[水泥指数]:指数再次攀升 中南持续向好

2014-11-03 13:43:31

上周五,中国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为101.81点,环比上涨0.72%,涨幅较上期有所扩大,呈稳中有升走势。与去年同期相比,价格下跌6.89%,跌幅开始企稳。上周,中南多地水泥价格再创新高使得全国水泥价格指数再次抬头,除中南外,其余五大区域变动不大。上周,长江流域水泥价格指数为98.33点,环比上涨0.55%,与去年同期相比,跌幅进一步扩大至9.52%。今年华东地区受需求乏力影响,区域内上涨较去年艰难。

  上周五,中国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为101.81点,环比上涨0.72%,涨幅较上期有所扩大,呈稳中有升走势。与去年同期相比,价格下跌6.89%,跌幅开始企稳。上周,中南多地水泥价格再创新高使得全国水泥价格指数再次抬头,除中南外,其余五大区域变动不大。上周,长江流域水泥价格指数为98.33点,环比上涨0.55%,与去年同期相比,跌幅进一步扩大至9.52%。今年华东地区受需求乏力影响,区域内上涨较去年艰难。

图1:中国水泥价格指数再次攀高

数据来源:中国水泥研究院

  分区域看,东北地区10月下旬以来随着气温下降,企业出货量连续下滑。上周黑龙江多地受雨雪影响,需求明显走低。辽宁、吉林两省工程项目处于扫尾阶段,总需求环比上月同期下降20%,水泥价格保持平稳,部分地区有零星下跌。

  华北京津冀地区市场表现平稳,工程因年底赶工导致企业销量有所好转,不过价格仍保持相对稳定的走势。进入11月,京、津两地水泥企业将停产15天左右,河北唐山也将有停产限制,预计后期价格继续走稳为主。山西、内蒙古市场进入淡季,需求走淡,水泥价格与上期持平,后期市场继续走淡,价格预计继续保持低位走稳为主。

  华东江浙两地部分地区价格推涨,但执行效果不理想,两地整体需求未有明显变化,实际市场价格基本与上期持平。安徽省因农忙结束施工需求有所增加,皖北地区上周在主导企业带动下与淮海地区同步推涨,其余中小企业跟涨。山东民用市场需求不足,北部及沿海一带低标价格略有下跌,散装水泥除个别品牌有涨跌外,总体价格平稳。福建10月底企业出货量有所回升,企业报价平稳,福州厂家于近期酝酿涨价,不过各厂库存较高,预计难度仍大。江西总体行情平稳,产销基本平衡,主导企业因需求上涨表现不足推涨意向尚难推进,目前以稳价为主。上海上周受雨水影响,出货量有所回落,但价格未有下跌继续保持平稳。

  中南地区广东省进入传统旺季,需求持续向好,25日省内主导企业纷纷上调各规格水泥价格,预计进入11月份熟料价格会跟涨。广西28日价格再次上涨,总体下游需求较旺,预计受周边省份价格上涨影响,价格会继续上调。两湖地区天气较好,企业出货量明显增加,湖南永州、娄底、怀化及湖北荆门纷纷上调水泥价格,部分地区价格在十月份已连续几周上涨,累计涨幅在30~50元/吨左右。河南产销与上期相当,省内价格下调减少,除平顶山个别品牌价格走低外,总体行情平稳。海南省上周区域内需求表现良好,但价格表现依旧平稳,未有上涨趋势,预计随着周边市场的好转,海南价格会出现回升。

  西南地区西藏因需求下滑,企业出货减少,山南、日喀则地区水泥价格走低。贵州受紫云西南低价投放市场影响,自安顺、关岭水泥价格走低后,贵阳地区于上周也有所走低。重庆市需求好转,继前期价格上调后,上周袋装水泥继续上调,散装水泥报价趋稳,个别品牌回调,总体走势平稳。云南上周天气晴好,需求好转,26日主导企业价格开始上调,其余企业跟调。四川省虽为传统旺季,企业价格也有所跟涨,然而因需求增长不足,实际执行不佳,市场价格保持平稳。

  西北地区陕西省继宝鸡价格上调后,渭南地区主导企业于上周也跟涨,销入西安地区的水泥价格也有所上涨。甘肃受陕西地区价格上调影响,27日主导企业对陇南、天水部分水泥价格上调,当地企业库存水平较高,市场走淡,此轮掉价执行情况有待观察。宁夏因工程年底赶工企业销量有所增加,青海、新疆气温下降,需求萎缩,三地价格总体平稳,

  上周,全国共有8个省份的水泥价格出现上涨,其中广东、湖北、陕西、广西涨幅居前,分别为5.05%、2.24%、1.8%和1.02%,云南、湖南、安徽、河北涨幅低于1%;而水泥价格出现回落的省份也有8个,其中西藏、贵州领跌,环比分别下跌1.03%和0.79%,其余下跌省份为河南、甘肃、重庆、江苏、宁夏、山东,总体跌幅较小。

图2:全国31省市上周价格环比情况(%)

数据来源:中国水泥研究院

  从价格出现变动的主要省份具体情况上看,上周,广东天气持续晴好,市场需求持续走高,广州、佛山、惠州、江门、深圳、中山等珠三角区域海螺、华润、台泥、塔牌、光大等主要企业上调各规格水泥价格30元/吨,其余周边中小企业都跟随调整,清远地区各规格水泥价格也同幅度上涨,涨后珠三角市场主流出厂P.C32.5袋装360-380元/吨,P.O42.5散装390-410元/吨;湖北下游需求逐步提高,28日荆门地区主要企业上调各规格水泥价格20~30元/吨,十月以来,荆门地区已累计上涨了50元/吨,此外,武汉华祥、洋房等品牌水泥价格也上涨了30元/吨左右;陕西地区自24日宝鸡水泥价格大幅上涨后,27日渭南地区主要企业尧柏旗下尧柏蒲城、富郦、实丰厂对42.5级水泥上调30元/吨,32.5级水泥上调15元/吨,海螺、冀东对销西咸一带水泥价格上调20-30元/吨左右。

  上周,西藏地区气温降低,水泥市场需求走淡,企业出货量下降,华新在日喀则和山南地区的价格走低10~25元左右;贵州受紫云西南水泥低价水泥投放市场影响,前期安顺、管理、六枝多地水泥价格走低,因贵阳周边水泥价格纷纷走低,贵阳区域内水泥价格也走低20元/吨左右。

表1:价格出现变动的主要省份及品牌情况

数据来源:中国水泥网行情数据中心

  以上为上周全国及部分地区行情的总体概况,欲了解六大区域更多细节,请查看每周区域(东北/华北/中南/华东/西南/西北)周评。

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Correlation

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, cement prices in the Pearl River Delta market in central and southern Guangdong are planned to stop falling and rise again, while prices in individual markets in Guangxi have experienced a second round of decline. During the Mid-Autumn Festival, the range of price increases in the two lakes areas has been extended to the whole province, pushing up by about 30 yuan/ton. Since the 10th, some major manufacturers in Henan have pushed up the price of cement by 30 yuan/ton, but the actual implementation is not ideal, some enterprises have not implemented in place, and the quotation remains at the level before the rise.

2024-09-20 17:10:16

The concrete market in Northeast China is depressed and the overall demand is weak.

2024-09-20 16:49:34

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The commercial mixed market in Northwest China is running steadily.

2024-09-20 16:41:28

The price of raw materials has been pushed up, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets has been temporarily stable.

2024-09-20 16:36:23

The market demand for concrete in North China is weak, and the price is under pressure.

2024-09-20 16:25:22

The price of raw material cement in Chongqing and Sichuan continues to rise, and the price of concrete may rise slightly..

2024-09-20 15:11:23

The concrete market in North China is stable, with a slight increase in shipments, but demand remains weak..

2024-09-14 16:59:31

Demand is still not ideal, and the price of concrete in southwest China is mainly weak and stable.

2024-09-14 14:49:44

The price of raw materials has been pushed up one after another, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets may rise slightly..

2024-09-14 14:43:45

The price of concrete market in Northeast China is stable to cope with the limited construction period.

2024-09-14 14:33:42

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The market demand in East China continues to be depressed, and the concrete price is weak and stable.

2024-09-14 13:54:51

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: There is no significant change in the commercial mixed market in Northwest China.

2024-09-14 13:46:16

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: Weak Operation of Commercial Mixed Market in Northwest China

2024-09-06 17:14:22

The demand for concrete in southwest China is still not ideal, and the price is mainly weak and stable.

2024-09-06 17:02:17

The price of raw materials in the northeast market is fatigue, and the price of concrete is stable.

2024-09-06 16:23:41

The progress of concrete construction in North China has been improved, and the growth of market demand is still limited by the off-season.

2024-09-06 16:14:12

The price of raw materials is declining, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is running steadily and weakly.

2024-09-06 15:58:01

The price of raw materials in the Yangtze River Delta region of East China has been rising, and the price of concrete is weak and stable.

2024-09-06 12:01:33

The performance of the concrete market in Northeast China is relatively stable, and the demand restricts the implementation of raw materials.

2024-08-30 17:12:18

The commercial mixed market in Northwest China is stable and small.

2024-08-30 17:09:51

Demand in the southwest region is sluggish, and concrete prices are running weakly..

2024-08-30 17:01:21

Market demand in central and southern China is general, and concrete prices are weak..

2024-08-30 16:41:14

The demand for concrete in North China is weak and the price is under pressure.

2024-08-30 16:29:57

Affected by the environment in East China, demand has not improved, and prices in some areas have fallen this week.

2024-08-23 17:17:05

Affected by rainfall in Northeast China, the demand for concrete market is low.

2024-08-23 16:02:01

The price of raw materials in many places has fallen, and the price of concrete in southwest China is running weakly.

2024-08-23 15:45:37

Affected by the price of raw materials, the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is mixed..

2024-08-23 15:33:03

The concrete market in North China is facing the bottleneck of demand and shipment growth.

2024-08-23 15:13:42

Demand is still not ideal, and the price of concrete in southwest China is mainly weak and stable.

2024-08-16 17:17:41

With the improvement of construction progress in North China, the growth of market demand is still limited by the off-season.

2024-08-16 17:10:08

The imbalance between supply and demand in the Northeast market has increased the pressure of price decline.

2024-08-16 17:06:56

Driven by the rising price of raw materials, the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is stable and small..

2024-08-16 17:03:31

Due to the rainy weather in Zhejiang, the market demand is general, and the shipment volume is about 6-7%. In order to promote sales, some manufacturers reduce the price of cement, and try to push up the price to enhance market confidence, but the actual implementation remains to be observed. The overall market demand in Jiangsu has not improved significantly, with shipments hovering at 4-6% of normal production capacity. Manufacturers in southern Jiangsu have reduced prices for promotion, while the markets in northern and central Jiangsu are expected to face a downward trend.

2024-08-16 16:37:36

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, the market demand in southwest Sichuan and Chongqing continued to be weak, cement prices in some regions fell by 10-20 yuan/ton, and Yunnan-Guizhou region was mixed. The market demand continued to be weak due to the high temperature off-season in Sichuan and Chongqing, and some enterprises in Sichuan lowered the cement price to increase the shipment volume, while the original plan to raise the price in Chengdu was not implemented. The demand for cement in Chongqing is declining and the price is stable. Rainy weather in Yunnan is frequent, market demand is low, and prices in some areas have fallen after pushing up. Cement prices in Guizhou are generally stable.

2024-08-09 17:19:44

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of the rebound in cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of central and southern Guangdong is not optimistic, and the Guangxi region is tepid. The market prices of the two lakes are basically stable, and there is a decline in some areas. Leading enterprises in Guangdong try to restore the price of cement, but under the influence of high temperature weather, the actual effect is not good. The rain weather in Guangxi is decreasing, the market demand is limited, the price is stable, and the local market is falling. Cement prices in Hubei are stable, and high temperatures affect demand. The Hunan area continues the high temperature, the demand is weak, the partial price falls. Affected by rainfall, the market demand in Henan is not good, and the price is stable.

2024-08-09 17:12:17

The rainy weather is still the same, and the price of concrete in southwest China is slightly loose.

2024-08-09 17:03:25

Northeast China is implementing the policy of off-peak kiln shutdown in August according to the established plan. In this context, cement manufacturers have no plans to further raise prices, so the market quotation remains stable. However, the demand for cement in Liaoning has been reduced due to frequent precipitation in the rainy season recently. Although the cement price of large factories is still at a high level, the overall demand is low, which may have a volatile impact on future prices.

2024-08-09 16:45:29

The rainy season in North China affects construction, market demand is low and prices are weak and stable.

2024-08-09 16:25:44

This week, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei building materials market continued to be depressed due to adverse weather and environmental control demand. Cement prices in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region were generally stable, but some brands showed signs of decline, and the market operation showed a weak and stable trend. The central and southern areas of Hebei tried to raise the price by 30-50 yuan/ton, but the actual implementation effect was not good. At the same time, the market demand in Shanxi and Inner Mongolia is weak and the market remains relatively stable due to the off-peak shutdown.

2024-08-09 16:21:01

Due to the continuous high temperature weather in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, the demand of construction industry has weakened, resulting in a general decline in cement sales, and the price of cement in some areas has dropped by 20-35 yuan/ton, among which Yangzhou, Taizhou, Huaian, Nanjing, Zhenjiang and other places in Jiangsu have been greatly affected. Due to the high temperature weather in Anhui, the construction site slowed down, the demand was weak, and the cement price in Ma'anshan, Chuzhou, Hefei and other areas was reduced by 10-20 yuan/ton. Cement prices in Zaozhuang, Linyi, Jining, Tai'an and other places fell by 10-30 yuan/ton due to cloudy weather and the resumption of clinker production in Shandong.

2024-08-09 16:18:24

Northeast market demand is flat, and sales are affected by rainfall.

2024-08-09 16:12:33

High temperature off-season, the price of concrete in the central and southern market is mainly weak and stable..

2024-08-09 16:05:25

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the shutdown of kilns in Liaoning, Northeast China, was extended to 20 days in August, the overall price was high and stable, the demand performance was not good, and the momentum to push up again was insufficient.

2024-08-02 17:28:08

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the demand and sales in southwest China are sluggish, cement prices in Sichuan and Chongqing continue to fall, and some regions have fallen back to the level before the price increase in June. Some markets in the surrounding Yunnan-Guizhou region are still pushing up in the week, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-08-02 17:25:15

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in central and southern China has recovered by 10-15 yuan/ton, and the quotation in Guangxi is temporarily stable. Prices in some areas of the two lakes have fallen in the early stage, and the overall market is mainly stable this week.

2024-08-02 17:16:26

According to the market data of China Cement Network, affected by the high temperature weather and rainy season, the demand performance of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is flat and the price is weak.

2024-08-02 17:12:52

Rainy weather is frequent, concrete market demand is insufficient..

2024-08-02 16:50:42

High temperature off-season, the price of concrete in the central and southern market is mainly weak and stable..

2024-08-02 16:44:53