中国水泥网:需求同比下滑30%—35%!2023年陕西水泥市场不容乐观

2023-01-06 10:46:36

综合陕西各市水泥企业的观点,大家普遍对2023年的水泥市场持悲观态度。

日前,中国水泥网在调研陕西省水泥市场情况时获悉,今年以来,面对多轮疫情冲击和经济下行压力,加之受煤炭价格上涨、市场需求不足等因素影响,陕西省水泥企业生产成本上升,产品利润空间被压缩,全省水泥行业稳定运行承压明显。

量价双降 2022年陕西水泥行业利润下滑明显

“2022年陕西全省水泥需求同比下滑了30%—35%左右。”陕西榆林市一水泥企业负责人对中国水泥网表示,该企业2022年水泥销量同比略低,熟料销量与往年持平,但产量相对稳定的原因在于企业产能小,覆盖市场面也小,而这并不代表全省的普遍情况。

从陕西各市的调研情况来看,产量大幅下滑才是诸多水泥企业2022年的真实写照。

“今年情况很惨,去年熟料卖了150多万吨,今年才卖了100万吨左右,去年水泥卖了百万吨,今年仅卖了60多万吨。”在2022年底调研时,铜川市一民营水泥企业生产负责人向中国水泥网无奈反映。

铜川市另一水泥企业则表示,该企业的粉磨能力和熟料生产能力不匹配,企业生产的熟料还要供给本集团在周边市县的粉磨站,尽管企业2022年水泥产量与往年持平,但熟料产量少生产了80多万吨。“从熟料产量来看,我们整个集团的产量都是下降的。”

渭南市一水泥企业透露,受房地产下行和疫情反复影响下,企业2022年水泥、熟料产量比往年都少了几十万吨。

“2022年产量跟往年同期相比下降5%—10%左右,水泥价格下滑更多。”宝鸡市一水泥企业表示。

产量下降的同时,陕西水泥价格也表现欠佳。

从中国水泥网跟踪的陕西水泥价格走势图可以看出,陕西省上半年水泥价格相对稳定,但进入下半年,水泥价格逐步下滑,全年均价表现一般。

“水泥销量、价格都下跌,但是煤价却一直都在高位,煤价高的时候1600元/吨左右,全年煤炭均价在1200元/吨左右,利润被拖垮了。”榆林市一水泥企业负责人反馈道。

2023年陕西水泥市场不容乐观

“我预计2023年价格、需求都还会下降,房地产情况不乐观,重点项目发力又不明显”、“三年之内,能够保持目前的水泥需求和价格现状,就已经是很不错了”、“2023年会比2022年更惨,需求还会下降,水泥价格能维持住就很不容易”……综合陕西各市水泥企业的观点,大家普遍对2023年的水泥市场持悲观态度。

即便是竞争力强劲的新投产生产线企业对2023年看法也十分谨慎,“我们虽然是新投产的生产线,生产成本优势很大,但是作为老牌国企,人力成本、社会责任等方面的成本加起来,综合成本压力并不小。”铜川当地一水泥大企认为,按照目前各项推进重大项目的宏观政策来看,2023年水泥需求预计会有一个缓慢上升的情况,但是水泥价格能否维持不好说,因为影响价格的因素太多。

“2023年我是非常悲观的,2022年加起来总共就生产了半年左右时间,现在库里的熟料,估计到3月错峰生产结束都卖不完。”铜川另一水泥企业无奈表示。

2022年11月底,陕西省水泥协会印发了《陕西水泥行业2022-2023年冬季错峰生产方案》,要求全省所有水泥熟料生产线2022年12月1日0时-2023年3月10日24时,期间错峰停产100天。

从陕西各企业的反馈来看,目前陕西并未有延长错峰时间或其他有效措施来缓解当前的困境。

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Correlation

Looking forward to the fourth quarter, we believe that the demand for cement will continue to weaken, but under the background of the rising voice of "anti-involution" and the increasing awareness of self-help in the industry, enterprises will intensify their efforts to limit production, cement prices are expected to rise, and industry benefits will continue to be restored. Throughout the year, cement demand will face greater downward pressure, and the industry's profit decline is still large.

2024-10-30 17:15:19

Domestic high temperature rain weather has not yet subsided, downstream construction activity is still low, the concrete market is relatively flat, and the market price is stable. From August 15 to August 21, the national concrete price index closed at 114.16 points, down 0.28% annually and 11.40% year-on-year.

2024-08-23 17:35:52

According to the cement network market data center news, Ningxia prices continue to decline; Shaanxi region recently due to the contradiction between supply and demand and price competition led to a larger price reduction.

2024-08-02 16:39:35

Looking forward to the second half of 2024, we believe that the demand for cement will improve compared with the first half of the year, and the price will continue to rebound. However, under the constraints of weak demand and serious overcapacity, the repair of cement price is limited. Throughout the year, cement demand will face

2024-08-01 09:19:52

Rainfall continued in many parts of the country, local typhoons invaded, downstream construction was slow, and concrete prices fell steadily. From July 18th to July 24th, the national concrete price index closed at 116.05 points, down 0.58%.

2024-07-26 20:17:51

According to the cement network market data center news, the market in Guanzhong area of Shaanxi Province is affected by multiple factors, with a price decline of 40-50 yuan/ton.

2024-07-19 15:25:30

Rainwater in the south has decreased recently, but the growth rate of downstream construction demand is limited, and the price of concrete is mainly stable. From June 27th to July 3rd, the national concrete price index closed at 117.92 points, and the ring ratio remained stable.

2024-07-05 17:34:54

The recent rainy weather is still continuing, the downstream construction progress is slow, local shutdown occurs, and the price of concrete is stable and small. From June 20th to June 26th, the national concrete price index closed at 117.92 points, down 0.19% from the previous month.

2024-06-28 18:10:43

In the first quarter of 2024, the demand for infrastructure fell short of expectations, housing projects continued to shrink, and the concrete industry continued to weaken. By the end of March, the National Concrete Price Index (CONCPI) closed at 122.38 points, down 1.8% from the beginning of the year. Compared with the same period in 2023, the concrete price index fell by 12.8%.

2024-04-22 10:18:23

According to the cement network market data center news, the Xinjiang market has started, but the overall demand recovery is not up to expectations.

2024-04-12 17:22:10

Looking forward to the second quarter, with the gradual stabilization of real estate and the accelerated issuance of special bonds, demand is expected to continue to release, but we should also be alert to the adverse factors such as insufficient funds, the arrival of rainy season and busy farming season, the amount of project start-up may be variable, the overall demand may still be less than the same period, and the space for cement price to rise under high inventory pressure. It is expected that the profit level may be at a low level in recent years.

2024-04-12 16:16:19

The general aggregate market is already fighting in the Red Sea, while the high-end fine aggregate market is still the blue sea market.

2024-04-03 14:16:17

The two carriages of real estate and infrastructure construction work together to drive the demand for cement to pick up.

2024-03-07 13:20:30

On March 28-29, China Cement Network will hold the "13th China Cement Industry Summit and TOP100 Award Ceremony" in Hangzhou. During the conference, awards will be given to the top 100 cement and supplier enterprises. At the same time, experts and scholars, China Railway and other construction units will be invited to discuss the new development trend of the cement industry in the future, and work together to create the future!

2024-02-27 09:41:58

"The sales volume, price and benefit of our enterprises in 2023 are all lower than those in 2022." Recently, a cement enterprise in Lanzhou said that the average price of cement dropped by 100 yuan/ton compared with the same period last year.

2024-01-15 13:46:05

难关未过,未来已来。接下来,让我们一起回顾2023年水泥行业热点事件,总结过往,戮力前行。

2023-12-28 11:49:29

2023年,下游终端市场仍然面临资金偏紧的局面,多数区域施工增量不及预期,加之上游企业竞争加剧,成本端支撑乏力,混凝土行业易跌难涨,效益进一步走弱……

2023-12-21 09:21:01

10月份,国内施工条件尚可,加之基建资金到位率提升,局部施工有所加快,但总体需求仍不及往年同期水平,混凝土价格涨跌幅度较小。截至10月底,全国混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)报收125.04点,较9月底下跌0.49%,与去年同期相比,价格跌幅为12.02%……

2023-11-01 16:35:31

按六大区域划分,上市公司在华北、华东以及中南地区水泥营收总体降幅较大。其中,华东和中南地区价格竞争充分,降价风险已基本释放,后续价格存在回升空间,但节奏仍有待观察……

2023-10-30 19:14:58

东北、陕西关中、河南水泥价格喊涨 1.广西政府资金支持水泥外运对广东市场影响几何? 2.连涨连跌,水泥涨价咋这么难 3.天山股份高层人事变动 4.水泥价格跌幅超过50% 新的时代已经开启

2023-10-11 15:05:15

2023年上半年,陕西省的固定资产投资和基础建设投资的增速均下降,省市重点建设项目有所增长,陕西省暂无新增熟料生产线投产,供给方面保持稳定。

2023-08-25 13:23:45

国内普遍处于高温多雨的淡季状态,下游施工强度偏低,混凝土出货量多有下滑,混凝土价格稳中有降。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收132.11点,环比下跌0.20%,同比跌幅为8.75%……

2023-07-14 17:17:52

6月初全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为126.23点,月末报收117.61点,环比下跌7.06%,同比下跌19.09%。

2023-07-04 15:22:40

6月,全国玻璃价格下跌,月末全国玻璃价格指数报收129.55点,环比下跌8.26%……

2023-07-04 10:12:44

多地水泥价格已跌回5月涨前水平。

2023-06-30 17:16:56

[水泥大数据研究院]水泥产业链指数运行周报(2023.6.30)

2023-06-30 17:16:52

南方受到雨热天气影响,市场处于淡季状态,混凝土需求多有下滑,混凝土价格以跌为主。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收132.71点,环比下跌0.92%,同比跌幅为9.52%……

2023-06-30 17:13:43

近期国内部分项目进入收尾阶段,新增项目跟进乏力,混凝土需求呈现下滑趋势,加之成本持续回落,企业报价仍然以跌为主。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收136.22点,环比下跌0.73%,同比跌幅为8.22%……

2023-06-02 16:40:14

5月份,南方阴雨天气持续,混凝土市场需求仍有所下滑,加之成本回落明显,国内商混价格出现普跌。截至5月底,全国混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)报收136.22点,较4月底下跌1.81%,与去年同期相比,价格跌幅为8.22%……

2023-06-01 16:40:45

5月初全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为135.74点,月末报收126.54点,环比下跌6.77%,同比下跌20.46%

2023-06-01 15:50:55

[水泥大数据研究院]水泥产业链指数运行周报(2023.5.26)

2023-05-26 17:26:49

本周北方局部需求略有增加,但整体仍处于偏低水平,而南方市场雨水偏多,混凝土需求稳中有降,市场价格以跌为主,本周全国混凝土价格指数报收137.22点,环比下跌0.36%,同比跌幅为7.86%……

2023-05-26 17:12:09

[水泥大数据研究院]水泥产业链指数运行周报(2023.5.19)

2023-05-19 17:20:22

近期下游局部施工活动强度略有走弱,国内混凝土需求弱势运行,混凝土价格变动以跌为主。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收137.71点,环比下跌0.24%,同比跌幅为7.64%……

2023-05-19 16:49:59

当前下游需求羸弱,加之阴雨天气频发,预计本周水泥价格将延续弱势运行态势。

2023-05-15 09:47:38

本周五,全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)报收132.55点,环比下跌1.81%,同比下跌19.89%。

2023-05-13 10:41:33

本周北方市场需求略有好转,但由于南方多地受雨水天气影响,整体需求弱势运行,混凝土报价多有下调。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收138.73点,环比下跌0.50%,同比跌幅为7.49%……

2023-05-12 15:12:09

“我们现阶段就是以保市场为主。”

2023-05-10 15:31:31

4月份,国内降水量增多,下游施工项目进度放缓,混凝土市场需求趋弱运行,企业价格调整以跌为主。截至4月底,全国混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)报收138.73点,较3月底下跌1.10%,与去年同期相比,价格跌幅为7.03%……

2023-05-05 17:39:12

2023年春节较早,同时疫情因素消退,下游复工情况较好,众多重大项目开工建设,一季度整体需求好于同期,水泥产量增加,价格出现一定幅度反弹,但由于本期水泥价格较低,加之煤炭降幅有限,成本仍在高位,预计水泥行业利润同比出现大幅萎缩。展望二季度,随着基建项目的持续发力、地产逐步探底企稳,二季度需求有望继续释放,但也应该警惕随着雨季及农忙时节的到来,需求好转程度存在变数,同时新投产线压力下水泥价格上涨空间受到压制,预计效益虽有好转但绝对利润水平可能仍较低。

2023-04-28 15:54:25

2023年一季度,全国砂石价格先抑后扬。截至3月底,全国碎石价格指数(CSPI)报收87.85点,同比下跌7.83%,较1月初上涨0.08%;全国机制砂价格指数(MSPI)报收94.26点,同比下跌5.78%,较1月初上涨0.24%。

2023-04-27 15:50:13

2023年一季度基建端需求表现较好,但由于房建市场开工仍偏弱,混凝土行业效益同比继续下滑。截至3月底,全国混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)报收140.28点,相较于年初下跌0.24%,同比下跌6.63%,规模以上企业商混产量预计同比下滑6.2%左右……

2023-04-26 17:22:17

近期国内局部仍有阴雨天气,混凝土市场需求整体呈现稳中有降的趋势,多数区域价格弱稳运行,东北地区跌幅较大。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收138.73点,环比下跌0.52%,同比下跌7.24%……

2023-04-21 16:56:47

2022年,西部建设实现营业收入248.56亿元,同比减少7.69%,归属于上市公司净利润5.51亿元,同比减少34.82%……

2023-04-20 16:53:42

近期上游原材料价格有所回落,加之多数区域需求恢复情况一般,混凝土价格走势稳中有降,尤其是东北局部降幅明显。本周全国混凝土价格指数报收139.46点,环比下跌0.61%,同比下跌6.78%……

2023-04-14 22:22:49

水泥行业应该如何应对才能稳住市场态势?

2023-04-10 09:39:55

三月下旬以来,随着气温逐渐回升,甘肃陇南地区需求恢复情况相对较好,企业出货在5-6成左右,加之周边四川市场涨价带动,本地企业涨价意愿强烈。

2023-04-07 17:42:17

3月受基建项目拉动,下游施工量环比有所增加,但多数地区市场需求尚未恢复至往年同期水平,混凝土价格稳中偏强运行。截至3月底,全国混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)报收140.28点,较2月底上涨0.37%,与去年同期相比,价格跌幅为6.63%……

2023-04-04 09:16:13

受假期因素影响,1月至2月中旬混凝土市场基本处于停滞状态,价格走势阴跌为主。3月份开始,市场需求缓慢恢复,局部混凝土价格跟随成本小幅上调。整体来看,一季度全国商品混凝土价格指数(CONCPI)环比下跌1.25%……

2023-04-03 09:08:04