[水泥指数]价格涨势放缓,局部地区已现松动

2016-09-29 09:06:18

上周全国水泥价格涨势明显放缓,华东地区涨价余波仍在,但局部省份价格已经出现松动下行。江西省9月份第二轮价格全面上涨引领华东地区价格上行,同时长三角一带在G20峰会之后水泥发货量增加,企业为提升效益继续涨价。由于环保压力河南工地及搅拌站仍存在大量停工,前期价格大幅上涨最终难以落地,全省价格出现普降之势。

  上周全国水泥价格涨势明显放缓,华东地区涨价余波仍在,但局部省份价格已经出现松动下行。江西省9月份第二轮价格全面上涨引领华东地区价格上行,同时长三角一带在G20峰会之后水泥发货量增加,企业为提升效益继续涨价。由于环保压力河南工地及搅拌站仍存在大量停工,前期价格大幅上涨最终难以落地,全省价格出现普降之势。

  上周五中国水泥价格指数收报86.97,较中秋节前环比上涨0.15个点;长江水泥价格指数收报83.4,环比上涨0.29个点。

  图1:近三个月全国及长江区域价格指数走势

  数据来源:中国水泥网,中国水泥研究院

  分区域来看,上周华北、华东、西南地区价格指数均出现环比上涨,华北地区主要是山西个别城市水泥价格上行,华东地区长三角一带价格继续上涨,西南地区价格指数上扬则主要是因重庆价格出现小幅上涨。东北地区上周价格指数未出现明显波动;中南、西北地区出现小幅下降,河南价格普降是导致中南地区价格指数走弱的主要原因。

  表1:六大区域价格指数变化

  数据来源:中国水泥网,中国水泥研究院

  分省市来看,上周价格出现上涨的有10个,数量较前期有所下降;涨幅最大的是江西省,P.O42.5散装均价环比上涨2.58%。上周价格出现下降的只有一个省份--河南,降幅为2.08%。无论从价格变动省份个数还是从涨跌幅度来看,上周价格整体变化幅度较前期已经明显放缓。

  图2:全国31省市上周P.O42.5散装水泥价格环比涨跌幅度(%)

  数据来源:中国水泥网,中国水泥网行情数据中心

  上周华北地区市场继续平稳运行,周内运输新政启动,运费上涨两到三成,受此影响后半周水泥销量有所下滑;北京地区砂石运费大涨,商混用量下降导致水泥发货量走低。20日河北地区继续召开错峰生产会议,计划省内9月27日-10月7日停产,冀北唐山、张家口、承德及冀南邢台地区根据实际情况安排停产时间,到10月底停窑天书必须大于10天。同时,受原燃料及运费价格上涨影响,水泥端价格有上行动力,但前期涨价仍有很多小厂未能跟进,预计下一轮价格上涨动力较大。山西下旬大通、忻州、朔州陆续开展停窑限产,各主要厂家停3-5天不等;内蒙古行情暂稳。

  东北地区延续上旬态势,辽宁部分地区企业自9月份以来价格有所上调,但实际执行情况不甚理想,吉林、黑龙江市场无明显波动。9月上旬吉林省化解水泥产能过剩专题工作会议在长春召开。提出计划以亚泰集团、北方水泥、冀东水泥和金隅水泥为主体,按照市场运作、协会组织和政府推动的原则,通过重组的方式组建吉林省水泥集团有限公司,一体化经营管理,并逐步实现压减熟料产能800万吨的目标。如果该方案能够实施,吉林省市场格局将出现巨大改变,对于东北三省的水泥市场将产生重大影响。

  9月份西北地区除陕西关中、宁夏银川一带价格有上行表现,其余地区市场价格总体稳定。近期天气情况较好,甘肃、青海部分厂家产销情况有所好转。甘肃兰州下半年继续推行30%限产措施,新疆同样坚持限产穏价,库车每条生产线全年正常生产120天左右,阿克苏、库尔勒继续执行隔月停窑限产。

  G20峰会后,华东地区涨价余温仍在。江西省厂家涨价意愿强烈,18日江西各地再次上调全品种水泥20元/吨,熟料价格同步上调20-30元/吨,出现9月份以来第二轮全面价格上涨。安徽沿江地区除少数生产线仍在停窑检修,各主要企业窑、磨均已陆续开启,加之天气晴好,本地需求及外来船运需求皆有增长,沿江安庆一带上调水泥、熟料出厂价10-20元/吨。浙江工地、搅拌站陆续复工但需求回升不明显,为提升盈利23日海螺、南方等主要厂家计划23日上调沿海温州、台州市场高标号水泥20元/吨,其余地区也有提价计划。江苏苏南地区中秋节前后出现小幅松动下滑,市场需求一半,主导企业仍在酝酿推涨价格。福建龙岩、三明、漳州、厦门等地在21-22日价格开始上调,各主要厂家已陆续发布价格调整通知,但由于需求不旺,部分大厂对经销商及大客户涨价落实幅度只有一半左右。山东省第二轮全省夏季错峰停窑在20日结束,但由于前期价格推涨未完全落实到位,且当前需求依旧不足,预期后期或会有降价争夺市场的情况出现。

  中南地区两湖地区继续落实前期价格推涨,两广局部地区价格调涨继续进行,河南则出现价格回落。前期价格上调后两湖销量出现短时下滑,经过一段时间的消化上周两湖区域产销略有好转,全面价格上调也逐渐落实。在上旬广西贵港、玉林等多低价格上涨后,上周崇左地区主导企业价格跟随上调,南宁市场价格暂稳;广东上周只有江门、深圳地区部分企业价格上调。河南区域环保严查仍在继续,工地及商混站仍有大量停工,由于市场需求不足,前期涨价无法落实上周出现回落现象,各地水泥价格普降10-20元/吨。

 西南地区上周略有阴雨,四川地区受影响较大,短时出现波动。上周重庆个别企业价格出现上调,这只是前期价格上涨的延续。贵州、云南地区上周价格暂稳,云南地区企业有上调意愿,预计10月份价格将有所变化。

  各省市价格变动详情如下表:

  表2:上周各地水泥品牌价格变动详情(元/吨)

  数据来源:中国水泥网行情数据中心

  以上为上周全国及部分地区行情的总体概况,欲了解六大区域和省份更多细节,请查看每周区域(东北/华北/中南/华东/西南/西北)周评,欲了解各省水泥价格,请查看水泥网数据中心

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Correlation

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2024-09-14 16:59:31

Demand is still not ideal, and the price of concrete in southwest China is mainly weak and stable.

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The price of raw materials has been pushed up one after another, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets may rise slightly..

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2024-09-14 14:33:42

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China Cement Net Market Data Center News: There is no significant change in the commercial mixed market in Northwest China.

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China Cement Net Market Data Center News: Weak Operation of Commercial Mixed Market in Northwest China

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The price of raw materials in the northeast market is fatigue, and the price of concrete is stable.

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2024-08-23 15:33:03

The concrete market in North China is facing the bottleneck of demand and shipment growth.

2024-08-23 15:13:42

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The rainy weather is still the same, and the price of concrete in southwest China is slightly loose.

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According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in central and southern China has recovered by 10-15 yuan/ton, and the quotation in Guangxi is temporarily stable. Prices in some areas of the two lakes have fallen in the early stage, and the overall market is mainly stable this week.

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According to the market data of China Cement Network, affected by the high temperature weather and rainy season, the demand performance of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is flat and the price is weak.

2024-08-02 17:12:52

Rainy weather is frequent, concrete market demand is insufficient..

2024-08-02 16:50:42

High temperature off-season, the price of concrete in the central and southern market is mainly weak and stable..

2024-08-02 16:44:53

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2024-08-02 16:30:32

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2024-08-02 15:56:06

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2024-07-26 17:06:09

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2024-07-26 16:56:03

In practice, on the contrary, it is often found by the supervision team of ecological environment protection that in some places, the "two high" projects are blindly launched and not strictly controlled, and the production capacity is increased in violation of regulations. What should have been seen by the "expert" in charge was seen by the "layman" in environmental protection. Aren't you ashamed?