan and Chongqing continued to be weak, cement prices in some regions fell by 10-20 yuan/ton, and Yunnan-Guizhou region was mixed. The market demand continued to be weak due to the high temperature off-season in Sichuan and Chongqing, and some enterprises in Sichuan lowered the cement price to increase the shipment volume, while the original plan to raise the price in Chengdu was not implemented. The demand for cement in Chongqing is declining and the price is stable. Rainy weather in Yunnan is frequent, market demand is low, and prices in some areas have fallen after pushing up. Cement prices in Guizhou are generally stable.

2024-08-09 17:19:44

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of the rebound in cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of central and southern Guangdong is not optimistic, and the Guangxi region is tepid. The market prices of the two lakes are basically stable, and there is a decline in some areas. Leading enterprises in Guangdong try to restore the price of cement, but under the influence of high temperature weather, the actual effect is not good. The rain weather in Guangxi is decreasing, the market demand is limited, the price is stable, and the local market is falling. Cement prices in Hubei are stable, and high temperatures affect demand. The Hunan area continues the high temperature, the demand is weak, the partial price falls. Affected by rainfall, the market demand in Henan is not good, and the price is stable.

2024-08-09 17:12:17

Guangxi and Fujian implement the "monthly settlement and monthly clearance" method for peak-staggering production, that is, at the end of this month, the number of peak-staggering production days for the next month is formulated. In the middle and last ten days of June, there were two rounds of price increases totaling 40 yuan, and in July, there was a pullback of 10-15 yuan yuan. At present, the implementation of peak-staggering production in Guangxi has alleviated the situation of oversupply and played a positive role in stabilizing the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta market.

2024-08-08 13:34:06

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in central and southern China has recovered by 10-15 yuan/ton, and the quotation in Guangxi is temporarily stable. Prices in some areas of the two lakes have fallen in the early stage, and the overall market is mainly stable this week.

2024-08-02 17:16:26

Looking forward to the second half of 2024, we believe that the demand for cement will improve compared with the first half of the year, and the price will continue to rebound. However, under the constraints of weak demand and serious overcapacity, the repair of cement price is limited. Throughout the year, cement demand will face

2024-08-01 09:19:52

Demand is declining, supply is increasing, and the price of sand and gravel industry is adjusted in an all-round way.

2024-07-31 15:56:20

From the 26th, the main manufacturers in Zhanjiang and Maoming areas notified an increase in the price of bulk cement by 50 yuan/ton.

2024-07-29 16:02:04

Rainfall continued in many parts of the country, local typhoons invaded, downstream construction was slow, and concrete prices fell steadily. From July 18th to July 24th, the national concrete price index closed at 116.05 points, down 0.58%.

2024-07-26 20:17:51

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center news, Guangdong, Hubei individual market notice to raise cement prices by 30-50 yuan/ton, the implementation remains to be observed. Cement quotations in other areas are basically stable and small.

2024-07-26 16:42:59

Affected by the traditional off-season, the overall price of concrete in the central and southern market is weak and stable.

2024-07-26 15:35:59

Recently, due to the persistent cost pressure in the south, the price of concrete has risen slightly with the raw materials, but the growth of market demand is limited, and the overall quotation is still stable. From October 31 to November 6, the national concrete price index closed at 112.47 points, up 0.31% annually and down 10.11% year-on-year.