天山股份:房地产最坏时刻已过!2023年预计水泥需求略有改善

2023-04-03 09:52:18

2023年预计:需求总体持平、略有改善。

3月30日,天山股份(000877)发布投资者关系活动记录表。  

具体内容如下:  

1、今年需求情况相比往年如何?  

答:我国政府坚持稳中求进,超前开展基础设施建设投资的政策正在发力,地方政府专项债券加快发行节奏,“十四五”规划的重点项目陆续启动,扩大有效投资方面有潜力、有空间,房地产最坏时刻已经过去,将有效支持水泥需求。2023年预计:需求总体持平、略有改善。  

2、当前水泥价格的区域差异?  

答:2022年价格前高后低,今年预计是前低后高。春节后长三角、珠三角区域市场需求逐步恢复,价格逐步修复,但同比价格总体水平仍然偏低;其他区域需求仍处弱势,价格理性回归中有波动。北方市场受需求低迷影响,价格仍处低位。  

3、水泥熟料、商品混泥土、骨料的产能情况,未来产能指引?公司产能优势?  

答:公司拥有熟料产能3.2亿吨,商品混凝土产能4.0亿方,骨料产能2.3亿吨。熟料和商混产能将保持稳定,重点在于结合公司的核心利润区和优势区域进行布局的优化;骨料是利润增长点,产能将在十四五期间逐步增加。公司是国内业务规模最大、产业链完整、全方位布局的水泥公司,是多个区域市场的头部企业。  

4、对2023年价的预判?降低煤成本的举措?  

答:预计2023年煤炭供给仍处于偏紧状态,澳煤等进口煤落地或将有效制约国内煤价的进一步上涨,由于煤企优先保供电煤需求,对非电行业减少或取消长协优惠政策,预计2023年煤价同比持平或微降,仍将处于高位震荡运行。  

公司应对措施:1.维护好煤企战略合作客户的关系,争取有效长协合同的兑现量,密切关注市场行情积极推进长协优惠恢复。2.拓展新的采购渠道及资源,加大进口煤资源的获取及使用。3.持续强化创新,采用低价替代原材料,缓解成本上升压力。4.协同生产技术部门,做好各煤种性价比分析,以吨熟料煤成本最优为原则,不同时期采取不同的采购策略,降低采购成本。  

5、公司在光伏、风电方面的工作?  

答:公司梳理了新天山的应用场景,光伏发电、风力发电等绿色能源建设总体原则是符合条件的场景应建尽建,至2025年,拟计划光伏、风力发电总装机360MW。  

6、基建、地产复苏情况?今年销量预判?  

答:当前基建项目复苏情况较好,新的工程项目陆续开始招标,房地产行业保交楼项目需求复苏。整体预判需求在一季度同比略降,下半年好于去年同期。  

7、公司绿色智能水泥制造的情况?  

答:智能工厂建设和推广是公司专项升级的重要途径,2022年公司与中材国际联合发布了智能水泥厂标准,包括《智能工厂评估标准》、《智能工厂建设指南》等。公司通过部分智能工厂试点建设,提高管理精细度,用数字化、流程化、标准化的方式实现生产端的成本控制,有效降低能耗、减少设备故障,降低维护成本。目前已经有一些节支降耗,提质增效的成功案例,将会随着试点的扩大,形成最佳方案,在条件成熟的地方,逐步打造更多的智能工厂。  

8、与冀东水泥合资成立公司的考虑?  

答:公司与冀东水泥合资,在北方辽宁注册成立了“辽宁金中新材料产业集团有限公司”,该公司由冀东水泥并表,目的为贯彻落实国家关于水泥行业的去产能政策,推进区域水泥行业供给侧结构性改革,充分发挥合作双方各自优势,期待共同推进企业脱困振兴。  

9、国际化方面的规划和布局?  

答:公司保持战略理性和经济理性开展国际化发展,路径包括并购和建设,并可借助集团内公司海外耕耘的经验和资源,共同推动国际化发展。目前下属区域公司中材水泥已经完成国内水泥资产的剥离,专注于国际化业务拓展,2023年将积极开展市场调研,同步构建国际化投资和运营管理体系,加快推进布局国际化业务。  

10、公司发展方面的规划?  

答:重组后,公司明确建设世界一流水泥企业的战略目标,产业层面推动高端化、智能化、绿色化“三化”转型。  

经营管理层面强化经营精益化、管理精细化和组织精健化“三精管理”,通过内外兼修持续提升经营管理水平,内部各区域运营指标比学赶帮,努力降本提质增效,外部倡导“价本利”,提升行业价值,维护行业生态。  

发展层面抓住“水泥+”、国际化、“双碳”三大翘尾因素研究,业务深度整合、价值持续提升,打造世界一流的水泥公司。  

十四五期间重点推动水泥业务的绿色低碳和数字化智能化转型,加快特种水泥布局优化,国际化迈出实质性步伐。  

着力实现组织效率和成本竞争力显著提升,在综合实力、可持续竞争能力和国际化等方面基本夯实领先地位,提升经营业绩给股东带来良好的回报。  

为进一步推动水泥行业绿色化、数字化、智能化发展,中国水泥网将于2023年4月24-25日,在湖南长沙举办“中国水泥行业绿色发展高峰论坛暨超洁净排放技术交流大会”和“第四届中国水泥智能化高峰论坛”,诚邀行业专家、水泥及相关企业,共同助力水泥行业高质量发展!会后将参观中材株洲水泥有限责任公司和国际首套“尘硝一箱化SCR脱硝项目”。


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Correlation

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in the central and southern regions is general, while the Guangxi region is stable and declining. Eastern Hubei and other regions plan to push up the price of cement by 30 yuan/ton again. Driven by the price increase in eastern Hubei, individual market prices in Hunan have been notified to rise again.

2024-09-27 16:48:15

Relevant data show that the industry lost about 1.2 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with sales falling by 11%. Conch Cement: In the first half of the year, the Company achieved an operating income of RMB45.566 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.44%, and a net profit of RMB3.326 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 48.56%. Tapai Group: achieved operating income of RMB1.976 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 31.17%; net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was RMB226 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 53.43%. It is expected that with the arrival of the traditional peak season of cement sales, the demand side will be better in the second half of the year than in the first half, and the price side is expected to continue to repair.

2024-08-30 10:06:24

In the first half of the year, Tianshan's revenue was 39.699 billion yuan, down 25.72%, with a net loss of 3.414 billion yuan. The main reason for the decline in performance was the sharp drop in cement demand and the decline in gross profit margin caused by the price drop exceeding the cost drop.

2024-08-27 11:52:21

According to the report, in the second half of 2024, the external environment is still complex and severe, and the operation and development still face many risks and challenges. From the perspective of the industry, in the second half of the year, the marginal demand for cement improved, the supply compression continued to increase, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry was prominent. From the company's point of view, strategic opportunities and risks coexist, uncertainties increase, the complexity and severity of the business situation, the heavy and arduous tasks continue to intensify.

2024-08-27 11:20:44

Tianshan shares in the evening of August 26th issued 2024 semi-annual report, the company achieved operating income of 39.699 billion yuan in the first half of the year, down 25.72%; net loss of 3.414 billion yuan, profit to loss; basic earnings per share -0.394 yuan. During the reporting period, due to the continuous decline in real estate investment and insufficient funds for infrastructure projects, the demand for cement declined significantly. Although the year-on-year decline in coal prices led to a significant reduction in costs, due to the continued low price, the year-on-year decline was greater than cost decline, the gross profit margin declined year-on-year, and the benefits declined significantly year-on-year.

2024-08-27 09:14:28

In the short term, rigid peak staggering is the only way out for the cement industry. We must accurately stagger the peak and stop at the same time. If it is difficult to start at the same time, we should stop at the same time first. In the long run, further improving the concentration is an effective way to reduce production capacity in the cement industry.

2024-08-23 13:13:52

The vicious competition of "involution" is a game without winners.

2024-08-08 10:38:47

In the first half of 2024, affected by multiple factors such as the slowdown of national macroeconomic growth, the deep adjustment of real estate and the slowdown of capital construction, the company's operation was under deep pressure, and the three major businesses were facing an unprecedentedly severe and complex situation.

2024-07-19 13:19:57

According to the research and statistics of the People's Bank of China, according to the issuance plans announced by various places, the issuance scale of new local bonds in the third quarter was as high as 1966.9 billion yuan, an increase of 605.3 billion yuan over the same period last year; plus the maturity scale of 1067.6 billion yuan of local bonds, it is expected that in the third quarter

2024-07-10 14:08:28

Green is the background of high-quality development of cement industry.

2024-06-18 14:36:10

The serious decline in demand, coupled with the fierce market competition, the low opening and low going of cement prices, continued to bottom out, and the loss of the industry expanded. The loss of the industry in the first quarter exceeded that of 2016, and the pressure of enterprise operation was unprecedented.

2024-05-31 14:35:19

According to the incomplete statistics of China Cement Network, there are about 24 companies with aggregate business in A-share motherboard and Hong Kong listed companies, of which 16 listed companies disclose specific aggregate income..

2024-05-28 16:59:57

Affected by insufficient infrastructure support and the continuous downturn of real estate, the demand of cement industry continued to be weak throughout the year. In 2023, the national cement output was 2.023 billion tons, down 5% from the same period last year. Under the influence of the decline in demand, the contradiction of excess capacity was further intensified, the market competition was extremely fierce, the price of cement dropped significantly, the industry profit shrank sharply again, the annual profit dropped by more than 50%, the development of the cement industry entered an unprecedented difficult period, and many companies suffered heavy losses.

2024-05-23 14:01:48

In the first quarter of 2024, the industry as a whole showed the operational characteristics of "shrinking demand, fierce competition, high inventory and low price".

2024-05-07 09:20:19

In fact, as the largest cement giant in China with complete industrial chain and national layout, the future development of Tianshan shares is also highly expected by the market. After the seasonal factors are gradually cleared, the company's cost reduction and cost control effect will be further transformed into profit momentum, combined with the performance commitment compensation landing, the company may usher in market value revaluation. With the acceleration of the company's internal optimization of quality and efficiency and the transformation of digital intelligence, the release of profit expectations driven by overseas layout and aggregate business, the growth space of Tianshan shares is worth looking forward to by the market.

2024-04-30 11:04:11

Recently, a number of cement listed companies have been surveyed by institutions and expressed their views and judgments on the market trend this year.

2024-04-18 11:15:12

In 2024, what are the development plans and layouts of the major cement enterprises in the market? According to the annual report of the enterprise, the following are arranged..

2024-04-03 13:45:12

At present, the cement industry is facing serious internal and external troubles, which can be said to be "the autumn of life and death".

2024-04-02 17:13:02

Tianshan Stock (000877) released its annual report in 2023, facing the challenges of overcapacity and declining demand in the cement industry, the company's revenue fell by 19.01% to 107.380 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.965 billion yuan. Nevertheless, the company's total assets increased to 294 billion 722 million yuan, and the asset-liability ratio decreased slightly. Through lean management and technological innovation, the company promotes high-quality development, reduces costs and increases R & D investment. At the same time, Tianshan Stock Company plans to change its name to "Tianshan Material Co., Ltd." To reflect its national layout and industrial chain advantages. Among the difficulties faced by the industry, the upcoming China Cement Industry Summit will discuss the new development trend of the cement industry.

2024-03-27 10:31:17

Tianshan Stock (000877. SZ) released its annual report for 2023, which showed that the company's operating income was 107.38 billion yuan, a decrease of 19.01% compared with the previous year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies was 1.965 billion yuan, a decrease of 56.74% compared with the previous year. Affected by the weakening of market demand and the decline of sales price, the gross profit margin and profit of the company's cement, commercial concrete and aggregate business have declined. Although aggregate sales increased by 23.55% year on year, the overall performance declined sharply. The company's operating conditions are in line with the development trend of the industry, and the sales of cement, clinker and commercial mixing have declined. The company announced a cash dividend of 1.14 yuan per 10 shares.

2024-03-26 22:03:47

China Resources Building Materials Technology Co., Ltd. held the 2024 Working Conference of "Opening the New Situation" in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province.

2024-03-01 10:13:56

Except for the year-on-year increase in net profit of Tapai Group, the rest of the cement enterprises have experienced a sharp decline year-on-year.

2024-02-01 09:34:13

According to China Cement Market Data Center, this week, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai and Anhui regions were affected by the decline in clinker prices along the Yangtze River and around Chaohu Lake, and the quotations in all regions showed signs of falling during the week, while the quotations in other regions were temporarily stable during the week.

2024-01-19 16:45:54

作为行业龙头,大型水泥企业肩负着引领行业方向、推动行业进步的责任。面临“需求下滑、效益萎缩、产能过剩”等行业困局,水泥巨头们又是如何“出招”的呢?

2023-12-29 14:53:53

难关未过,未来已来。接下来,让我们一起回顾2023年水泥行业热点事件,总结过往,戮力前行。

2023-12-28 11:49:29

煤炭是水泥生产过程中的主要燃料,其成本占到水泥熟料成本的50%~55%,煤价的波动对水泥成本有着直接的影响,特别是在需求走低的情况下,成本的控制尤为重要。

2023-12-15 09:16:08

中国水泥网召开“第五届中国水泥智能化高峰论坛”。

2023-12-06 10:28:44

前三季度,全国水泥产量14.95亿吨,全口径同比下降4.32%,产量创下近13年来新低。效益方面,受水泥价格跌幅较深和需求下滑影响,行业效益大幅萎缩,水泥企业亏损面超一半。

2023-11-10 16:40:41

行情震荡上行;同质化严重的产业中成本控制是王道;天山股份答投资者问,涉及需求、市场、煤价等问题

2023-11-02 13:29:45

按六大区域划分,上市公司在华北、华东以及中南地区水泥营收总体降幅较大。其中,华东和中南地区价格竞争充分,降价风险已基本释放,后续价格存在回升空间,但节奏仍有待观察……

2023-10-30 19:14:58

湖北、上海推涨;万亿国债来袭,水泥股冲高;中国建材集团调整中国建材总院领导班子

2023-10-25 13:22:49

10月25日,水泥股早盘涨幅居前。

2023-10-25 10:04:34

东北、陕西关中、河南水泥价格喊涨 1.广西政府资金支持水泥外运对广东市场影响几何? 2.连涨连跌,水泥涨价咋这么难 3.天山股份高层人事变动 4.水泥价格跌幅超过50% 新的时代已经开启

2023-10-11 15:05:15

总的来看,市场涨价氛围浓厚。至于此次价格上涨原因,上述市场人士均表示,进入传统旺季,尽管下游需求仍显疲软,但受原燃材料价格上涨影响,叠加错峰生产,全国水泥价格保持上行。

2023-10-10 09:17:16

“本轮价格推涨落实情况有待观察。”中国水泥网分析认为,目前水泥终端需求有所好转,加之煤价上涨,企业成本增加,预计本周水泥价格或将小幅上涨。

2023-09-27 10:09:47

展望下半年,尽管需求有向好预期,但地产尚未企稳、基建增速放缓背景下需求好转程度较为有限。

2023-09-21 09:42:44

上半年,全国水泥产量9.53亿吨,全口径同比下降2.4%,产量创下2012年来新低。效益方面,受水泥价格跌幅较深和需求下滑影响,行业效益大幅萎缩,2023年全行业利润总额164.7亿元,同比下降59.8%。

2023-09-20 13:52:49

今年新疆地区水泥市场总体需求同比增长,1-8月新疆地区的水泥销量同比增幅14%左右。

2023-09-20 10:39:41

随着AI、大模型等新技术的兴起,数字化转型正成为各行各业的热议话题,本次业绩会上,投资者也颇为关注相关技术将对建材行业带来哪些机遇与挑战。

2023-09-17 14:35:30

基建投资仍是稳增长发力重点,房地产需求维持偏弱状态,仍处于“筑底”阶段,但随着地产端释放出积极政策信号,稳步推进的保交楼、城中村改造等稳定政策,有望刺激房建市场需求。

2023-09-01 10:10:58

2023年上半年,中国建材实现营业收入1023.74亿元,同比下降8.5%,归属于母公司净利润14.04亿元,同比减少74.9%。

2023-08-29 16:08:17

中国的水泥产能存在结构性、区域性过剩问题。即便是行业龙头,海螺水泥的经营压力也很大。

2023-08-23 10:59:03

Recently, due to the persistent cost pressure in the south, the price of concrete has risen slightly with the raw materials, but the growth of market demand is limited, and the overall quotation is still stable. From October 31 to November 6, the national concrete price index closed at 112.47 points, up 0.31% annually and down 10.11% year-on-year.