量价双降 利润萎缩 2023年水泥行业能否触底反弹?

2023-02-02 16:26:43

度过2022年的“凛冬”,展望2023年,水泥行业有望迎来复苏。

过去一年,水泥行业的日子并不好过。

从价格走势来看,2022年全国水泥价格指数走势整体不断下行,价格重心逐步下移,水泥价格跌跌不止。

据中国水泥网了解,近日披露业绩预告的上市公司大都表现欠佳,已公布业绩预告的水泥企业,几乎均出现净利润同比大幅下滑的状况,不少企业出现亏损,西藏天路、福建水泥等公司预计亏损超2亿元。

在2022年业绩不佳的原因上,水泥企业们达成了共识。

1月30日,海螺水泥发布2022年度业绩预告,预计2022年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为139.73亿元到166.33亿元,与上年同期(法定披露数据)相比,将减少166.34亿元到192.94 亿元,同比减少50%到58%。

公告称业绩预减的主要原因为:2022 年,受房地产市场下行、疫情反复等因素影响,水泥市场需求下滑,公司水泥产品销价及销量同比下降;同时受煤炭价格及电价上涨影响,公司产品成本同比上升。

无独有偶,预计净利下滑一半以上的天山股份公告表示,业绩变动主要原因系本报告期内,受新冠疫情反复及房地产开发投资增速下滑等因素影响,市场需求减少,导致天山水泥主要产品水泥熟料和商品混凝土的销量和价格同比有不同程度下降。受煤炭等主要原燃材料价格上涨影响,水泥熟料成本同比上升。

除此之外,冀东水泥、华新水泥等多家净利腰斩的企业均表示,2022年业绩下滑的主要原因是受到疫情反复影响和地产下行的拖累,加之煤炭等能源价格上涨导致成本上升。

受上述因素影响,预计2022年水泥行业利润将下滑至700-800亿元,较2021年的1694亿元,大跌50%以上。

不过,度过2022年的“凛冬”,展望2023年,水泥行业有望迎来复苏。

在地产方面,近期政策面利好较多,均指向地产需求侧,有望带动房屋销售企稳回升。虽然房地产行业整体难以回到以往高增长时代,但随着行业态势的改善,将有利于稳定水泥市场需求。

基建方面,新年以来,全国各地重大项目密集开工,其中不乏许多基建工程。如今,疫情的影响甚微,随着投资力度的恢复,2023年基建项目和民用市场有望为水泥需求提供较为明显的支撑。

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Correlation

In the first half of 2024, Conch Cement realized an operating income of RMB45.566 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.44%, and a net profit attributable to parent company of RMB3.326 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 48.56%.

2024-08-30 14:56:13

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the Northeast region shut down the kiln again for 15 days in August, which played a supporting role in cement prices.

2024-07-26 17:06:09

In the first half of this year, due to the continuous decline in real estate investment, the slowdown in infrastructure investment and the impact of rainy weather, the downstream demand of the cement industry was insufficient, the contradiction between supply and demand intensified, and the sales volume and price of the company's products declined year on year, resulting in a decline in operating income and profits.

2024-07-11 14:22:17

Tapai Group issued a performance forecast for the first half of 2024. The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company during the reporting period was RMB218,586,600 to RMB242,874,000, representing a decrease of 55% to 50% as compared with the same period of last year.

2024-07-09 09:30:18

The serious decline in demand, coupled with the fierce market competition, the low opening and low going of cement prices, continued to bottom out, and the loss of the industry expanded. The loss of the industry in the first quarter exceeded that of 2016, and the pressure of enterprise operation was unprecedented.

2024-05-31 14:35:19

Affected by insufficient infrastructure support and the continuous downturn of real estate, the demand of cement industry continued to be weak throughout the year. In 2023, the national cement output was 2.023 billion tons, down 5% from the same period last year. Under the influence of the decline in demand, the contradiction of excess capacity was further intensified, the market competition was extremely fierce, the price of cement dropped significantly, the industry profit shrank sharply again, the annual profit dropped by more than 50%, the development of the cement industry entered an unprecedented difficult period, and many companies suffered heavy losses.

2024-05-23 14:01:48

In 2023, Shanshui Cement realized business income of 18.116 billion yuan, down 15.69% year on year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies was-884 million yuan, down 217.02% year on year.

2024-05-14 09:59:23

In 2023, Tianrui Cement realized an operating income of 7.889 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.64%; the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies was -634 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 241.27%..

2024-05-07 16:04:50

Recently, a number of cement listed companies have been surveyed by institutions and expressed their views and judgments on the market trend this year.

2024-04-18 11:15:12

We will make every effort to promote the development of aggregate industry and the development of production capacity, promote the layout of commercial and mixed industries, and create new profit growth points.

2024-04-16 17:29:01

Although Shanshui Cement can not fully represent the situation of other enterprises in Shandong region, the situation of falling volume and price makes Shandong cement industry face severe challenges in the first quarter of 2024.

2024-04-12 10:53:41

CNBM is a comprehensive building materials enterprise, and the aggregate business is an extension of the cement business of the company's basic building materials sector.

2024-01-03 11:33:34

2023年前三季度,天山股份实现营业收入803.87亿元,同比下降18.5%,归属于母公司股东净利润0.51亿元,同比下降98.75%。

2023-10-30 09:46:41

非洲国家整体经济落后,未来城镇化和基础设施建设空间较大,多数水泥大国均面临产能严重过剩局面,未来投资机会较为稀缺。但也有些国家经济发展潜力大,水泥需求强劲,加之当地水泥产能利用率低下,水泥供需出现缺口,市场机会值得把握。

2023-09-27 11:26:29

2023年上半年,中国建材实现营业收入1023.74亿元,同比下降8.5%,归属于母公司净利润14.04亿元,同比减少74.9%。

2023-08-29 16:08:17

2023年上半年,冀东水泥主营业务销售量同比增长14%,但由于市场价格跌至低位,营业收入不升反降,归母净利润较去年同期下降132%……

2023-08-29 15:34:47

2023年上半年,由于水泥行业景气度下行,天瑞水泥主营业务中的水泥和熟料销量及售价均出现下滑,仅有骨料业务实现增长。在营收下滑、毛利走低等因素影响下,天瑞水泥利润降幅出现大幅回撤……

2023-08-24 17:20:37

2023年上半年,华润水泥实现营业收入121.73亿港元,同比减少24.5%,归属于母公司净利润6.21亿港元,同比下降65.6%,毛利率15.63%,比去年同期下降4.86个百分点。

2023-08-23 11:35:40

上半年,西部水泥(2233.HK)实现营业收入43.98亿元,同比增长5.93%,实现水泥销量914万吨,同比增长5%(国内销量下滑,海外销量大增)。

2023-08-22 17:23:31

进入7月传统淡季,受雨水天气影响,河北邢台、邯郸地区市场需求表现欠佳,企业出货量不高,库存高位运行。

2023-07-14 16:39:52

陕西地区虽部分工程施工情况较好,散装水泥需求有所提升,但民用水泥需求仍不高。

2023-06-09 17:21:17

2022年,冀东水泥实现营业收入345.44亿元,同比下降4.94%,归属于上市公司股东净利润13.58亿元,同比下降51.69%。

2023-04-25 15:52:22

2022年,天瑞水泥共实现营业收入110.55亿元,同比下降13.06%。归属于上市公司股东的净利润为4.49亿元,同比下降62.63%。

2023-04-25 15:08:11

2022年,山水水泥共实现营业收入214.89亿元,同比下降12.86%。归属于上市公司股东的净利润为7.49亿元,同比下降73.04%。

2023-04-25 14:55:49

2022年,西部建设实现营业收入248.56亿元,同比减少7.69%,归属于上市公司净利润5.51亿元,同比减少34.82%……

2023-04-20 16:53:42

进入四月,多地水泥价格下跌,市场走势有反常态,为一探究竟,中国水泥网水泥大数据研究院近期对广东、福建部分水泥企业进行了实地走访和调研,了解最新情况……

2023-04-17 16:17:23

2023年一季度,塔牌集团预计实现归属于上市公司股东净利润2.16-2.42亿元,同比大幅增长310%-360%。

2023-04-11 16:58:13

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2023-03-31 17:15:28

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2023-03-24 17:24:43

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2023-03-17 17:28:35

开春以后,中国水泥网水泥大数据研究院密切关注下游复工情况,对水泥企业进行了密集走访和调研,听取行业呼声,探讨未来走势……

2023-02-24 14:03:03

针对2023年未来市场走势,近期海螺水泥、天山股份、塔牌集团等在回答投资者提问时给出了回复。

2023-02-04 13:23:44

2023年了,大家对自己去年一年的收入还满意吗?水泥企业们最近发布了各自的盈利预告,一起来看看吧。

2023-02-03 17:24:03

度过2022年的“凛冬”,展望2023年,水泥行业有望迎来复苏。

2023-02-02 16:26:43

2022年受房地产景气度下行、疫情反复等多种负面因素影响,下游施工强度和施工工时均不及同年同期水平,市场需求明显走弱,混凝土行业出现量价齐跌的情况,企业普遍出现亏损……

2023-02-01 09:51:55

2022年,水泥行业遇到了前所未有的困难。2023年新春复工以来,全国多地掀起重大项目密集开工潮,其中不乏许多基建工程,水泥需求能否借此迎来复苏呢?

2023-01-31 09:13:53

最近,20家水泥上市企业前三季度业绩表出来了,海螺、天山等业内龙头营收、净利双降,水泥企业集体陷入了业绩下行的困境。

2022-11-04 17:20:43

李坤明认为,2022年四季度,水泥行业供需关系相较于三季度会有一定程度好转,水泥价格将会有所反弹。在需求弱恢复的背景下,水泥价格虽然有上涨空间,但是空间会较为有限。全年来看,水泥需求将面临较大下行压力,行业效益难言乐观。

2022-11-02 09:31:20

中国水泥网行情中心数据显示,近一周以来河南、安徽、浙江、江苏、湖南、两广等地水泥企业相继发布涨价通知。

2022-09-23 09:32:00

2022年上半年,华新水泥实现营业收入143.89亿元,同比下降2.41%,归属于母公司净利润15.87亿元,同比下滑34.92%。

2022-09-22 14:24:51

2022年上半年,冀东水泥实现营业收入168.45亿元,同比增长3.24%;归属于上市公司股东净利润11.41亿元,同比下降7.08%。

2022-09-20 01:43:05

针对行业环境变化,公司从成本端、销售端着手,开源节流,降本增效。

2022-09-14 14:48:23

2022年上半年,天瑞水泥实现营业收入53.21亿元,同比下降7.18%,归属于母公司净利润4.57亿元,同比下降39.26%,净资产收益率4.99%,比去年同期下降2.16个百分点。

2022-09-13 14:39:11

2022年上半年,山水水泥实现营业收入101.32亿元,同比微降2.51%,归属于母公司净利润4.77亿元,同比大降60.37%,净资产收益率4.63%,比去年同期下降7.41个百分点。

2022-09-13 10:53:11

2022年上半年,中国建材实现营业收入1089.6亿元,同比下降10.6%,归属于母公司净利润54.5亿元,同比下降31.2%,净资产收益率5.31%,比去年同期下降3.3个百分点。

2022-09-09 16:50:44

2022年上半年,万年青实现营业收入58.44亿元,同比下降1.79%,归属于母公司净利润4.92亿元,同比下降40.53%,毛利率19.58%,较同期降低8.75个百分点。

2022-09-08 09:31:38

多数企业上半年产量出现明显下降,收入或净利润出现大幅下滑或亏损,仅两家企业净利润呈上涨趋势。

2022-09-02 09:46:36

我们最新统计的水泥上市企业半年业绩报表,大部分企业利润出现下滑,有的企业甚至还出现了亏损,这一大片绿彷佛年初的基金,看的人凉飕飕的。

2022-08-31 17:46:22

2022年上半年,华润水泥实现营业收入161.2亿港元,同比减少20.1%,归属于母公司净利润18.05亿港元,同比下降50.3%,毛利率20.49%,比去年同期下降10.6个百分点。

2022-08-24 16:48:39

2022年上半年国内在疫情和天气因素的影响下,施工项目进展缓慢,尤其是地产项目施工量出现负增长,拖累混凝土市场需求,至6月底,全国混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)报收146.09点,季度内价格跌幅为2.35%,同比上涨1.35%……

2022-07-25 15:42:00

On November 21, the Western Construction (002302) issued a prospectus for issuing stocks to specific targets in 2021. The company plans to introduce Conch Cement as a strategic investor through this issue, and Conch Cement will subscribe for 183 million shares, accounting for 12.48% of the total equity after the issue, becoming the second largest shareholder. The purpose of this issue is to optimize the capital structure, supplement liquidity and repay bank loans, which is expected to bring the company an annual increase of 8.85 billion yuan in operating income and a total profit of 708 million yuan, up 38.71% and 78.23% respectively from 2023.