[Special Topic] Cement Market Operation Analysis and Outlook in the First Quarter of 2023

2023-04-28 15:54:25

The overall demand in the first quarter was better than same period, cement production increased, and the price rebounded to a certain extent. However, due to the low price of cement in the current period, coupled with the limited decline in coal, the cost is still high, and it is expected that the profit of the cement industry will shrink significantly year-on-year. Looking forward to the second quarter, with the continuous development of infrastructure projects and the gradual stabilization of real estate, the demand in the second quarter is expected to continue to release, but we should also be alert that with the arrival of the rainy season and the busy farming season, there are variables in the degree of demand improvement. At the same time, under the pressure of new production lines, the rising space of cement prices is suppressed, and it is expected that although the benefits will improve, the absolute profit level may still be low.

In 2023, the Spring Festival was earlier, the epidemic factors subsided, the downstream resumption of work was better, many major projects started construction, the overall demand in the first quarter was better than same period, the cement output increased, and the price rebounded to a certain extent, but due to the low price of cement in this period , coupled with the limited decline in coal, the price of cement in the first quarter was higher than that in the first quarter. The cost is still high, and the profit of the cement industry is expected to shrink sharply year on year. Looking forward to the second quarter, with the continuous development of infrastructure projects and the gradual stabilization of real estate, the demand in the second quarter is expected to continue to release, but we should also be alert that with the arrival of the rainy season and the busy farming season, there are variables in the degree of demand improvement. At the same time, under the pressure of new production lines, the rising space of cement prices is suppressed, and it is expected that although the benefits will improve, the absolute profit level may still be low.

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The overall demand in the first quarter was better than same period, cement production increased, and the price rebounded to a certain extent. However, due to the low price of cement in the current period, coupled with the limited decline in coal, the cost is still high, and it is expected that the profit of the cement industry will shrink significantly year-on-year. Looking forward to the second quarter, with the continuous development of infrastructure projects and the gradual stabilization of real estate, the demand in the second quarter is expected to continue to release, but we should also be alert that with the arrival of the rainy season and the busy farming season, there are variables in the degree of demand improvement. At the same time, under the pressure of new production lines, the rising space of cement prices is suppressed, and it is expected that although the benefits will improve, the absolute profit level may still be low.

2023-04-28 15:54:25

The Port Coal Price Statistics Table shows the port coal prices in different regions. On the whole, some prices have changed and some have remained stable. In the data with price changes, the price of some coal in some ports has a relatively large range of change, for example, the price of general bituminous coal with 5500 calorific value and closing price in Qinhuangdao Port, Caofeidian Port and Jingtang Port has decreased; while the price of some coal in Sime Darby Port, Rugao Port and other ports has not changed, and the range of change is relatively small. In terms of statistical time, it involves the price comparison between September 25 and October 9, 2025.