The Latest Forecast Data of Photovoltaic Industry in 2023 Is Coming!

On February 17, the National Energy Administration released the Construction and Operation of Photovoltaic Power Generation in 2022.

Data show that in 2022, 87.41 GW of new grid-connected capacity was added nationwide, an increase of 59.3% over the same period last year. Of which, 36.29 GW was centralized, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.8%, and 51.11 GW was distributed, representing a year-on-year increase of 74.5%.

By the end of 2022, the accumulated grid-connected capacity is 392.04GW. Centralized 234.42 GW and distributed 157.62 GW.

Details are as follows:

(Unit: 10,000 kW)

It is reported that China's newly installed PV capacity has ranked first in the world for ten consecutive years. China's cumulative photovoltaic installed capacity ranks first in the world for eight consecutive years.

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the operation of the national photovoltaic manufacturing industry in 2022 on the 16th, which also mentioned that the output of each link of the photovoltaic industry chain in 2022 reached a record high, and the total output value of the industry exceeded 1.4 trillion yuan. The specific data of the main

PV manufacturing links are as follows: In 2022, the output of polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and modules will be 827,000 tons, 357 GW, 318 GW and 288.7 GW respectively, representing a year-on-year increase of 63.4%, 57.5%, 60.7% and 58.8% respectively.

At present, the development of PV production technology in China is showing a variety of trends, including the continuous reduction of comprehensive power consumption and reduction power consumption of polysilicon production, the rapid decline of silicon wafer thickness, the steady improvement of cell mass production efficiency, and the continued expansion of double-sided module penetration.

According to the forecast of China Photovoltaic Industry Association, under conservative and optimistic conditions, in 2023, the new installed capacity in the world will be 280 GW or 330 GW respectively, and the new installed capacity in China will be 95 GW or 120 GW respectively.

It is worth mentioning that in the past year, China, the European Union, India and other countries and regions are the main drivers of new installations, and this situation is not expected to change in the short term.

In addition, Wang Bohua, honorary chairman of China Photovoltaic Industry Association, judged that in 2023, the proportion of large-size products represented by 182 and 210 would further rise to 93.2%, which was only 45% two years ago; Meanwhile, the market share of N-type battery technology represented by TOPCon and heterojunction will rise from 8.9% last year to 21.1%.