最多涨100!多地水泥价格上涨!但实际需求……

2023-02-12 13:11:31

各地市场启动较为缓慢,预计下周水泥价格将偏稳运行。

元宵节过后,北方地区市场启动缓慢,东北等地仍在错峰生产阶段,目前价格暂稳;南方地区市场需求开始缓慢恢复,但销量仍不理想。全国整体价格行情偏稳,其中湖北跌幅明显。

本周全国熟料价格指数(CLKPI)报收141.41点,环比上周上涨0.53%。本周熟料价格小幅上涨。

图1:水泥价格指数走势(点)

数据来源:水泥大数据(https://data.ccement.com/)

图2:熟料价格指数走势(点)

数据来源:水泥大数据(https://data.ccement.com/)

具体而言:

东北地区

春节长假之后,市场尚未启动。目前大多数企业仍在错峰生产阶段,加之受低温天气影响,工地复工相对缓慢,水泥价格暂稳。

西北地区

市场需求刚刚启动。目前陕西关中仍在错峰停窑期间,且环保管控严峻,原材料价格高位运行,加之前期价格降至相对低位,

8日起西安、咸阳、铜川、渭南等关中地区通知上调水泥价格10-50元/吨不等,目前市场需求刚刚启动,实际执行待观察;

由于新疆2022年-2023年冬季错峰力度加大,加之去年受电石渣水泥冲击及疫情等因素影响,

为增强市场信心,近日乌鲁木齐、塔城等地通知上调水泥价格20-50元/吨,部分袋装上调近100元/吨,目前大多数工地、搅拌站尚未开工,实际执行待观察;

受低温及雨雪天气影响,甘肃、宁夏、青海等地工地、搅拌站开工受限,市场恢复进度延缓,水泥价格暂稳。

华北地区

市场启动缓慢。元宵后京津冀地区一些工地、搅拌站等陆续开工,但整体恢复有限,企业日出货仅2成左右。

与此同时,受原料价格下跌影响,加之外围唐山低价水泥冲击,周内北京、天津及河北冀南地区一些企业对局部市场成交价下滑20-40元/吨不等;

山西、内蒙古气温仍在零下,受间接性雨雪天气影响,市场启动较缓慢,需求销量不高,价格暂稳。

华东地区

元宵后市场需求缓慢回升,加之熟料价格上调带动,企业调价意愿强烈。

元宵节后江苏一些工地逐步恢复施工,需求缓慢回升,加之熟料价格上调,

4-8日盐城、淮安、扬州、泰州、连云港、宿迁等地陆续通知上调水泥价格20元/吨左右,周边南京、镇江及苏南等地近日也有上调可能,近日雨水天气居多,企业出货量仍在2-4成,本轮上调落实情况尚待观望;

浙江近期阴雨天气居多,需求恢复缓慢,企业出货量仅正常水平2-3成,本周报价稳中趋弱,随着熟料价回涨及周边涨价带动,中下旬不排除推涨可能;

安徽近期需求有所回升,加之沿江熟料价格上调30元/吨,10日起芜湖、铜陵、池州等地试探性推动上调各品种水泥价格10元/吨,目前需求尚未完全恢复,落实待跟踪;

2月以来受持续雨水天气影响,福建复工情况较往年有所下滑,企业出货量低迷,目前多数熟料线仍在错峰停窑阶段,市场产销双弱,元宵节后各企业水泥报价较节前无明显波动;

元宵后山东市场需求虽有回升,但企业出货量在2-3成。尽管一些主要厂家曾有意尝试推涨水泥价格,但由于出货欠佳,且多数企业仍在观望,涨价信心不足,周内报价暂稳,局部市场存在小幅暗降迹象。

中南地区

市场需求开始缓慢恢复。正月十五过后,湖南湖北市场需求较前期缓慢恢复,但水泥销量仍不理想,月初湖南常德通知上调水泥价格20元/吨后,落实欠佳;

湖北鄂中部分企业小幅下调水泥价格10-20元/吨,其余企业维持年前报价,目前湖北大部分企业仍在停窑,部分区域有意近期上调水泥价格,具体待跟进;

广东元宵节后工人陆续返岗,部分工地开工,但出货量仍较少,大部分企业库存在6成左右,加之成本仍在高位,9日一些主导企业通知对珠三角及粤西部分市场上调水泥价格10-20元/吨,熟料价格同步上调10元/吨,执行情况待观察;

广西近期阴雨天气较多,需求恢复较缓,企业出货近2-3成,由于生产成本处高位,且错峰停窑下企业库存压力不大,1月底主导企业上调袋装价格20元/吨后,2月10日起部分企业通知上调散装水泥价格20元/吨,其余同业近日跟进的预期较大;

元宵节后河南多数工地、搅拌站开工率仍不高,出货量低迷,目前市场产销双弱,基本处于半停滞状态,由于节前各地水泥已普遍跌至相对低位,短期价格或不会有明显变动。

西南地区

元宵节后各地市场开始启动,但需求恢复有限,销量低迷。川渝近期雨水天气较多,需求销量低迷,月初成都地区袋装水泥下调40元/吨后,近日周边乐山、雅安、眉山等地区主导企业陆续跟进下调水泥价格20-40元/吨,其中雅安降幅在20元/吨;

重庆部分工地陆续恢复施工,需求略有上升,主城市场水泥价格本周暂稳;

贵州元宵节后市场需求缓慢恢复,企业出货量与节前变化不大,7日黔西南州通知上调水泥价格30元/吨,目前企业库存高位运行,销售压力较大,落实情况待观察。

此外,安顺部分企业成交价小幅走低10-20元/吨;云南一季度错峰停窑60天,前期德宏州水泥价格下跌40-50元/吨,企业经营压力较大,周内部分企业通知复价上调水泥价格30-40元/吨,目前水泥销量较差,执行情况待跟踪。

后市预测:各地市场启动较为缓慢,预计下周水泥价格将偏稳运行。

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Correlation

According to the big data of China Cement Network, the price of cement in central Hebei has almost always been the highland of Hebei since this year, among which Baoding ranks first in Hebei. At the same time, the special terrain and the relatively high price make Jizhong become the coveted cement enterprises of the surrounding parties. Although there are six cement clinker enterprises in Baoding, which are mainly concentrated in three brands, it is difficult to control the price trend. Local cement enterprises in Tangshan have also said that Baoding and other Jizhong markets account for a large proportion of enterprise sales.

2024-08-29 16:09:34

On the 10th, major enterprises in Chengde, Hebei notified an increase in cement prices by 30 yuan/ton.

2024-08-12 15:19:52

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, the market demand in southwest Sichuan and Chongqing continued to be weak, cement prices in some regions fell by 10-20 yuan/ton, and Yunnan-Guizhou region was mixed. The market demand continued to be weak due to the high temperature off-season in Sichuan and Chongqing, and some enterprises in Sichuan lowered the cement price to increase the shipment volume, while the original plan to raise the price in Chengdu was not implemented. The demand for cement in Chongqing is declining and the price is stable. Rainy weather in Yunnan is frequent, market demand is low, and prices in some areas have fallen after pushing up. Cement prices in Guizhou are generally stable.

2024-08-09 17:19:44

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of the rebound in cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of central and southern Guangdong is not optimistic, and the Guangxi region is tepid. The market prices of the two lakes are basically stable, and there is a decline in some areas. Leading enterprises in Guangdong try to restore the price of cement, but under the influence of high temperature weather, the actual effect is not good. The rain weather in Guangxi is decreasing, the market demand is limited, the price is stable, and the local market is falling. Cement prices in Hubei are stable, and high temperatures affect demand. The Hunan area continues the high temperature, the demand is weak, the partial price falls. Affected by rainfall, the market demand in Henan is not good, and the price is stable.

2024-08-09 17:12:17

Guangxi and Fujian implement the "monthly settlement and monthly clearance" method for peak-staggering production, that is, at the end of this month, the number of peak-staggering production days for the next month is formulated. In the middle and last ten days of June, there were two rounds of price increases totaling 40 yuan, and in July, there was a pullback of 10-15 yuan yuan. At present, the implementation of peak-staggering production in Guangxi has alleviated the situation of oversupply and played a positive role in stabilizing the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta market.

2024-08-08 13:34:06

According to China Cement Net, Fujian Building Materials Industry Association issued the Notice on the Arrangement of Staggered Peak Work in August (hereinafter referred to as the Notice) on August 2, deciding that cement enterprises in Fujian Province should stagger peak for 16 days in August and need to do so on August 2.

2024-08-05 10:18:40

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the demand and sales in southwest China are sluggish, cement prices in Sichuan and Chongqing continue to fall, and some regions have fallen back to the level before the price increase in June. Some markets in the surrounding Yunnan-Guizhou region are still pushing up in the week, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-08-02 17:25:15

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in central and southern China has recovered by 10-15 yuan/ton, and the quotation in Guangxi is temporarily stable. Prices in some areas of the two lakes have fallen in the early stage, and the overall market is mainly stable this week.

2024-08-02 17:16:26

The implementation of the sharp increase in cement prices in Yunnan Province is worrying, and enterprises are also reducing the price increase in the actual implementation, and the final implementation has not reached an increase of 100 yuan/ton.

2024-07-31 11:41:20

From the perspective of various factors, the cement industry was flat in the first half of the year, and in the second half of the year, under the stimulation of the steady growth policy, the physical workload of the project landing was expected to increase.

2024-07-25 10:00:09

On July 20, 2021, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a notice on the implementation measures of capacity replacement in the cement and glass industry. The revised Measures for the Implementation of Capacity Replacement in the Cement and Glass Industry will come into effect on August 1, 2021.

2024-07-24 12:08:35

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the northeast region continued to implement the staggered peak kiln shutdown, clinker supply shortage, 5-10 days to push up 50-60 yuan/ton.

2024-07-12 17:29:19

According to the cement network market data center news, thanks to the staggered peak kiln, most of the market is relatively stable.

2024-07-12 15:50:01

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, heavy rainfall is prevalent in East China this week, with mountain torrents and floods in some areas. Many construction sites have been shut down, cement demand has plummeted, and cement prices have fallen slightly.

2024-07-12 15:40:36

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, Liaoning cement market sales are stable, and the price of cement has been raised by 60 yuan/ton since the 5th. The price increase is expected to be good, and the price fluctuation in Heiji area needs attention.

2024-07-05 17:21:53

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, heavy rainfall is prevalent in East China this week, with mountain torrents and floods in some areas. Many construction sites have been shut down, cement demand has plummeted, and cement prices have fallen slightly.

2024-07-05 16:08:54

According to the data center of China Cement Network, the cost of cement production has risen, and the price of cement in Dali and Lijiang areas of Yunnan has risen again by 30 yuan/ton. The market demand in Sichuan and Chongqing is weak, and local cement prices have fallen.

2024-06-28 17:06:31

According to the cement network market data center news, this week, the price of cement in Northeast China is stable, the peak is over, and the kiln lines resume operation.

2024-06-21 16:28:46

According to the market data of China Cement Net, the price increase in some areas of central and southern Hebei has not been effective, while the demand in northern Hebei has declined due to the high temperature, and the overall price has remained stable; the demand in Shanxi Province is weak, and the implementation of the price increase remains to be observed; the market in Inner Mongolia is relatively stable.

2024-06-21 15:42:33

Cement prices in Gansu and Qinghai were temporarily stable after rising this week, while the actual implementation range in Ningxia was narrowed, according to the cement market data center. The overall performance of Shaanxi market is stable.

2024-06-21 15:30:08

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the price of cement in some markets in Sichuan and Chongqing has been raised by 50-130 yuan/ton, which is a large increase, and the actual implementation remains to be observed.

2024-06-14 20:06:50

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, this week, the second round of cement prices in Guangxi began to rise by 30-40 yuan/ton in a month, while cement prices in Guangdong were mixed.

2024-06-14 19:47:39

According to China Cement Market Data Center, cement prices in Northwest China continue to rise under the influence of the new national standard and the policy of staggering peak and stopping kilns.

2024-06-14 17:35:49

According to the data center of China Cement Market, the price increase of cement in Northeast China has been well implemented, and the new national standard and peak staggering production support the market.

2024-06-07 17:05:38

According to the cement network market data center news, the implementation of the new national standard, the cost of cement increased, Gansu Wuwei, Ningxia, northern Shaanxi major enterprises notice to raise the price of cement 30-50 yuan/ton, the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-06-07 13:57:03

According to the industry, the main reasons for the rise in cement prices in many places in this round are as follows: 1. Cement prices have been at the cost line in the early stage, and cement enterprises have a strong willingness to raise prices and reduce losses; 2. Most regions continue to carry out peak-shifting production measures, and the relationship between supply and demand in the market has improved; 3. The new national standard for cement will be implemented on June 1, and the implementation of the new national standard will increase the cost of cement production.

2024-05-31 09:52:50

According to the market data of China Cement Net, the price of cement in Guizhou has bottomed out and rebounded. Around the 20th, enterprises in most parts of the province notified the price of cement to be raised by 20-50 yuan/ton, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-05-24 15:36:32

How is the cement industry in Hubei? Faced with the current situation, what are the views of cement enterprises in the region?

2024-05-23 13:38:17

According to the data center of China Cement Market, the overall demand for cement in East China has been bleak in recent years, and cement prices in many places have been lowered to varying degrees.

2024-05-17 17:31:09

Even from the above four aspects, it is still difficult to fundamentally solve the problem of excess cement production capacity in Henan. If orderly competition and cooperation can not be achieved, the competition between "advanced production capacity and relatively advanced production capacity" will eventually change into the confrontation between "advanced production capacity and advanced production capacity".

2024-05-13 15:30:38

Generally speaking, the regional trend shows the characteristics of "rising in the north and falling in the south", and the national market shocks downward.

2024-05-13 11:37:00

China Cement Network Market Data Center News, around May 1, leading enterprises in many places in Northeast China notified an increase in cement prices of about 50 yuan/ton. After the shutdown of the kiln, clinker stocks declined. At present, the implementation of the price increase is better.

2024-05-11 16:51:41

According to the data center of China Cement Market, prices in some parts of East China have declined this week, but many places have stabilized prices.

2024-05-11 16:48:37

According to the market data of China Cement Network, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has once again tried to push up prices, and major enterprises in Baotou and Tongliao regions of Inner Mongolia have also tried to push up prices, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-05-11 16:05:21

From the perspective of policy purpose, peak staggering production and capacity replacement are indeed two important strategies for the supply-side structural reform of the cement industry, but why is it that after several years of development, the overcapacity of the cement industry has become more and more serious, and the effect of the supply-side structural reform of the cement industry has gradually disappeared?

2024-05-11 09:30:03

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the overall market demand performance is general, Chongqing and Guizhou parts of the week pushed up 30 yuan/ton, the implementation is not yet clear. Cement prices in some markets in Sichuan and Yunnan have dropped by about 20-30 yuan/ton.

2024-04-28 09:42:11

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center News, Northeast China: Northeast market demand is weak and stable, cement prices have loosened.

2024-04-19 16:57:31

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, since the middle of the year, many enterprises in Sichuan and Chongqing have notified the price of cement to be raised by 15-30 yuan/ton. At present, the implementation is mostly around 10-20 yuan/ton. The market demand and sales volume in Yunnan-Guizhou region is low, and the price of cement in some markets has dropped by 10-20 yuan/ton in the week, and the range in some regions is about 40 yuan/ton.

2024-04-19 16:50:45

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, this week, all regions basically completed a round of general rise, but the implementation of individual regions is not good.

2024-04-19 15:53:19

According to the cement market data center news, the overall market demand is weak, and the cement market is weak.

2024-04-19 15:41:42

According to the data center of China Cement Market, the demand in many places is not good, and the price of cement is under pressure.

2024-04-08 10:15:54

In 2024, the setting of Xinjiang's economic development target indicates that the cement market demand will continue to grow, and the market is expected to remain stable.

2024-03-26 14:06:11

It is understood that the price rise is mainly due to the gradual and slight recovery of market demand in Tibet, while in the first quarter, Tibet is in the off-peak kiln shutdown, cement clinker inventory is low, coupled with the increase in electricity costs of enterprises.

2024-03-22 16:01:43

Although the price of cement in Wuhai area of Inner Mongolia has been raised, in fact, the market demand has not recovered, and the price still has a downward trend. As Inner Mongolia is classified as a high-risk debt province, a large number of projects have been suspended and the demand for cement has dropped sharply. It is estimated that the demand may shrink by about 40%. At present, the daily shipment volume of each cement plant is more than 1,000 tons, and it is expected to resume normal operation in the middle and late April.

2024-03-22 13:13:15

From 21-22, some leading enterprises in Dali, Lijiang, Diqing and other regions notified an increase in cement prices by 50-60 yuan/ton.

2024-03-22 13:02:22

Cement demand in 2024 is expected to continue the trend of the previous two years and continue to decrease. The downstream of cement is mainly divided into three parts: infrastructure, real estate and new rural construction. It is expected that the demand for infrastructure and rural market will remain stable. The key is whether the growth rate of real estate investment can stabilize and rebound, thus supporting the demand for cement.

2024-03-18 13:43:28

In order to survive and develop in the fierce market competition, cement enterprises must abandon the illusion of relying on others to "give" opportunities, and win the recognition and respect of the market through self-innovation and promotion.