水泥经济50人论坛|水泥行业如何在新的关口寻求共识?

2023-03-21 09:36:15

2023年需求不会比2022年差,国家的经济形势也在好转。未来2年,不用过分担忧水泥需求下行。十四五期间,水泥需求还会在20亿吨上下波动。

“2022年大家的情况相似度很高,产量仅下降10%左右,但大家业绩下降普遍在60%上下,出现这种情况就是自身的原因。”3月14日,某龙头水泥企业市场负责人在“水泥经济50人”论坛上感慨道。

2022年是水泥行业最困难的一年,水泥企业业绩增长普遍大幅下滑。虽然有疫情、国际摩擦等因素影响,但最主要的问题还是供给侧工作没做好。

谈及未来水泥行情,上述负责人的态度则比较乐观。他认为,2023年需求不会比2022年差,国家的经济形势也在好转。未来2年,不用过分担忧水泥需求下行。十四五期间,水泥需求还会在20亿吨上下波动。

该负责人表示,水泥行业最困难的时期就是已经过去的2022年。在新的关口,水泥行业同仁更要寻求共识。

一是要坚定的树立需求导向型的理念。水泥行业产能过剩局面还是非常严重的,供给一定要需求导向,每个区域都要结合区域情况进行调整,每个区域都要做好本区域的供给需求关系、做好供给的设计。

二是确立价本利理念。作为企业,不赚钱的企业是不道德的。

“水泥行业是周期性行业,如今日本的水泥价格曲线是非常平的,能不能我们的水泥行业也把价格干成平的,把水泥做成去周期性行业。”上述负责人提出了自己对行业的想法和期望。

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In Li Kunming's view, with the strengthening of self-discipline and off-peak production of cement enterprises, it is expected that the market will return to normalization in 2025, and the fluctuation space will be narrowed, showing the operation characteristics of "rising with a top and falling with a limit".

2025-04-18 10:47:57

On the basis of the sharp decline in demand in the second half of last year, the company expects that demand will continue to decline in the first half of 2025 due to insufficient rolling of stock projects and the reduction of new start-up projects. However, as the country continues to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and the capital situation is expected to improve, some infrastructure projects have been launched, and the demand decline is expected to gradually narrow in the second half of the year.

2025-04-09 10:16:20

According to the data center of China Cement Network, in the early stage of the recovery of the northwest cement market, the market in Shaanxi has stabilized in stages, Gansu and Ningxia have been driven by many factors, and the overall stability of Xinjiang has pushed up partially.

2025-04-07 16:34:54

According to China Cement Market Data Center, cement prices in Northeast China continue to decline, while cement prices in Liaozhong continue to fall sharply. Under the background of unsolved inventory pressure and weak demand, the short-term market will remain weak.

2025-04-07 14:44:42

In the first three quarters of 2024, the business situation of the industry declined sharply, and the price reduction was not conducive to the transformation and upgrading of the industry towards high-quality development. Since the second half of the year, the concept has been gradually changed, and the spirit of the Politburo meeting of "strengthening industry self-discipline and preventing vicious competition of involution" has been implemented. The price has been gradually restored, and the decline in sales of leading enterprises has been expanded, but the profits of the industry and enterprises have been improved. At present, the consensus of the industry against "involution" competition is stronger, the mechanism and methods of peak staggering production are becoming more and more mature, and the foundation of the industry's ecological construction is more solid.

2025-04-03 16:02:17

At the end of the meeting, President Gong Leihai once again called on the whole industry to be "highly self-disciplined" in behavior and "rapidly changing" in concept. In such a fragile environment of the whole cement market, it is necessary to establish a "anti-involution" normalization working mechanism of "associations set up platforms, large enterprises take the lead, and small enterprises cooperate".

2025-04-03 15:50:08

According to Yang Dan, if calculated according to the annual demand decline of 5%, the national cement demand will be reduced to about 1.3 billion tons by 2030. In this context, the number of off-peak production days needs to increase by about 15 days per year to maintain the current supply and demand situation, which is very difficult. This is a relatively optimistic estimate. In fact, the domestic demand for cement may fall by 7%. It is expected that the demand for cement in Hubei will fall by about 7% in 2025. This is the current demand situation that the industry needs to face for a long time in the future.

2025-04-01 12:27:25

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the northwest cement market has recovered weakly, the market in Shaanxi has stabilized in stages, and the price of Gansu, Qinghai and Ningxia has stabilized under the new rising fatigue.

2025-03-31 15:34:56

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the Yangtze River Delta region in East China is planning to continue to push up cement prices by 20-30 yuan/ton around the end of the month, and the implementation is to be tracked. The implementation in Shandong is not good enough, and some of them have fallen back to the level before the rise.

2025-03-31 14:52:47

According to China Cement Market Data Center, with the increase of clinker supply in Northeast China, the price of Liaozhong Cement has dropped by nearly 50 yuan/ton. Under the background of unsolved inventory pressure and weak demand, the short-term market will remain weak.

2025-03-31 14:44:41

On March 28, OCC Chairman Ma Weiping and his delegation visited China Gezhouba Group Cement Co., Ltd. and were warmly received by Yang Dan, Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee and General Manager of the company. The two sides conducted in-depth exchanges on the situation of Hubei cement industry and the future development direction of the industry.

2025-03-28 17:37:50

On March 27, Chairman Shao Jun of China Cement Network and his delegation visited Huaxin Cement (Huangshi) Co., Ltd. and were warmly welcomed by Qi Liang, the general manager of the company. The two sides exchanged in detail on the situation and future trend of the cement industry in Hubei Province.

2025-03-27 13:44:01

On March 25, Shao Jun, Chairman of China Cement Network, and his delegation visited Jiangxi Wannianqing Cement Co., Ltd. and received Chen Wensheng, Secretary of the Party Committee, Chairman and General Manager of Jiangxi Building Materials Group Co., Ltd. and Chairman of Jiangxi Wannianqing Cement Co., Ltd. Li Shifeng, member of the Party Committee of Jiangxi Building Materials Group Co., Ltd., Secretary of the Party Committee and General Manager of Jiangxi Wannianqing Cement Co., Ltd., gave a warm reception, and the two sides exchanged views on the current difficulties faced by the cement industry and how to stabilize the development of the industry.

2025-03-25 18:59:56

The purpose of OCC is to prevent involution, adhere to peak-shifting production and capacity reduction on demand, maintain the prosperity and stability of the Yangtze River cement industry, and achieve high-quality development. At present, the biggest problem is how to make small and medium-sized enterprises cooperate.

2025-03-25 14:15:46

From a policy point of view, it is quite beneficial for enterprises to supplement their production capacity to the industry. If the policy is strictly implemented, the effective production capacity of Jiangxi Province will be reduced by nearly 10 million tons. In the implementation of off-peak production, it is necessary to accurately predict the market demand, comprehensively consider the inventory situation of enterprises, and then determine a reasonable off-peak time, the inventory level should not be higher than 50%.

2025-03-25 13:48:46

On March 24, OCC Chairman Ma Weiping and his delegation visited Red Lion Holding Group Co., Ltd. and were warmly received by Zhang Xiaohua, Chairman and General Manager of Red Lion Holding Group. The two sides had in-depth exchanges on the future development trend of the cement industry and how cement enterprises should deal with the industry dilemma.

2025-03-24 21:21:36

On March 24, OCC Chairman Ma Weiping and his delegation visited Zhejiang Jianfeng Group Co., Ltd. and were warmly received by Jiang Xiaomeng, Party Secretary and Chairman of Jianfeng Group, and Yu Jianhong, General Manager of Jianfeng Group. The two sides had in-depth exchanges on the development trend of the cement industry.

2025-03-24 21:09:39

On March 24, Chairman Shao Jun of China Cement Network and Chairman Ma Weiping of OCC visited Hongshi Holding Group Co., Ltd. and were warmly received by Chairman and General Manager Zhang Xiaohua of Hongshi Holding Group. The two sides had in-depth exchanges on the future development trend of the cement industry and how cement enterprises should deal with it.

2025-03-24 17:12:31

Looking forward to the future, with the joint efforts of the government, associations and enterprises, relying on the unswerving belief and the spirit of continuous innovation, the cement industry will break through the haze, successfully achieve transformation and upgrading, stride forward on the broad road of high-quality development with a brand-new attitude, and write its own brilliant chapter.

2025-03-24 17:09:55

Jiang Xiaomeng pointed out in the exchange that the current situation of the cement industry is grim, and the following three aspects should be focused on: first, gather industry consensus and unify thinking and cognition; second, propose to raise the tariff on imported cement; third, small and medium-sized enterprises should be honest.

2025-03-24 16:36:08

On March 14, the 14th China Cement Industry Summit and TOP100 Award Ceremony hosted by China Cement Network was held in Hangzhou.

2025-03-14 16:25:27

First, strengthen the consensus of "anti-involution" to transmit positive energy for the development of the industry; second, strengthen the "double control" of daily output and off-peak days to promote the rebalancing of production and sales; third, strengthen cross-market coordination to promote cross-regional linkage, off-peak linkage and re-pricing; fourth, improve the transparency of price policy to reduce the misjudgment of decision-making; fifth, innovate the cooperation mode to accelerate the promotion of concentration and capacity reduction.

2025-03-14 08:36:51

Faced with the complex and severe new cycle of the current cement market, how should the cement industry fight against involution and seek breakthroughs in the future? This topic triggered a heated discussion among the participants.

2025-03-13 18:40:31

Zhang Liqun, a researcher in the Department of Macroeconomic Research of the Development Research Center of the State Council, will make a theme report on "Focusing on Expanding Domestic Demand and Opening a New Cycle of Economic Growth as soon as possible-Analysis and Prospect of Macroeconomic Situation in 2025" at the 14th China Cement Industry Summit and TOP100 Award Ceremony to analyze the macroeconomic trend and grasp the policy for cement enterprises. It provides important guidance for optimizing the strategic layout.

2025-03-07 14:10:12

In 2024, the market scale of ready-mixed concrete industry in Guizhou Province contracted seriously, hovering in the low market demand area. The ready-mixed concrete industry in Guizhou Province has shown the characteristics of regional competition, and the disorderly competition continues to intensify. Major enterprises have competed for market share by shrinking production capacity, reducing labor and production costs, improving product service quality and technological innovation. Some enterprises have begun to explore the integration of upstream and downstream industrial chains (sand and gravel materials, prefabricated components, outsourcing business) to speed up mergers and acquisitions. In order to reduce costs and improve competitiveness. Industry consolidation will accelerate in 2024, and some small and medium-sized enterprises will face elimination or acquisition, thus improving the overall situation.

2025-03-04 10:36:26

At the end of the Spring Festival, the market is highly concerned about the trend of sand and gravel in the new year. 2024 is an indisputable year of sand and gravel shrinkage. Demand is fatigue, supply is excessive, sand and gravel prices continue to decline in depth, profits are reduced, and labor pains are difficult to stop. In the new year of 2025, will we continue to struggle in the cold winter or break the ice?

2025-02-21 10:48:43

China Cement Industry Summit is not only a hub for industry information exchange, but also an important bridge to promote policy landing, technological innovation and business cooperation. The evolution of its previous themes and issues reflects the track of the cement industry from high-speed growth to high-quality development, especially in the green transformation and intelligent upgrading. If you want to know the latest conference developments, you can pay attention to the official release of China Cement Network.

2025-02-17 14:23:52

On February 10, the executive meeting of the State Council pointed out that efforts should be made from both sides of supply and demand to resolve structural contradictions in key industries and promote the healthy development and upgrading of industries. We should optimize the industrial layout, strengthen standard guidance, promote integration and reorganization, promote the withdrawal of backward and inefficient production capacity, and increase the supply of high-end production capacity. We should optimize market supervision, strengthen industry self-discipline, and jointly safeguard the market order of fair competition and survival of the fittest.

2025-02-11 14:50:59

China Cement Network will hold the "14th China Cement Industry Summit and TOP100 Award Ceremony" in Hangzhou on March 13-14, 2025, and the "Cement Economy 50 Forum" at the same time.

2025-02-10 09:15:28

On October 28, 2024, General Secretary Xi Jinping, presiding over the 17th collective study of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee on building a strong cultural country, stressed that we should anchor the strategic goal of building a strong cultural country in 2035, adhere to the fundamental guiding ideology of Marxism, root in the broad and profound Chinese civilization, and conform to the trend of information technology development. The socialist culture with Chinese characteristics in the new era with strong ideological leadership, spiritual cohesion, value appeal and international influence will constantly strengthen the people's spiritual strength and lay a solid cultural foundation for the construction of a strong country and national rejuvenation. China Cement Association Corporate Culture Seminar 2024

2024-11-28 13:24:22

While seeing the success of the current price rise, the industry should also think about how to make a good start next year and how to develop steadily in the future. The author believes that in the current situation, active production control is the key to maintain a good situation in the cement industry. If production control can not be effectively implemented, even if the cement price is maintained at a relatively reasonable position at the end of this year, the cement price will still be difficult to maintain in the face of severe supply and demand situation after the beginning of next year.

2024-11-20 09:45:47

Sincerely hope that colleagues, the future of the cement industry where to go, carry out a big discussion within the industry, brainstorm, and work together to break the situation!

2024-11-13 15:58:52

According to the information from China Cement Market Data Center, the price of cement in many places in Yunnan in southwest China has risen by 100 yuan/ton, and the implementation remains to be observed; Liangshan and Panzhihua in Sichuan have also begun to push up by 50 yuan/ton. In Guizhou, some major manufacturers in Qiannan, Qianxinan, Zunyi, Tongren and other regions have recently raised the cement price by 10-40 yuan/ton, while the quotation in other regions has been stable for the time being.

2024-11-01 17:32:29

As a "veteran" of the industry, Li Wenxiu has personally experienced the ups and downs of the cement industry for decades. Faced with the current difficulties, Li Wenxiu believes that solidifying the market and share is the key to stabilizing the development trend of the industry, steadily promoting capacity removal and realizing the "soft landing" of the industry under the background of a sharp decline in demand. "The more the economic downturn, the more stable employment, stable income, capacity is inevitable, but how to go to capacity is the way we can choose, the current solidification of the market, solidification of share, to maintain the basic efficiency of the industry is very critical.".

2024-09-18 11:20:28

The Yangtze River Economic Zone is one of the most dynamic economic regions in China. There are 168 enterprises and 608 production lines in ten provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Basin, with a total clinker production capacity of 720 million tons. If we can take the lead in realizing the high-quality and healthy development of the cement industry in the Yangtze River Basin, the cement industry in other regions can also embark on the road of sound development.

2024-09-10 10:03:17

Seeing the title, some people are sure to say: "This is not true. A few years ago, everyone in the cement industry ushered in six years of good times in the process of sharing happiness." Is this really the case? As a typical cyclical industry, the development of cement industry is full of ups and downs. From the past experience, when the industry encounters a low ebb, it is easier for enterprises to form a consensus and deal with challenges together; however, after the industry recovers, it is difficult to maintain this spirit of unity.

2024-08-20 16:27:06

We need to establish the core values of "others earn more, I can earn more" to guide production and operation. In the short run, only by actively limiting production and restoring the balance of supply and demand in the weak market, can the cement industry achieve a recovery in efficiency. Without enough initiative and consistency to limit production, all those who talk about the price of cement are cheaters and hooligans, and they can not succeed.

2024-08-13 15:12:11

As of December 31, 2024, Xinjiang has a total of 69 cement clinker production lines, of which five cement clinker production lines supplement production capacity.