各大水泥企业利润下降原因公布!下半年会如何走?

2022-07-16 13:53:57

水泥大数据研究院首席分析师郑建辉表示,2022年水泥吨毛利高位回落,上半年行业吨毛利75元左右,全行业利润总额上半年预计仅400亿左右,同比下滑超40%。

日前,冀东水泥、福建水泥、塔牌水泥等多家水泥企业发布2022年度业绩半年预报,大部分企业利润出现下滑,甚至有企业出现亏损。

在近日中国水泥网举办的“2022中国水泥产业峰会暨TOP100颁奖典礼”上,水泥大数据研究院首席分析师郑建辉表示,2022年水泥吨毛利高位回落,上半年行业吨毛利75元左右,全行业利润总额上半年预计仅400亿左右,同比下滑超40%。

各水泥企业业绩预告及业绩变动主要原因如下:

亚洲水泥:预期集团截至2022年6月30日止六个月未经审核的权益持有人应占利润将较2021年同期减少约70%。

上述预期减少主要由于在此期间集团产品销量下降及煤炭成本上涨所致。

冀东水泥:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为10.8亿元至11.8亿元,同比下降3.89%至12.04%。

报告期,受新冠肺炎疫情反复、国际局势变化及房地产行业下行等因素影响,煤炭等主要原燃材料价格同比大幅上涨,公司水泥和熟料成本同比上升、综合销量同比下降,导致经营业绩下降。

金隅集团:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为18亿元至19亿元,同比下降3.00%至1.00%。

报告期内公司业绩同比下降,主要是因疫情影响,供应链及产品发运受阻,工程建设进度放缓,公司水泥及熟料销量降幅较大,煤炭等主要原燃材料价格上涨致使成本上升,水泥业务整体效益下降;受调控政策影响和经济下行压力,市场信心和预期下降,公司房地产业务结转毛利率有所下降;应政府号召,公司为中小微企业减免租金,纾困解难。

亚泰集团:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-5.8亿元至-5亿元,同比由盈转亏。

业绩变动主要原因是,2022年上半年吉林省暴发新冠疫情,3-4月份建筑施工项目停工致使公司建材产品产销量大幅下降,地产产业、医药产业也受到不同程度影响,导致公司实现净利润较上年同期降幅较大。2022年上半年公司重要参股公司东北证券股份有限公司净利润减少,导致投资收益较上年同期降幅较大。

福建水泥:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润约为-8800万元,与上年同期相比,将出现亏损。

业绩变动主要原因是,主营业务影响。2022年上半年,受市场需求下滑影响,公司水泥销量较上年同期减少12.93%,水泥平均售价同比下降9.23%;受煤炭价格高位影响,公司煤炭采购均价较上年同期上升46.65%,吨水泥销售成本同比上升16.36%,导致本期经营业绩出现亏损。非经营性损益的影响。

塔牌集团:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为1.65亿元至2.2亿元,同比下降76.00%至82.00%。

今年上半年,受疫情反复及房地产调控累积效应等影响,水泥需求下降,旺季不旺,且5月以来受广东持续降雨天气影响,工程难以施工,水泥需求雪上加霜,导致报告期公司水泥销量同比下降约28%;受水泥需求下降影响,水泥价格持续回落,报告期公司水泥销售价格同比下降,同时受煤炭价格上涨等影响,报告期公司水泥销售成本同比明显上升,致使公司综合毛利率同比下降较多。

青松建化:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润约为2.51亿元,同比增长约64.00%。

业绩变动主要原因是,主营业务影响。水泥主业。报告期内,公司主导产品水泥的售价与上年同期基本持平,销量较上年同期有所增加;和上年同期相比,原煤价格上涨,公司水泥主营业务成本上升,水泥主业利润较上年同期增加。化工主业。公司于2021年12月完成重整新疆美丰化工有限公司,2022年半年度,新疆青松化工有限公司新增净利润3745.53万元。阿拉尔青松化工有限责任公司同比减亏。

尖峰集团:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为1.25亿元至1.65亿元,同比下降48.36%至60.88%。

业绩变动主要原因是,2022年上半年度,受到区域水泥市场竞争加剧、煤炭价格上涨及物流不畅等因素的影响,公司水泥产品销量、毛利率同比下降。2022年上半年度,公司按权益法核算的联营企业天士力控股集团有限公司净利润预计亏损,导致公司投资收益与去年同期相比大幅减少。

西藏天路:预计上半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-1.45亿元至-1.33亿元,同比下降309.99%至292.61%,由盈转亏。

业绩变动主要原因是,报告期内,归属于上市公司股东的净利润较上年同期减幅较大,主要系西藏自治区多条水泥熟料生产线投产,市场竞争不断加剧,水泥销售量价齐跌,业务盈利能力显着下滑。另外区内煤炭资源匮乏,高度依赖区外供应,运输距离远,生产成本趋高。

下半年如何走?郑建辉表示下半年行业战略上要保持信心,战术上要谨慎。

他预判,下半年水泥需求将有所好转,预计同比超2%。

其中,基建仍有发力空间,2022下半年水泥需求有保障;

供给端上半年新点火产能不及同期,预计下半年新投低于计划,错峰力度在升级,整体表现积极。

预计下半年旺季提前启动,相对看好价格表现。

全年来看,他预计全年水泥需求下降超6%,均价下跌2%~4%,2022全年利润出现较大幅度下降,利润预估1100亿元左右。

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Correlation

Asia Cement said in the third quarter report that looking forward to the fourth quarter, the demand for cement will pick up to a certain extent. With the support of increasing peak staggering efforts, the contradiction between supply and demand of cement will be alleviated in stages. It is expected that the results of the increase in cement prices in the third quarter will be maintained until the end of the year, and the benefits of cement enterprises are expected to usher in marginal improvement.

2024-11-06 10:05:59

The incorporation of the cement industry into the national carbon market will have a significant impact on cement enterprises in terms of production and operation, data control, transaction costs, energy saving and carbon reduction investment. With the carbon quota from basic satisfaction to tight reduction, it will effectively promote production reduction, thereby affecting competitiveness and supply and demand pattern.

2024-11-01 09:52:46

Since October, the price of cement in the eastern Guangdong market has been relatively stable and has not risen yet. At present, the 4600t/d production line of the local cement industry has been ignited recently, which is expected to have a certain impact on the eastern Guangdong market in the short term. However, the increase in the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta and Fujian can lay a certain foundation for the increase in the price of cement in the eastern Guangdong market.

2024-10-29 09:40:30

However, it should be noted that brand promotion is not achieved overnight, but requires years or even decades of efforts. Our primary service offering is pricing strategies for large and mid-sized businesses to improve margins and achieve growth. The profit is equal to the price times the sales volume minus the cost. According to our research, there is a tenfold relationship between pricing and profit, while there is only a sixfold relationship between cost and sales volume, because when sales volume increases, the corresponding cost will also rise. We support Chinese enterprises to improve their profits, because only profits are the key to the survival of enterprises.

2024-10-12 13:16:50

However, in the semi-annual reports issued by major cement listed companies, despite the sharp decline in profits of the cement sector, the development of the aggregate sector is still steady. China Cement Network data show that in the first half of 2024, the demand for aggregate for concrete fell 10.8% year-on-year, with a total demand of 6.25 billion tons, dragged down by both downstream infrastructure and real estate. Therefore, how long the aggregate can support cement enterprises is indeed a pessimistic unknown.

2024-09-04 09:39:36

Due to the rainy weather in Zhejiang, the market demand is general, and the shipment volume is about 6-7%. In order to promote sales, some manufacturers reduce the price of cement, and try to push up the price to enhance market confidence, but the actual implementation remains to be observed. The overall market demand in Jiangsu has not improved significantly, with shipments hovering at 4-6% of normal production capacity. Manufacturers in southern Jiangsu have reduced prices for promotion, while the markets in northern and central Jiangsu are expected to face a downward trend.

2024-08-16 16:37:36

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, Liaoning cement market sales are stable, and the price of cement has been raised by 60 yuan/ton since the 5th. The price increase is expected to be good, and the price fluctuation in Heiji area needs attention.

2024-07-05 17:21:53

The announcement said that in the first quarter of 2024, due to the downturn of the real estate market, the shortage of project funds and frequent extreme weather, the demand for cement was less than that of the same period last year, and the sales of cement products (cement + clinker) decreased by 14% compared with last year.

2024-04-30 10:48:04

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the overall market demand performance is general, Chongqing and Guizhou parts of the week pushed up 30 yuan/ton, the implementation is not yet clear. Cement prices in some markets in Sichuan and Yunnan have dropped by about 20-30 yuan/ton.

2024-04-28 09:42:11

According to the data center of China Cement Market, the price of cement in the surrounding market is generally at a relatively low level, and the specific implementation of this round of price increase needs to be tracked. The rest of the market demand recovery is still poor, and the overall price shows signs of loosening and declining slightly.

2024-04-08 10:34:35

According to the market data of China Cement Net, in early April, the leading enterprises in Baoding, Hebei, notified an increase of 30 yuan/ton in cement price. Overall, the demand recovery in Baoding is slightly better than that in northern Hebei, with certain conditions for price increase.

2024-04-07 16:55:08

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the external quotations of enterprises in Henan have basically returned to the level before the March rise. The inventory pressure of enterprises in the two lakes region has been reduced. As a whole, the market demand in Guangdong and Guangxi is gradually recovering, and the price of cement is basically stable.

2024-03-22 16:48:41

Cement demand in 2024 is expected to continue the trend of the previous two years and continue to decrease. The downstream of cement is mainly divided into three parts: infrastructure, real estate and new rural construction. It is expected that the demand for infrastructure and rural market will remain stable. The key is whether the growth rate of real estate investment can stabilize and rebound, thus supporting the demand for cement.

2024-03-18 13:43:28

A person in the industry said frankly, now who will spend money to buy capacity indicators to build lines ah, in the current situation, capacity indicators can sell 40 yuan/ton is good.

2024-03-12 09:17:17

According to the data center of China Cement Market, the Northeast market is almost stagnant, manufacturers have holidays, construction sites are shut down, and prices are difficult to change.

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Anhui and Zhejiang cement index prices rose on a month-on-month basis; cement enterprises suffered losses! How to Break Through; Jinyuan, Fujian, Jidong, Jianfeng, etc. Release 2023 Performance Forecast

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Shandong's cement market seems to be "a mess"; Tianshan's profit is expected to drop by nearly 60% in 2023; CNBM Information and other units are included in the list of intelligent manufacturing projects; the General Administration of Market Supervision has released anti-monopoly cases involving concrete; Holcim plans to split its North American business and go public.

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