[价格指数]:指数重上百点 长三角行情扬帆起航

2014-09-29 16:33:22

上周日,中国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为100.46点,环比上涨0.79%,自7月中旬以后,CEMPI连续两个月落于100点以下,经过一个月左右的底部调整,指数于上周重回100点以上。长江流域水泥价格指数(YRCPI)上周继续回升,回升幅度大幅扩大,长三角地区价格领涨长江流域,区域行情开始扬帆起航。

  上周日,中国水泥价格指数(CEMPI)为100.46点,环比上涨0.79%,自7月中旬以后,CEMPI连续两个月落于100点以下,经过一个月左右的底部调整,指数于上周重回100点以上。与去年同期相比,价格虽仍下跌4.69%,但跌幅较上期明显缩小。此轮价格上涨,主要得益于华东及中南地区价格普涨。上周,长江流域水泥价格指数(YRCPI)继续回升,回升幅度大幅扩大,本次涨幅是自8月底价格上涨以来单周涨幅最大的一次,环比上涨达2.05%,长三角地区价格领涨长江流域,区域行情开始扬帆起航。截止9月26日,YRCPI已经连续五周上涨,累计涨幅已经达到2.62%。

图1: 上周,长江流域价格指数大幅上涨

数据来源:中国水泥研究院

  分区域看,上周东北地区水泥价格依旧平稳,仍无上涨迹象,受下游需求无改善、资金偏紧影响,主导企业以稳价为主。下一阶段,随着天气的转冷,需求将有所萎缩,短期内价格上涨可能性较小。

  华北京津冀地区市场弱势运行,需求恢复不理想,价格继续走稳,河北唐山一带受外围熟料价格上涨影响,水泥报价有所上涨,对外销量增加,但区域内部价格除邯郸市主要品牌价格下调外基本无变化。山西、内蒙古市场行情继续低迷,价格低位徘徊无上涨动力。

  华东地区26日开始江浙皖沪四省多个企业联合涨价,本轮涨价是自前期熟料价格上涨以来对水泥价格调整范围最大的一次。受天气好转,市场进入传统旺季刺激,多数厂家涨价欲望强烈,未来几日预计中小企业也要持续跟调。福建因天气好转,主导企业相继上调水泥价格,但因商混受闽江采砂整治影响销量走低,水泥出货也相应走低,实际成交不及预期,后续有待进一步观察。山东地区水泥、熟料库存普遍较高,为稳定市场价格,部分企业报价有所走低。江西受周边省份涨价带动,多地水泥价格纷纷上涨,若国庆之后需求继续向好,价格有望进一步上涨。

  中南地区两广需求开始回升,台风过后企业销量恢复,主要企业价格均有所上调。两湖市场天气好转,随着旺季的深入企业出货量明显增加,来自民用和工程的需求量进入上行通道,湖南永州、衡阳及湖北武汉主要企业水泥价格出现上涨。而河南、海南两省水泥价格暂稳,河南尚无上涨迹象,企业出货仍不理想。

  西南地区贵州因贵阳、安顺一带水泥价格走低,上周黔南主要厂家报价也出现走低,走低以袋装水泥为主。重庆天气开始好转,需求出现回升,主城区价格小幅上涨,近期企业仍有上调意向。四川上周行情未有起色,尽管需求有所回升但与去年水平相去甚远,价格依旧低位徘徊,随着旺季深入预计十月有涨价计划。云南部分厂家水泥价格走低,多数企业以稳为主。

  西北各省水泥价格总体平稳,陕西雨水有所减少,企业出货略有上升,但价格未有上涨趋势。甘肃需求没有改善迹象,个别企业袋装报价小幅走低。宁夏、甘肃价格继续平稳运行,宁夏地区市场竞争激烈。新疆水泥市场即将进入淡季,近期当地发布了《关于实行水泥错峰生产有关要求的通知》,通知要求新疆所有水泥企业自今年11月开始连续停窑三个月,目前价格暂稳。

  上周,全国共有11个省份的水泥价格出现上涨,其中江西、浙江、江苏涨幅居前,分别为4.09%、 3.89%和2.18%,上海、福建、两湖、两广涨幅也超过1%。这次价格变动主要集中于华东及中南地区,其余省份大稳小动,如部分北方省份仍有小幅下降,不过降幅不大。

图2:全国31省市上周价格环比情况(%)

数据来源:中国水泥研究院

  从价格出现变动的主要省份具体情况上看,上周,江西在沿江水泥、熟料价格上涨带动下,27日起北部九江、南昌、抚州及赣东北景德镇、上饶、鹰潭等地海螺、南方、万年青、亚东、青溪峰等各地主要厂家继续趁势上涨,水泥报价普遍上调30元/吨,目前其余厂家也相继跟涨;浙江26日起南方水泥、熟料价格普遍上涨20-30元/吨,受此影响,全省除宁波、舟山、台州、温州等沿海一带因销量不理想未有上调来外,杭嘉湖及金建兰衢主要厂家相继上调各规格水泥或熟料价格20-~30元/吨;26日起,江苏南部苏锡常一带家南方、天山、金峰、东吴等大厂再次上调水泥价格,其中无锡、常州一带,扬州、泰州一带普遍上调低标10元/吨、高标30元/吨,无锡一带各规格水泥上涨20元/吨,而南京地区海螺中联虽有上涨但其余厂家处于观望状态,苏北需求略有不足,宿迁中联、淮安海螺及山东山水等主要厂家普遍上调各规格水泥10元/吨。

表1:价格出现变动的主要省份及品牌情况

数据来源:中国水泥网行情数据中心

  以上为上周全国及部分地区行情的总体概况,欲了解六大区域更多细节,请查看每周区域(东北/华北/中南/华东/西南/西北)周评。

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Correlation

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, cement prices in the Pearl River Delta market in central and southern Guangdong are planned to stop falling and rise again, while prices in individual markets in Guangxi have experienced a second round of decline. During the Mid-Autumn Festival, the range of price increases in the two lakes areas has been extended to the whole province, pushing up by about 30 yuan/ton. Since the 10th, some major manufacturers in Henan have pushed up the price of cement by 30 yuan/ton, but the actual implementation is not ideal, some enterprises have not implemented in place, and the quotation remains at the level before the rise.

2024-09-20 17:10:16

The concrete market in Northeast China is depressed and the overall demand is weak.

2024-09-20 16:49:34

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The commercial mixed market in Northwest China is running steadily.

2024-09-20 16:41:28

The price of raw materials has been pushed up, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets has been temporarily stable.

2024-09-20 16:36:23

The market demand for concrete in North China is weak, and the price is under pressure.

2024-09-20 16:25:22

The price of raw material cement in Chongqing and Sichuan continues to rise, and the price of concrete may rise slightly..

2024-09-20 15:11:23

The concrete market in North China is stable, with a slight increase in shipments, but demand remains weak..

2024-09-14 16:59:31

Demand is still not ideal, and the price of concrete in southwest China is mainly weak and stable.

2024-09-14 14:49:44

The price of raw materials has been pushed up one after another, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets may rise slightly..

2024-09-14 14:43:45

The price of concrete market in Northeast China is stable to cope with the limited construction period.

2024-09-14 14:33:42

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: The market demand in East China continues to be depressed, and the concrete price is weak and stable.

2024-09-14 13:54:51

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: There is no significant change in the commercial mixed market in Northwest China.

2024-09-14 13:46:16

China Cement Net Market Data Center News: Weak Operation of Commercial Mixed Market in Northwest China

2024-09-06 17:14:22

The demand for concrete in southwest China is still not ideal, and the price is mainly weak and stable.

2024-09-06 17:02:17

The price of raw materials in the northeast market is fatigue, and the price of concrete is stable.

2024-09-06 16:23:41

The progress of concrete construction in North China has been improved, and the growth of market demand is still limited by the off-season.

2024-09-06 16:14:12

The price of raw materials is declining, and the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is running steadily and weakly.

2024-09-06 15:58:01

The price of raw materials in the Yangtze River Delta region of East China has been rising, and the price of concrete is weak and stable.

2024-09-06 12:01:33

The performance of the concrete market in Northeast China is relatively stable, and the demand restricts the implementation of raw materials.

2024-08-30 17:12:18

The commercial mixed market in Northwest China is stable and small.

2024-08-30 17:09:51

Demand in the southwest region is sluggish, and concrete prices are running weakly..

2024-08-30 17:01:21

Market demand in central and southern China is general, and concrete prices are weak..

2024-08-30 16:41:14

The demand for concrete in North China is weak and the price is under pressure.

2024-08-30 16:29:57

Affected by the environment in East China, demand has not improved, and prices in some areas have fallen this week.

2024-08-23 17:17:05

Affected by rainfall in Northeast China, the demand for concrete market is low.

2024-08-23 16:02:01

The price of raw materials in many places has fallen, and the price of concrete in southwest China is running weakly.

2024-08-23 15:45:37

Affected by the price of raw materials, the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is mixed..

2024-08-23 15:33:03

The concrete market in North China is facing the bottleneck of demand and shipment growth.

2024-08-23 15:13:42

Demand is still not ideal, and the price of concrete in southwest China is mainly weak and stable.

2024-08-16 17:17:41

With the improvement of construction progress in North China, the growth of market demand is still limited by the off-season.

2024-08-16 17:10:08

The imbalance between supply and demand in the Northeast market has increased the pressure of price decline.

2024-08-16 17:06:56

Driven by the rising price of raw materials, the price of concrete in the central and southern markets is stable and small..

2024-08-16 17:03:31

Due to the rainy weather in Zhejiang, the market demand is general, and the shipment volume is about 6-7%. In order to promote sales, some manufacturers reduce the price of cement, and try to push up the price to enhance market confidence, but the actual implementation remains to be observed. The overall market demand in Jiangsu has not improved significantly, with shipments hovering at 4-6% of normal production capacity. Manufacturers in southern Jiangsu have reduced prices for promotion, while the markets in northern and central Jiangsu are expected to face a downward trend.

2024-08-16 16:37:36

According to China Cement Network Market Data Center, the market demand in southwest Sichuan and Chongqing continued to be weak, cement prices in some regions fell by 10-20 yuan/ton, and Yunnan-Guizhou region was mixed. The market demand continued to be weak due to the high temperature off-season in Sichuan and Chongqing, and some enterprises in Sichuan lowered the cement price to increase the shipment volume, while the original plan to raise the price in Chengdu was not implemented. The demand for cement in Chongqing is declining and the price is stable. Rainy weather in Yunnan is frequent, market demand is low, and prices in some areas have fallen after pushing up. Cement prices in Guizhou are generally stable.

2024-08-09 17:19:44

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center news, the implementation of the rebound in cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region of central and southern Guangdong is not optimistic, and the Guangxi region is tepid. The market prices of the two lakes are basically stable, and there is a decline in some areas. Leading enterprises in Guangdong try to restore the price of cement, but under the influence of high temperature weather, the actual effect is not good. The rain weather in Guangxi is decreasing, the market demand is limited, the price is stable, and the local market is falling. Cement prices in Hubei are stable, and high temperatures affect demand. The Hunan area continues the high temperature, the demand is weak, the partial price falls. Affected by rainfall, the market demand in Henan is not good, and the price is stable.

2024-08-09 17:12:17

The rainy weather is still the same, and the price of concrete in southwest China is slightly loose.

2024-08-09 17:03:25

Northeast China is implementing the policy of off-peak kiln shutdown in August according to the established plan. In this context, cement manufacturers have no plans to further raise prices, so the market quotation remains stable. However, the demand for cement in Liaoning has been reduced due to frequent precipitation in the rainy season recently. Although the cement price of large factories is still at a high level, the overall demand is low, which may have a volatile impact on future prices.

2024-08-09 16:45:29

The rainy season in North China affects construction, market demand is low and prices are weak and stable.

2024-08-09 16:25:44

This week, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei building materials market continued to be depressed due to adverse weather and environmental control demand. Cement prices in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region were generally stable, but some brands showed signs of decline, and the market operation showed a weak and stable trend. The central and southern areas of Hebei tried to raise the price by 30-50 yuan/ton, but the actual implementation effect was not good. At the same time, the market demand in Shanxi and Inner Mongolia is weak and the market remains relatively stable due to the off-peak shutdown.

2024-08-09 16:21:01

Due to the continuous high temperature weather in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, the demand of construction industry has weakened, resulting in a general decline in cement sales, and the price of cement in some areas has dropped by 20-35 yuan/ton, among which Yangzhou, Taizhou, Huaian, Nanjing, Zhenjiang and other places in Jiangsu have been greatly affected. Due to the high temperature weather in Anhui, the construction site slowed down, the demand was weak, and the cement price in Ma'anshan, Chuzhou, Hefei and other areas was reduced by 10-20 yuan/ton. Cement prices in Zaozhuang, Linyi, Jining, Tai'an and other places fell by 10-30 yuan/ton due to cloudy weather and the resumption of clinker production in Shandong.

2024-08-09 16:18:24

Northeast market demand is flat, and sales are affected by rainfall.

2024-08-09 16:12:33

High temperature off-season, the price of concrete in the central and southern market is mainly weak and stable..

2024-08-09 16:05:25

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the shutdown of kilns in Liaoning, Northeast China, was extended to 20 days in August, the overall price was high and stable, the demand performance was not good, and the momentum to push up again was insufficient.

2024-08-02 17:28:08

According to China Cement Market Data Center, the demand and sales in southwest China are sluggish, cement prices in Sichuan and Chongqing continue to fall, and some regions have fallen back to the level before the price increase in June. Some markets in the surrounding Yunnan-Guizhou region are still pushing up in the week, and the implementation remains to be observed.

2024-08-02 17:25:15

According to the China Cement Network Market Data Center, the price of cement in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong in central and southern China has recovered by 10-15 yuan/ton, and the quotation in Guangxi is temporarily stable. Prices in some areas of the two lakes have fallen in the early stage, and the overall market is mainly stable this week.

2024-08-02 17:16:26

According to the market data of China Cement Network, affected by the high temperature weather and rainy season, the demand performance of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is flat and the price is weak.

2024-08-02 17:12:52

Rainy weather is frequent, concrete market demand is insufficient..

2024-08-02 16:50:42

High temperature off-season, the price of concrete in the central and southern market is mainly weak and stable..

2024-08-02 16:44:53