需求持续减少,水泥行情止涨转跌

2023-11-27 13:33:51

总的来看,仅有少数地区仍在推涨,全国水泥价格行情止涨转跌。

上周五,全国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)报收110.21点,环比下跌0.66%,同比下跌28.37%。

北方地区受低温天气影响,市场需求进入淡季,水泥价格弱稳运行;南方部分地区虽有工程赶工,但终端需求整体较为疲弱,市场销量下滑。总的来看,仅有少数地区仍在推涨,全国水泥价格行情止涨转跌。

分区域看,本周六大区域涨跌互现。西北地区供应受限,水泥价格走高2.86%;西南地区错峰停窑,水泥价格微涨0.21%;华东地区需求走弱,水泥价格下行1.57%;华北地区出货下降,水泥价格较上周下跌0.74%;中南地区销量一般,水泥价格下行0.24%;东北地区进入冬休,水泥价格维稳。

表1:六大区域水泥价格指数变化

数据来源:水泥大数据(https://data.ccement.com/)

具体而言:

华东地区

江苏:天气尚可,需求仍弱于往年同期,市场信心不足,中旬徐州推涨20元/吨后,实际成交价格并未执行到位,扬泰市场亦有小幅回落情况。

浙江:市场需求一般,出库量不佳,杭州、嘉兴、湖州、绍兴、金华、衢州等地实际成交价格松动下滑15-20元/吨。

安徽:需求一般,部分地区实际成交价格仍处继续下滑状态。

福建:天气晴好居多,但市场需求较为疲软,为稳定市场价格,24日起主导企业有意推动上调水泥价格20元/吨,本轮价格最终能否落实仍有待观察。

上海:地终端市场需求较差,销量不佳,主要厂家实际成交价格有松动下滑20元/吨左右迹象。

山东:多数熟料线已全面进入停窑状态,供需双弱,部分地区实际成交价格出现松动下滑20-30元/吨迹象,但也有企业准备推涨,具体情况待观察。

江西:需求持续走弱,水泥价格暂稳。

中南地区

河南:进入停产状态,市场需求总体平稳,前期推涨50元/吨后,落实程度并不理想,本周实际成交价格已回落20元/吨。

湖南、湖北:近日两湖地区天气有所好转,部分企业仍有继续推涨意向,22日湖南岳阳、湘西北推涨20-30元/吨,湖北咸宁上涨20元/吨,目前市场总体需求销量一般,本轮调涨落实情况有待观察。

广东:市场需求相对平稳,上轮推涨后报价持稳。

广西:水泥外销广东受限,本地市场供应压力增加,但部分工地有赶工期的情况,短期内市场需求销量弱稳运行。

西南地区

重庆:阴雨天气较多,市场需求销量不足,主城市场下调水泥价格10-30元/吨不等。

四川:或受重庆方向降价影响,广达南遂地区部分企业暗中回落20元/吨,整体报价持稳。

云南:受限电错峰等因素影响,水泥生产受限,企业库位下降,18-21日德宏、保山、文山、红河州、普洱等地上调水泥价格30-50元/吨,实际涨幅多在30元/吨左右。

贵州:中旬遵义地区上调水泥价格30元/吨,实际落实20元/吨左右,部分企业仍有推涨计划。

华北地区

京津冀:11月中旬天津、河北部分市场上调水泥价格30元/吨,但近期京津冀部分地区重污染天气预警下,水泥运输和工地施工受限,主要企业出货量下降,水泥成交价格并未有上涨迹象。

内蒙古:需求羸弱,市场价格行情基本淡季平稳。

山西:受周边市场涨价带动,23日起山西临汾、运城地区上调水泥价格30元/吨,落实待观察。

西北地区

陕西:受原材料和环保等因素影响,企业生产成本增加,加之陕西关中地区陆续错峰停窑,22日起区域主要城市上调水泥价格50元/吨,本轮推涨情况有待观察。

宁夏、甘肃、青海、新疆等地受低温天气影响,市场需求渐入淡季,水泥价格平稳运行。

东北地区

东北地区雨雪天气有所减少,但本地市场已基本结束,多数企业已基本处于错峰停窑阶段,市场价格行情淡季维稳运行。

后市预测:气温继续下降,多地需求基本终结,市场供需双弱,预计本周水泥价格将偏弱运行。

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鄂托克旗永恒水泥有限责任公司成立于2009年07月29日,注册地位于内蒙古自治区鄂尔多斯市鄂托克旗棋盘井镇棋盘井工业园区晶华氧气厂南,法定代表人为武永平。经营范围包括许可经营项目:水泥生产、销售。一般经营项目:煤矸石、粉煤灰、熟料、石灰石、水渣、石膏销售。