[水泥指数]:继续回升势头 力度有所趋缓

2014-10-15 14:13:42

上周五,中国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为101.05点,环比上涨0.36%,继水泥价格指数重上百点以后,进入十月份,指数继续保持上升势头,不过升势趋缓。与去年同期相比,水泥价格跌幅呈扩大走势,较去年同期下跌5.22%,与去年同期差距拉大。由于今年价格在四季度上涨速度和力度明显缩小,企业在下游需求未得到明显支撑的情况下涨价步伐迈的相对谨慎。

  上周五,中国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为101.05点,环比上涨0.36%,继水泥价格指数重上百点以后,进入十月份,指数继续保持上升势头,上周升势趋缓。与去年同期相比,水泥价格跌幅呈扩大走势,较去年同期下跌5.22%,与去年同期差距拉大。由于今年价格在四季度上涨速度和力度明显缩小,企业在下游需求未得到明显支撑的情况下涨价步伐迈的相对谨慎。此外,东北、西北连续的低迷趋势不改,对整体市场的影响不容小觑。上周,长江流域水泥价格指数为97.16点,环比上涨1.02%,涨幅继续领先全国水平,自8月中旬开始已连续六周呈上涨走势,上周五指数与去年同期相比下跌5.82%,不过跌幅已较前期明显缩小。

图1: 价格继续回升势头,力度有所趋缓

数据来源:中国水泥研究院

  分区域看,上周,东北地区资金紧张、项目开工不足状况仍无改观,主导企业以稳价运行为主。进入十月以后,东北天气开始转冷,下一阶段市场销售将进入最后冲刺阶段,预计价格难有改观。

  华北地区京津冀国庆期间出货下降,节后恢复常态,市场表现不温不火,价格基本保持平稳。近期,北京东南部、天津西部区域出现雾霾天气,包括水泥企业在内的数百家企业将面临停产限产,区域水泥供给会有所收缩。山西、内蒙古市场行情继续低迷,企业报价维持国庆节前水平。

  华东地区自9月26日起江浙皖沪各主要企业上调水泥价格之后,进入10月,水泥价格基本上涨到位,上周呈走稳走势。浙江区域库存相对偏高,需求略显不足,个别品牌小幅下调,不过总体而言,企业涨价意愿仍强。江苏总体价格平稳,北部因山东影响,实际未上涨到位,下一阶段欲联动涨价。安徽延续上涨走势,北部因农忙及国庆长假影响价格有所走低,不过全省仍以涨势为主。福建随着传统旺季的深入,水泥销量有所回升,上周多地价格出现上涨。上海上周低标水泥走低,高标部分品牌价格仍继续上调。其余省份价格基本以稳为主。

  中南地区两广天气晴好,需求转好,价格继续上涨。湖南民用及工程需求增加,多地价格继续上涨。湖北继国庆期间价格再次上调后,目前价格保持平稳。河南受农忙影响,下游继续疲软,短期内价格上涨仍有难度。

  西南地区贵州省受新增产能释放及需求下降双重影响,多地主导品牌价格下调。重庆部分区域需求略有上升,国庆以后水泥价格上涨。四川、云南行情变化不大。

  西北地区陕西关中价格再次下调,周边大厂跟调。汉中地区降雨较多,需求下降。甘肃也受雨水影响,地产水泥价格相继下调,此外农忙影响,平凉地区需求低迷,主要企业均有下调水泥。

  上周,全国共有8个省份的水泥价格出现上涨,其中福建、湖南、广西涨幅居前,分别为3.93%、3.78%和1.16%,重庆、上海、安徽、云南和广东涨幅低于1%;而水泥价格出现回落的省份有7个,其中贵州、甘肃两省领跌,环比分别下跌1.65%和0.95%,其余下跌省份跌幅较小,总体平稳。

图2:全国31省市上周价格环比情况(%)

数据来源:中国水泥研究院

  从价格出现变动的主要省份具体情况上看,上周,福建龙岩一带大厂对散装水泥价格上调20-30元/吨左右,同时外销泉州、漳州、厦门及广东等地价格同步上调,目前市场逐步回暖;湖南国庆后迎来下半年第三轮上涨,从长株潭、益阳、常德、张家界、娄底、邵阳一直到永州地区,主要企业水泥或熟料报价再次上调15-30元/吨不等;广西天气在十月以晴好为主,部分地区需求有所上升,国庆期间桂林地区主要企业水泥报价普遍上涨15元/吨左右,而节后,贺州及玉林一带水泥价格普遍上涨15-20元/吨左右;贵州省进入10月份需求下降,省内因新增产能影响,竞争有所加剧,国庆期间贵州遵义海螺、拉法基、赛德等主要厂家相继下调各规格水泥20元/吨左右,9日左右,安顺一带低标水泥价格再次走低20元/吨左右,低标袋装出厂已低至200元/吨左右。

表1:价格出现变动的主要省份及品牌情况

数据来源:中国水泥网行情数据中心

  以上为上周全国及部分地区行情的总体概况,欲了解六大区域更多细节,请查看每周区域(东北/华北/中南/华东/西南/西北)周评。

All can be viewed after purchase
Correlation

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, cement prices in the Pearl River Delta market in central and southern Guangdong are planned to stop falling and rise again, while prices in individual markets in Guangxi have experienced a second round of decline. During the Mid-Autumn Festival, the range of price increases in the two lakes areas has been extended to the whole province, pushing up by about 30 yuan/ton. Since the 10th, some major manufacturers in Henan have pushed up the price of cement by 30 yuan/ton, but the actual implementation is not ideal, some enterprises have not implemented in place, and the quotation remains at the level before the rise.

2024-09-20 17:10:16

The concrete market in Northeast China is depressed and the overall demand is weak.

2024-09-20 16:49:34

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The commercial mixed market in Northwest China is running steadily.

2024-09-20 16:41:28

The price of raw materials has been pushed up, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets has been temporarily stable.

2024-09-20 16:36:23

The market demand for concrete in North China is weak, and the price is under pressure.

2024-09-20 16:25:22

The price of raw material cement in Chongqing and Sichuan continues to rise, and the price of concrete may rise slightly..

2024-09-20 15:11:23

The concrete market in North China is stable, with a slight increase in shipments, but demand remains weak..

2024-09-14 16:59:31

Demand is still not ideal, and the price of concrete in southwest China is mainly weak and stable.

2024-09-14 14:49:44

The price of raw materials has been pushed up one after another, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets may rise slightly..

2024-09-14 14:43:45

The price of concrete market in Northeast China is stable to cope with the limited construction period.

2024-09-14 14:33:42

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The market demand in East China continues to be depressed, and the concrete price is weak and stable.

2024-09-14 13:54:51

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: There is no significant change in the commercial mixed market in Northwest China.

2024-09-14 13:46:16

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: Weak Operation of Commercial Mixed Market in Northwest China

2024-09-06 17:14:22

The demand for concrete in southwest China is still not ideal, and the price is mainly weak and stable.

2024-09-06 17:02:17

The price of raw materials in the northeast market is fatigue, and the price of concrete is stable.

2024-09-06 16:23:41

The progress of concrete construction in North China has been improved, and the growth of market demand is still limited by the off-season.

2024-09-06 16:14:12

The price of raw materials is declining, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is running steadily and weakly.

2024-09-06 15:58:01

The price of raw materials in the Yangtze River Delta region of East China has been rising, and the price of concrete is weak and stable.

2024-09-06 12:01:33

The performance of the concrete market in Northeast China is relatively stable, and the demand restricts the implementation of raw materials.

2024-08-30 17:12:18

The commercial mixed market in Northwest China is stable and small.

2024-08-30 17:09:51

Demand in the southwest region is sluggish, and concrete prices are running weakly..

2024-08-30 17:01:21

Market demand in central and southern China is general, and concrete prices are weak..

2024-08-30 16:41:14

The demand for concrete in North China is weak and the price is under pressure.

2024-08-30 16:29:57

Affected by the environment in East China, demand has not improved, and prices in some areas have fallen this week.

2024-08-23 17:17:05

Affected by rainfall in Northeast China, the demand for concrete market is low.

2024-08-23 16:02:01

The price of raw materials in many places has fallen, and the price of concrete in southwest China is running weakly.

2024-08-23 15:45:37

Affected by the price of raw materials, the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is mixed..

2024-08-23 15:33:03

The concrete market in North China is facing the bottleneck of demand and shipment growth.

2024-08-23 15:13:42

Demand is still not ideal, and the price of concrete in southwest China is mainly weak and stable.

2024-08-16 17:17:41

With the improvement of construction progress in North China, the growth of market demand is still limited by the off-season.

2024-08-16 17:10:08

The imbalance between supply and demand in the Northeast market has increased the pressure of price decline.

2024-08-16 17:06:56

Driven by the rising price of raw materials, the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is stable and small..

2024-08-16 17:03:31

Due to the rainy weather in Zhejiang, the market demand is general, and the shipment volume is about 6-7%. In order to promote sales, some manufacturers reduce the price of cement, and try to push up the price to enhance market confidence, but the actual implementation remains to be observed. The overall market demand in Jiangsu has not improved significantly, with shipments hovering at 4-6% of normal production capacity. Manufacturers in southern Jiangsu have reduced prices for promotion, while the markets in northern and central Jiangsu are expected to face a downward trend.

2024-08-16 16:37:36

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, the market demand in southwest Sichuan and Chongqing continued to be weak, cement prices in some regions fell by 10-20 yuan/ton, and Yunnan-Guizhou region was mixed. The market demand continued to be weak due to the high temperature off-season in Sichuan and Chongqing, and some enterprises in Sichuan lowered the cement price to increase the shipment volume, while the original plan to raise the price in Chengdu was not implemented. The demand for cement in Chongqing is declining and the price is stable. Rainy weather in Yunnan is frequent, market demand is low, and prices in some areas have fallen after pushing up. Cement prices in Guizhou are generally stable.

2024-08-09 17:19:44

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of the rebound in cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of central and southern Guangdong is not optimistic, and the Guangxi region is tepid. The market prices of the two lakes are basically stable, and there is a decline in some areas. Leading enterprises in Guangdong try to restore the price of cement, but under the influence of high temperature weather, the actual effect is not good. The rain weather in Guangxi is decreasing, the market demand is limited, the price is stable, and the local market is falling. Cement prices in Hubei are stable, and high temperatures affect demand. The Hunan area continues the high temperature, the demand is weak, the partial price falls. Affected by rainfall, the market demand in Henan is not good, and the price is stable.

2024-08-09 17:12:17

The rainy weather is still the same, and the price of concrete in southwest China is slightly loose.

2024-08-09 17:03:25

Northeast China is implementing the policy of off-peak kiln shutdown in August according to the established plan. In this context, cement manufacturers have no plans to further raise prices, so the market quotation remains stable. However, the demand for cement in Liaoning has been reduced due to frequent precipitation in the rainy season recently. Although the cement price of large factories is still at a high level, the overall demand is low, which may have a volatile impact on future prices.

2024-08-09 16:45:29

The rainy season in North China affects construction, market demand is low and prices are weak and stable.

2024-08-09 16:25:44

This week, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei building materials market continued to be depressed due to adverse weather and environmental control demand. Cement prices in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region were generally stable, but some brands showed signs of decline, and the market operation showed a weak and stable trend. The central and southern areas of Hebei tried to raise the price by 30-50 yuan/ton, but the actual implementation effect was not good. At the same time, the market demand in Shanxi and Inner Mongolia is weak and the market remains relatively stable due to the off-peak shutdown.

2024-08-09 16:21:01

Due to the continuous high temperature weather in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, the demand of construction industry has weakened, resulting in a general decline in cement sales, and the price of cement in some areas has dropped by 20-35 yuan/ton, among which Yangzhou, Taizhou, Huaian, Nanjing, Zhenjiang and other places in Jiangsu have been greatly affected. Due to the high temperature weather in Anhui, the construction site slowed down, the demand was weak, and the cement price in Ma'anshan, Chuzhou, Hefei and other areas was reduced by 10-20 yuan/ton. Cement prices in Zaozhuang, Linyi, Jining, Tai'an and other places fell by 10-30 yuan/ton due to cloudy weather and the resumption of clinker production in Shandong.

2024-08-09 16:18:24

Northeast market demand is flat, and sales are affected by rainfall.

2024-08-09 16:12:33

High temperature off-season, the price of concrete in the central and southern market is mainly weak and stable..

2024-08-09 16:05:25

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the shutdown of kilns in Liaoning, Northeast China, was extended to 20 days in August, the overall price was high and stable, the demand performance was not good, and the momentum to push up again was insufficient.

2024-08-02 17:28:08

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the demand and sales in southwest China are sluggish, cement prices in Sichuan and Chongqing continue to fall, and some regions have fallen back to the level before the price increase in June. Some markets in the surrounding Yunnan-Guizhou region are still pushing up in the week, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-08-02 17:25:15

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in central and southern China has recovered by 10-15 yuan/ton, and the quotation in Guangxi is temporarily stable. Prices in some areas of the two lakes have fallen in the early stage, and the overall market is mainly stable this week.

2024-08-02 17:16:26

According to the market data of China Cement Network, affected by the high temperature weather and rainy season, the demand performance of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is flat and the price is weak.

2024-08-02 17:12:52

Rainy weather is frequent, concrete market demand is insufficient..

2024-08-02 16:50:42

High temperature off-season, the price of concrete in the central and southern market is mainly weak and stable..

2024-08-02 16:44:53